PMID- 31491546 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20200601 LR - 20200601 IS - 1558-3597 (Electronic) IS - 0735-1097 (Linking) VI - 74 IP - 15 DP - 2019 Oct 15 TI - Poor Long-Term Survival in Patients With Moderate Aortic Stenosis. PG - 1851-1863 LID - S0735-1097(19)36192-3 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.jacc.2019.08.004 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Historical data suggesting poor survival in patients with aortic stenosis (AS) who do not undergo treatment are largely confined to patients with severe AS. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to determine the prognostic impact of all levels of native valvular AS. METHODS: Severity of AS was characterized by convention and by statistical distribution in 122,809 male patients (mean age 61 +/- 17 years) and 118,494 female patients (mean age 62 +/- 19 years), with measured aortic valve (AV) mean gradient, peak velocity, and/or area. The relationship between AS severity and survival was then examined during median 1,208 days (interquartile range: 598 to 2,177 days) of follow-up. Patients with previous aortic valve intervention were excluded. RESULTS: Overall, 16,129 (6.7%), 3,315 (1.4%), and 6,383 (2.6%) patients had mild, moderate, and severe AS, respectively. On an adjusted basis (vs. no AS; 5-year mortality 19%), patients with mild to severe AS had an increasing risk of long-term mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.44 to 2.09; p < 0.001 for all comparisons). The 5-year mortality was 56% and 67%, respectively, in those with moderate AS (mean gradient 20.0 to 39.0 mm Hg/peak velocity 3.0 to 3.9 m/s) and severe AS (>/=40.0 mm Hg, >/=4.0 m/s, or AV area <1.0 cm(2) in low-flow, low-gradient severe AS). A markedly increased risk of death from all causes (5-year mortality >50%) and cardiovascular disease was evident from a mean AV gradient >20.0 mm Hg (moderate AS) after adjusting for age, sex, left ventricular systolic or diastolic dysfunction, and aortic regurgitation. CONCLUSIONS: These data confirm that when left untreated, severe AS is associated with poor long-term survival. Moreover, they also suggest poor survival rates in patients with moderate AS. (National Echocardiographic Database of Australia [NEDA]; ACTRN12617001387314). CI - Copyright (c) 2019 American College of Cardiology Foundation. All rights reserved. FAU - Strange, Geoff AU - Strange G AD - School of Medicine, University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Western Australia, Australia. Electronic address: gstrange@neda.net.au. FAU - Stewart, Simon AU - Stewart S AD - Torrens University Australia, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia. FAU - Celermajer, David AU - Celermajer D AD - Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. FAU - Prior, David AU - Prior D AD - University of Melbourne, St. Vincent's Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. FAU - Scalia, Gregory M AU - Scalia GM AD - University of Queensland, The Prince Charles Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. FAU - Marwick, Thomas AU - Marwick T AD - Baker IDI Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. FAU - Ilton, Marcus AU - Ilton M AD - Menzies School of Health Research, Royal Darwin Hospital, Darwin, Northern Territory, Australia. FAU - Joseph, Majo AU - Joseph M AD - Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia. FAU - Codde, Jim AU - Codde J AD - University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Western Australia, Australia. FAU - Playford, David AU - Playford D AD - School of Medicine, University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Western Australia, Australia. CN - National Echocardiography Database of Australia contributing sites LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Observational Study PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20190903 PL - United States TA - J Am Coll Cardiol JT - Journal of the American College of Cardiology JID - 8301365 SB - IM CIN - J Am Coll Cardiol. 2019 Oct 15;74(15):1864-1867. PMID: 31601366 CIN - J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020 Feb 25;75(7):837. PMID: 32081290 CIN - J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020 Feb 25;75(7):838-839. PMID: 32081291 CIN - J Thorac Dis. 2020 Nov;12(11):7064-7068. PMID: 33282412 MH - Aged MH - Aged, 80 and over MH - Aortic Valve MH - Aortic Valve Insufficiency/complications/epidemiology/mortality MH - Aortic Valve Stenosis/complications/*epidemiology/*mortality MH - Australia/epidemiology MH - Databases, Factual MH - Echocardiography MH - Female MH - Heart Valve Prosthesis Implantation/adverse effects MH - Heart Ventricles/pathology MH - Humans MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - New Zealand/epidemiology MH - Prognosis MH - Prospective Studies MH - Registries MH - Retrospective Studies MH - Severity of Illness Index MH - Stroke Volume MH - Treatment Outcome MH - Ventricular Dysfunction, Left OTO - NOTNLM OT - aortic stenosis OT - cohort OT - mortality EDAT- 2019/09/07 06:00 MHDA- 2020/06/02 06:00 CRDT- 2019/09/07 06:00 PHST- 2019/06/25 00:00 [received] PHST- 2019/07/25 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2019/08/05 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2019/09/07 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2020/06/02 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2019/09/07 06:00 [entrez] AID - S0735-1097(19)36192-3 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.jacc.2019.08.004 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - J Am Coll Cardiol. 2019 Oct 15;74(15):1851-1863. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2019.08.004. Epub 2019 Sep 3.