PMID- 32199385 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20200625 LR - 20200625 IS - 1879-1026 (Electronic) IS - 0048-9697 (Linking) VI - 722 DP - 2020 Jun 20 TI - Improved risk communications with a Bayesian multipollutant Air Quality Health Index. PG - 137892 LID - S0048-9697(20)31405-4 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137892 [doi] AB - Establishing an optimal indicator to communicate health risks of multiple air pollutants to public is much important. The Air Quality Health Index (AQHI) has been developed in many countries as a communication tool of multiple air pollutants related health risks. However, the current AQHI is based on the sum of the excess health risks which are typically derived from the single-pollutant statistical models. Such a strategy may overestimate the joint effect of multiple pollutants. We proposed an improved strategy to construct the AQHI based on a Bayesian multipollutant weighted model. Using this strategy, two improved indices - Bayesian multipollutant AQHI (BMP-AQHI) and Bayesian multipollutant AQHI with seasonal specificity (SBMP-AQHI) were calculated to present the multiple pollutants related health risks to the cardiovascular system based on data collected in Chengdu, China during 2013 to 2018. The two improved indices were compared to current Air Quality Index (AQI) and AQHI to evaluate the effectiveness of the improved indices in characterizing multipollutant health risks. The AQI risk classification suggested much smaller health risks than AQHIs. Among three AQHI types, the BMP-AQHI and SBMP-AQHI suggested slightly lower health risks to the cardiovascular system than the current AQHI. In the evaluation analysis, the SBMP-AQHI had the strongest association with the mortality of cardiovascular disease (CVD) (2.66%; 95%CI, 1.57%, 3.76%). In the subgroup analysis, an interquartile increase (IQR) of the SBMP-AQHI was associated with 3.21% (95%CI, 2.06%, 4.38%), 1.34% (95%CI, -0.13%, 2.82%), and 4.20% (95%CI, 2.59%, 5.84%) increases for CVD mortality in the elderly, male, and female subgroups, respectively. The study shows that the improved AQHIs can communicate the health information of multiple air pollutants more efficiently. The study also indicates the necessity to consider seasonal specificity in the construction of the AQHI. CI - Copyright (c) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. FAU - Xu, Huan AU - Xu H AD - Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China. FAU - Zeng, Wei AU - Zeng W AD - Chengdu Center for Diseases Control and Prevention, Chengdu 610041, China. FAU - Guo, Bing AU - Guo B AD - Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China. FAU - Hopke, Philip K AU - Hopke PK AD - Department of Public Health Sciences, School of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY 14642, USA; Center for Air Resources Engineering and Science, Clarkson University, Potsdam, NY 13699, USA. FAU - Qiao, Xue AU - Qiao X AD - Institute of New Energy and Low-Carbon Technology, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China. FAU - Choi, Hyunok AU - Choi H AD - Department of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University at Albany, 1 University Place, Rensselaer, NY 12144, USA. FAU - Luo, Bin AU - Luo B AD - Sichuan Academy of Environmental policy and planning, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan Province, China. FAU - Zhang, Wei AU - Zhang W AD - Sichuan Environmental Monitoring Center, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan Province, China. FAU - Zhao, Xing AU - Zhao X AD - Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China. Electronic address: zhaoxing731@foxmail.com. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20200313 PL - Netherlands TA - Sci Total Environ JT - The Science of the total environment JID - 0330500 RN - 0 (Air Pollutants) RN - 0 (Particulate Matter) SB - IM MH - Air Pollutants MH - *Air Pollution MH - Bayes Theorem MH - China MH - Communication MH - Environmental Exposure MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Male MH - Particulate Matter OTO - NOTNLM OT - Air Quality Health Index OT - Air Quality Index OT - Air pollution OT - Evaluation OT - Health risks COIS- Declaration of competing interest There is no actual or potential conflict of interest among authors. EDAT- 2020/03/22 06:00 MHDA- 2020/06/26 06:00 CRDT- 2020/03/22 06:00 PHST- 2019/10/31 00:00 [received] PHST- 2020/03/08 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2020/03/11 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2020/03/22 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2020/06/26 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2020/03/22 06:00 [entrez] AID - S0048-9697(20)31405-4 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137892 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Sci Total Environ. 2020 Jun 20;722:137892. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137892. Epub 2020 Mar 13.