PMID- 31752819 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20200518 LR - 20200518 IS - 1472-6947 (Electronic) IS - 1472-6947 (Linking) VI - 19 IP - 1 DP - 2019 Nov 21 TI - A novel hybrid modeling approach for the evaluation of integrated care and economic outcome in heart failure treatment. PG - 229 LID - 10.1186/s12911-019-0944-3 [doi] LID - 229 AB - BACKGROUND: Demographic changes, increased life expectancy and the associated rise in chronic diseases pose challenges to public health care systems. Optimized treatment methods and integrated concepts of care are potential solutions to overcome increasing financial burdens and improve quality of care. In this context modeling is a powerful tool to evaluate potential benefits of different treatment procedures on health outcomes as well as health care budgets. This work presents a novel modeling approach for simulating different treatment procedures of heart failure patients based on extensive data sets from outpatient and inpatient care. METHODS: Our hybrid heart failure model is based on discrete event and agent based methodologies and facilitates the incorporation of different therapeutic procedures for outpatient and inpatient care on patient individual level. The state of health is modeled with the functional classification of the New York Heart Association (NYHA), strongly affecting discrete state transition probabilities alongside age and gender. Cooperation with Austrian health care and health insurance providers allowed the realization of a detailed model structure based on clinical data of more than 25,000 patients. RESULTS: Simulation results of conventional care and a telemonitoring program underline the unfavorable prognosis for heart failure and reveal the correlation of NYHA classes with health and economic outcomes. Average expenses for the treatment of NYHA class IV patients of euro10,077 +/- euro165 were more than doubled compared to other classes. The selected use case of a telemonitoring program demonstrated potential cost savings within two years of application. NYHA classes II and III revealed most potential for additional treatment measures. CONCLUSION: The presented model allows performing extensive simulations of established treatment procedures for heart failure patients and evaluating new holistic methods of care and innovative study designs. This approach offers health care providers a unique, adaptable and comprehensive tool for decision making in the complex and socioeconomically challenging field of cardiovascular diseases. FAU - Lassnig, Alexander AU - Lassnig A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-0918-4550 AD - Institute of Health Care Engineering, Graz University of Technology, Stremayrgasse 16/II, 8010, Graz, Austria. alexander.lassnig@tugraz.at. FAU - Rienmueller, Theresa AU - Rienmueller T AD - Institute of Health Care Engineering, Graz University of Technology, Stremayrgasse 16/II, 8010, Graz, Austria. FAU - Kramer, Diether AU - Kramer D AD - Steiermarkische Krankenanstaltengesellschaft m.b.H. (KAGes), Stiftingtalstrasse 4-6, 8010, Graz, Austria. FAU - Leodolter, Werner AU - Leodolter W AD - Steiermarkische Krankenanstaltengesellschaft m.b.H. (KAGes), Stiftingtalstrasse 4-6, 8010, Graz, Austria. FAU - Baumgartner, Christian AU - Baumgartner C AD - Institute of Health Care Engineering, Graz University of Technology, Stremayrgasse 16/II, 8010, Graz, Austria. FAU - Schroettner, Joerg AU - Schroettner J AD - Institute of Health Care Engineering, Graz University of Technology, Stremayrgasse 16/II, 8010, Graz, Austria. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20191121 PL - England TA - BMC Med Inform Decis Mak JT - BMC medical informatics and decision making JID - 101088682 SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Aged MH - Aged, 80 and over MH - Austria MH - Cost-Benefit Analysis MH - Delivery of Health Care, Integrated/*organization & administration MH - Female MH - Heart Failure/*therapy MH - Hospitalization MH - Humans MH - Life Expectancy MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Prognosis PMC - PMC6868721 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Agent based OT - Discrete event OT - Health economic modeling OT - Heart failure treatment model OT - Integrated care COIS- The authors declare that they have no competing interests. EDAT- 2019/11/23 06:00 MHDA- 2020/05/19 06:00 PMCR- 2019/11/21 CRDT- 2019/11/23 06:00 PHST- 2019/03/21 00:00 [received] PHST- 2019/10/21 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2019/11/23 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2019/11/23 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2020/05/19 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2019/11/21 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1186/s12911-019-0944-3 [pii] AID - 944 [pii] AID - 10.1186/s12911-019-0944-3 [doi] PST - epublish SO - BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2019 Nov 21;19(1):229. doi: 10.1186/s12911-019-0944-3.