PMID- 31625766 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20201015 LR - 20201015 IS - 1473-4877 (Electronic) IS - 0300-7995 (Linking) VI - 36 IP - 2 DP - 2020 Feb TI - Development of risk models for major adverse chronic renal outcomes among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus using insurance claims: a retrospective observational study. PG - 219-227 LID - 10.1080/03007995.2019.1682981 [doi] AB - Objective: To develop and validate models allowing the prediction of major adverse chronic renal outcomes (MACRO) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) using insurance claims data.Methods: The Optum Integrated Real World Evidence Electronic Health Records and Claims de-identified database (10/01/2006-09/30/2016) was used to identify T2DM patients >/=50 years old. Risk factors were assessed over a 12-month baseline period, and MACRO were subsequently assessed until the end of data availability, continuous enrollment, or death. Separate models were built for moderate-to-severe diabetic kidney disease (DKD), end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and renal death. A random split-sample approach was employed, where 70% of the sample served for model development (training set) and the remaining 30% served for validation (testing set). C-statistics were used to assess model performance.Results: A total of 160,031 patients were included. Risk factors associated with MACRO for all models included adapted diabetes complications severity index, heart failure, anemia, diabetic nephropathy, and CKD. C-statistics ranged between 0.70 (moderate-to-severe DKD) and 0.84 (renal death) in the testing set. A substantial proportion (e.g. 88.7% for moderate-to-severe DKD) of patients predicted to be at high-risk of MACRO did not have diabetic nephropathy, proteinuria, or CKD at baseline.Conclusions: The models developed using insurance claims data could reliably predict the risk of MACRO in patients with T2DM and enabled patients at higher-risk of DKD to be identified in the absence of baseline diabetic nephropathy, CKD, or proteinuria. These models could help establish strategies to reduce the risk of MACRO in T2DM patients. FAU - Wysham, Carol H AU - Wysham CH AD - Rockwood Clinic, Spokane, WA, USA. FAU - Gauthier-Loiselle, Marjolaine AU - Gauthier-Loiselle M AD - Analysis Group, Inc., Montreal, Canada. FAU - Bailey, Robert A AU - Bailey RA AD - Janssen Scientific Affairs, LLC., Raritan, NJ, USA. FAU - Manceur, Ameur M AU - Manceur AM AD - Analysis Group, Inc., Montreal, Canada. FAU - Lefebvre, Patrick AU - Lefebvre P AD - Analysis Group, Inc., Montreal, Canada. FAU - Greenberg, Morris AU - Greenberg M AD - Analysis Group, Inc., Boston, MA, USA. FAU - Duh, Mei Sheng AU - Duh MS AD - Analysis Group, Inc., Boston, MA, USA. FAU - Young, James B AU - Young JB AD - Cleveland Clinic Foundation Lerner College of Medicine of Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH, USA. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Observational Study PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20191106 PL - England TA - Curr Med Res Opin JT - Current medical research and opinion JID - 0351014 SB - IM MH - Aged MH - Aged, 80 and over MH - Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/*complications MH - Diabetic Nephropathies/*etiology MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Insurance, Health MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/*etiology MH - Retrospective Studies MH - Risk Factors OTO - NOTNLM OT - Insurance claims review OT - Renal insufficiency, chronic OT - diabetes mellitus, type 2 OT - risk prediction EDAT- 2019/10/19 06:00 MHDA- 2020/10/21 06:00 CRDT- 2019/10/19 06:00 PHST- 2019/10/19 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2020/10/21 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2019/10/19 06:00 [entrez] AID - 10.1080/03007995.2019.1682981 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Curr Med Res Opin. 2020 Feb;36(2):219-227. doi: 10.1080/03007995.2019.1682981. Epub 2019 Nov 6.