PMID- 31543983 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20231013 IS - 2059-7908 (Print) IS - 2059-7908 (Electronic) IS - 2059-7908 (Linking) VI - 4 IP - 4 DP - 2019 TI - The distributional impact of taxing sugar-sweetened beverages: findings from an extended cost-effectiveness analysis in South Africa. PG - e001317 LID - 10.1136/bmjgh-2018-001317 [doi] LID - e001317 AB - BACKGROUND: Facing increasing obesity prevalence and obesity-related disease burden, South Africa has devised an obesity prevention strategy that includes a recently implemented tax on the sugar content of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB). We assess the potential distributional impact (across socioeconomic groups) of this tax on type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) incidence and associated mortality and its financial burden on households. METHODS: We conducted an extended cost-effectiveness analysis of the new 10% tax on SSBs in South Africa, and estimated: the averted premature deaths related to T2DM, the financial benefits to households (out-of-pocket (OOP) medical costs and indirect costs due to productivity losses averted), the increased government tax revenues and healthcare savings for the government, all across income quintiles. FINDINGS: A 10% SSB tax increase would avert an estimated 8000 T2DM-related premature deaths over 20 years, with most deaths averted among the third and fourth income quintiles. The government would save about South African rand (ZAR) 2 billion (US$140 million) in subsidised healthcare over 20 years; and would raise ZAR6 billion (US$450 million) in tax revenues per annum. The bottom two quintiles would bear the smallest tax burden increase (36% of the additional taxes). The bottom two income quintiles would also have the lowest savings in OOP payments due to significant subsidisation provided by government healthcare. Lastly, an estimated 32 000 T2DM-related cases of catastrophic expenditures and 12 000 cases of poverty would be averted. CONCLUSIONS: SSB taxation would have a substantial distributional impact on obesity-related premature deaths, cost savings to the government and the financial outcomes of South Africa's population. FAU - Saxena, Akshar AU - Saxena A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-8518-0466 AD - Economics, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore. AD - Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA. FAU - Stacey, Nicholas AU - Stacey N AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-3572-5314 AD - SAMRC/Wits Center for Health Economics and Decision Science - PRICELESS SA School of Public Health Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa. FAU - Puech, Paula Del Ray AU - Puech PDR AD - Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA. FAU - Mudara, Caroline AU - Mudara C AD - SAMRC/Wits Center for Health Economics and Decision Science - PRICELESS SA School of Public Health Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa. FAU - Hofman, Karen AU - Hofman K AD - SAMRC/Wits Center for Health Economics and Decision Science - PRICELESS SA School of Public Health Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa. FAU - Verguet, Stephane AU - Verguet S AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-4128-0849 AD - Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20190821 PL - England TA - BMJ Glob Health JT - BMJ global health JID - 101685275 EIN - BMJ Glob Health. 2019 Sep 18;4(5):e001317corr1. PMID: 31637033 PMC - PMC6730580 OTO - NOTNLM OT - South Africa OT - diabetes mellitus OT - distributional impact OT - equity OT - extended cost-effectiveness analysis OT - soda tax OT - sugar-sweetened beverages COIS- Competing interests: None declared. EDAT- 2019/09/24 06:00 MHDA- 2019/09/24 06:01 PMCR- 2019/08/21 CRDT- 2019/09/24 06:00 PHST- 2018/11/19 00:00 [received] PHST- 2019/05/27 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2019/05/28 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2019/09/24 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2019/09/24 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2019/09/24 06:01 [medline] PHST- 2019/08/21 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - bmjgh-2018-001317 [pii] AID - 10.1136/bmjgh-2018-001317 [doi] PST - epublish SO - BMJ Glob Health. 2019 Aug 21;4(4):e001317. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2018-001317. eCollection 2019.