PMID- 32410156 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20210805 LR - 20210805 IS - 1179-1942 (Electronic) IS - 0114-5916 (Print) IS - 0114-5916 (Linking) VI - 43 IP - 8 DP - 2020 Aug TI - Prospective Evaluation of Adverse Event Recognition Systems in Twitter: Results from the Web-RADR Project. PG - 797-808 LID - 10.1007/s40264-020-00942-3 [doi] AB - INTRODUCTION: A large number of studies on systems to detect and sometimes normalize adverse events (AEs) in social media have been published, but evidence of their practical utility is scarce. This raises the question of the transferability of such systems to new settings. OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study were to develop an AE recognition system, prospectively evaluate its performance on an external benchmark dataset and identify potential factors influencing the transferability of AE recognition systems. METHODS: A pipeline based on dictionary lookups and logistic regression classifiers was developed using a proprietary dataset of 196,533 Tweets manually annotated for AE relations and prospectively evaluated the system on the publicly available WEB-RADR reference dataset, exploring different aspects affecting transferability. RESULTS: Our system achieved 0.53 precision, 0.52 recall and 0.52 F1-score on the development test set; however, when applied to the WEB-RADR reference dataset, system performance dropped to 0.38 precision, 0.20 recall and 0.26 F1-score. Similarly, a previously published method aiming at automatically detecting adverse event posts reported 0.5 precision, 0.92 recall and 0.65 F1-score on thus another dataset, while performance on the WEB-RADR reference dataset was reduced to 0.37 precision, 0.63 recall and 0.46 F1-score. We identified four potential factors leading to poor transferability: overfitting, selection bias, label bias and prevalence. CONCLUSION: We warn the community about a potentially large discrepancy between the expected performance of automated AE recognition systems based on published results and the actual observed performance on independent data. This study highlights the difficulty of implementing an all-purpose system for automatic adverse event recognition in Twitter, which could explain the lack of such systems in practical pharmacovigilance settings. Our recommendation is to use benchmark independent datasets, such as the WEB-RADR reference, to investigate the transferability of the adverse event recognition systems and ultimately enforce rigorous comparisons across studies on the task. FAU - Gattepaille, Lucie M AU - Gattepaille LM AD - Uppsala Monitoring Centre, Box 1051, 75140, Uppsala, Sweden. lucie.gattepaille@who-umc.org. FAU - Hedfors Vidlin, Sara AU - Hedfors Vidlin S AD - Uppsala Monitoring Centre, Box 1051, 75140, Uppsala, Sweden. FAU - Bergvall, Tomas AU - Bergvall T AD - Uppsala Monitoring Centre, Box 1051, 75140, Uppsala, Sweden. FAU - Pierce, Carrie E AU - Pierce CE AD - Uppsala Monitoring Centre, Box 1051, 75140, Uppsala, Sweden. FAU - Ellenius, Johan AU - Ellenius J AD - Uppsala Monitoring Centre, Box 1051, 75140, Uppsala, Sweden. LA - eng GR - 115632/Innovative Medicines Initiative/International PT - Evaluation Study PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PL - New Zealand TA - Drug Saf JT - Drug safety JID - 9002928 SB - IM MH - Adverse Drug Reaction Reporting Systems/*standards MH - Databases, Factual MH - Drug-Related Side Effects and Adverse Reactions/classification/*epidemiology MH - Humans MH - Logistic Models MH - Pharmacovigilance MH - Prevalence MH - Prospective Studies MH - Reproducibility of Results MH - Selection Bias MH - *Social Media PMC - PMC7395913 COIS- Carrie E. Pierce has no conflict of interest directly relevant to the content of this study. Lucie M. Gattepaille, Sara Hedfors Vidlin, Tomas Bergvall and Johan Ellenius are employed by the Uppsala Monitoring Centre, a non-profit foundation that commercializes WHODrug Global, the drug dictionary used in this study. EDAT- 2020/05/16 06:00 MHDA- 2021/08/06 06:00 PMCR- 2020/05/14 CRDT- 2020/05/16 06:00 PHST- 2020/05/16 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/08/06 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2020/05/16 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2020/05/14 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1007/s40264-020-00942-3 [pii] AID - 942 [pii] AID - 10.1007/s40264-020-00942-3 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Drug Saf. 2020 Aug;43(8):797-808. doi: 10.1007/s40264-020-00942-3.