PMID- 32349058 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20211025 LR - 20211025 IS - 2380-0194 (Electronic) IS - 2380-0186 (Linking) VI - 33 IP - 10 DP - 2020 Dec TI - Predictors of Outcomes After Single-level Anterior Cervical Discectomy and Fusion for Cervical Spondylotic Myelopathy: A Multivariate Analysis. PG - E525-E532 LID - 10.1097/BSD.0000000000000997 [doi] AB - STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective study that was carried out using prospectively collected registry data. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to identify preoperative predictors of outcomes after anterior cervical discectomy and fusion (ACDF) for cervical spondylotic myelopathy. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Proper patient selection is paramount to achieving good surgical results. Identifying predictors of outcomes may aid surgical decision-making and facilitate counseling of patients to manage expectations. METHODS: Prospectively collected registry data of 104 patients who underwent single-level ACDF for cervical spondylotic myelopathy were reviewed. Outcomes assessed at 2 years were the presence of residual neck pain/arm pain (AP), and attainment of a minimal clinically important difference (MCID) for Neck Disability Index (NDI), Japanese Orthopaedic Association (JOA) score, and Physical Component Score (PCS) of SF-36, as well as patient satisfaction, fulfilment of expectations, willingness to undergo same surgery again, return to work (RTW), and return to function (RTF). Receiver operating characteristic curves and multivariate stepwise logistical regression were performed to identify independent predictors of each outcome using 22 covariates including demographics, comorbidities, and preoperative disease state. RESULTS: Lower preoperative NDI was predictive of the absence of residual neck pain/AP at 2 years. Higher preoperative JOA score was predictive of MCID attainment for PCS, satisfaction, expectation fulfilment, willingness to undergo the same surgery for same condition, and RTF. Poorer preoperative scores of NDI, JOA, and PCS were predictors of attaining MCID of the respective scores. Older patients were less likely to attain MCID for JOA. Higher preoperative AP was a risk factor for unsuccessful RTW. CONCLUSIONS: In general, the preoperative JOA score was the best predictor of outcomes after ACDF. A preoperative JOA cutoff value of 9.25-10.25 predicted satisfaction, expectation fulfilment, willingness to undergo same surgery, and RTF with at least 70% sensitivity and 50% specificity. These findings may aid surgeons in identifying patients at risk of a poor outcome and guide preoperative counseling to establish realistic expectations of the surgical outcome. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III-Non-randomized controlled cohort/follow-up study. FAU - Goh, Graham S AU - Goh GS AD - Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Singapore General Hospital. FAU - Liow, Ming Han Lincoln AU - Liow MHL AD - Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Singapore General Hospital. FAU - Yeo, William AU - Yeo W AD - Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Singapore General Hospital. FAU - Ling, Zhixing Marcus AU - Ling ZM AD - Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Singapore General Hospital. FAU - Guo, Chang-Ming AU - Guo CM AD - Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Singapore General Hospital. FAU - Yue, Wai-Mun AU - Yue WM AD - The Orthopaedic Centre. FAU - Tan, Seang-Beng AU - Tan SB AD - Orthopaedic and Spine Clinic, Mount Elizabeth Medical Centre, Singapore, Singapore. FAU - Chen, John Li-Tat AU - Chen JL AD - Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Singapore General Hospital. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PL - United States TA - Clin Spine Surg JT - Clinical spine surgery JID - 101675083 SB - IM MH - Cervical Vertebrae/surgery MH - Diskectomy MH - Follow-Up Studies MH - Humans MH - Multivariate Analysis MH - Neck Pain/surgery MH - Retrospective Studies MH - *Spinal Cord Diseases/surgery MH - *Spinal Fusion MH - Treatment Outcome EDAT- 2020/04/30 06:00 MHDA- 2021/10/26 06:00 CRDT- 2020/04/30 06:00 PHST- 2020/04/30 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/10/26 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2020/04/30 06:00 [entrez] AID - 01933606-202012000-00020 [pii] AID - 10.1097/BSD.0000000000000997 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Clin Spine Surg. 2020 Dec;33(10):E525-E532. doi: 10.1097/BSD.0000000000000997.