PMID- 32412440 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20210921 LR - 20210921 IS - 2194-802X (Electronic) IS - 2194-802X (Linking) VI - 8 IP - 1 DP - 2021 Feb 23 TI - Rate of diagnostic errors and serious misdiagnosis-related harms for major vascular events, infections, and cancers: toward a national incidence estimate using the "Big Three". PG - 67-84 LID - 10.1515/dx-2019-0104 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Missed vascular events, infections, and cancers account for ~75% of serious harms from diagnostic errors. Just 15 diseases from these "Big Three" categories account for nearly half of all serious misdiagnosis-related harms in malpractice claims. As part of a larger project estimating total US burden of serious misdiagnosis-related harms, we performed a focused literature review to measure diagnostic error and harm rates for these 15 conditions. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Google, and cited references. For errors, we selected high-quality, modern, US-based studies, if available, and best available evidence otherwise. For harms, we used literature-based estimates of the generic (disease-agnostic) rate of serious harms (morbidity/mortality) per diagnostic error and applied claims-based severity weights to construct disease-specific rates. Results were validated via expert review and comparison to prior literature that used different methods. We used Monte Carlo analysis to construct probabilistic plausible ranges (PPRs) around estimates. RESULTS: Rates for the 15 diseases were drawn from 28 published studies representing 91,755 patients. Diagnostic error (false negative) rates ranged from 2.2% (myocardial infarction) to 62.1% (spinal abscess), with a median of 13.6% [interquartile range (IQR) 9.2-24.7] and an aggregate mean of 9.7% (PPR 8.2-12.3). Serious misdiagnosis-related harm rates per incident disease case ranged from 1.2% (myocardial infarction) to 35.6% (spinal abscess), with a median of 5.5% (IQR 4.6-13.6) and an aggregate mean of 5.2% (PPR 4.5-6.7). Rates were considered face valid by domain experts and consistent with prior literature reports. CONCLUSIONS: Diagnostic improvement initiatives should focus on dangerous conditions with higher diagnostic error and misdiagnosis-related harm rates. CI - (c)2020 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston. FAU - Newman-Toker, David E AU - Newman-Toker DE AD - Department of Neurology, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA. AD - Director, Armstrong Institute Center for Diagnostic Excellence, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA. AD - Professor, Department of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA. FAU - Wang, Zheyu AU - Wang Z AD - Department of Oncology, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA. AD - Department of Biostatistics, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA. FAU - Zhu, Yuxin AU - Zhu Y AD - Department of Oncology, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA. AD - Department of Biostatistics, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA. FAU - Nassery, Najlla AU - Nassery N AD - Department of Medicine, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA. FAU - Saber Tehrani, Ali S AU - Saber Tehrani AS AD - Department of Neurology, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA. FAU - Schaffer, Adam C AU - Schaffer AC AD - Department of Patient Safety, CRICO, Boston, MA, USA. AD - Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. FAU - Yu-Moe, Chihwen Winnie AU - Yu-Moe CW AD - Department of Patient Safety, CRICO, Boston, MA, USA. FAU - Clemens, Gwendolyn D AU - Clemens GD AD - Department of Biostatistics, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA. FAU - Fanai, Mehdi AU - Fanai M AD - Department of Neurology, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA. FAU - Siegal, Dana AU - Siegal D AD - Director of Patient Safety, CRICO Strategies, Boston, MA, USA. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20200514 PL - Germany TA - Diagnosis (Berl) JT - Diagnosis (Berlin, Germany) JID - 101654734 SB - IM MH - Diagnostic Errors MH - Humans MH - Incidence MH - *Malpractice MH - *Neoplasms/epidemiology OTO - NOTNLM OT - diagnosis OT - diagnostic errors OT - health services research OT - medical errors OT - misdiagnosis-related harms EDAT- 2020/05/16 06:00 MHDA- 2021/09/22 06:00 CRDT- 2020/05/16 06:00 PHST- 2019/12/08 00:00 [received] PHST- 2020/02/12 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2020/05/16 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/09/22 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2020/05/16 06:00 [entrez] AID - dx-2019-0104 [pii] AID - 10.1515/dx-2019-0104 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Diagnosis (Berl). 2020 May 14;8(1):67-84. doi: 10.1515/dx-2019-0104. Print 2021 Feb 23.