PMID- 32554376 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20200928 IS - 2291-9694 (Print) IS - 2291-9694 (Electronic) VI - 8 IP - 6 DP - 2020 Jun 17 TI - Summarizing Complex Graphical Models of Multiple Chronic Conditions Using the Second Eigenvalue of Graph Laplacian: Algorithm Development and Validation. PG - e16372 LID - 10.2196/16372 [doi] LID - e16372 AB - BACKGROUND: It is important but challenging to understand the interactions of multiple chronic conditions (MCC) and how they develop over time in patients and populations. Clinical data on MCC can now be represented using graphical models to study their interaction and identify the path toward the development of MCC. However, the current graphical models representing MCC are often complex and difficult to analyze. Therefore, it is necessary to develop improved methods for generating these models. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to summarize the complex graphical models of MCC interactions to improve comprehension and aid analysis. METHODS: We examined the emergence of 5 chronic medical conditions (ie, traumatic brain injury [TBI], posttraumatic stress disorder [PTSD], depression [Depr], substance abuse [SuAb], and back pain [BaPa]) over 5 years among 257,633 veteran patients. We developed 3 algorithms that utilize the second eigenvalue of the graph Laplacian to summarize the complex graphical models of MCC by removing less significant edges. The first algorithm learns a sparse probabilistic graphical model of MCC interactions directly from the data. The second algorithm summarizes an existing probabilistic graphical model of MCC interactions when a supporting data set is available. The third algorithm, which is a variation of the second algorithm, summarizes the existing graphical model of MCC interactions with no supporting data. Finally, we examined the coappearance of the 100 most common terms in the literature of MCC to validate the performance of the proposed model. RESULTS: The proposed summarization algorithms demonstrate considerable performance in extracting major connections among MCC without reducing the predictive accuracy of the resulting graphical models. For the model learned directly from the data, the area under the curve (AUC) performance for predicting TBI, PTSD, BaPa, SuAb, and Depr, respectively, during the next 4 years is as follows-year 2: 79.91%, 84.04%, 78.83%, 82.50%, and 81.47%; year 3: 76.23%, 80.61%, 73.51%, 79.84%, and 77.13%; year 4: 72.38%, 78.22%, 72.96%, 77.92%, and 72.65%; and year 5: 69.51%, 76.15%, 73.04%, 76.72%, and 69.99%, respectively. This demonstrates an overall 12.07% increase in the cumulative sum of AUC in comparison with the classic multilevel temporal Bayesian network. CONCLUSIONS: Using graph summarization can improve the interpretability and the predictive power of the complex graphical models of MCC. CI - (c)Syed Hasib Akhter Faruqui, Adel Alaeddini, Mike C Chang, Sara Shirinkam, Carlos Jaramillo, Peyman NajafiRad, Jing Wang, Mary Jo Pugh. Originally published in JMIR Medical Informatics (http://medinform.jmir.org), 17.06.2020. FAU - Faruqui, Syed Hasib Akhter AU - Faruqui SHA AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-5073-8690 AD - Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, United States. FAU - Alaeddini, Adel AU - Alaeddini A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-4451-3150 AD - Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, United States. FAU - Chang, Mike C AU - Chang MC AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-0070-9119 AD - Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, United States. FAU - Shirinkam, Sara AU - Shirinkam S AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-8153-4754 AD - Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of the Incarnate Word, San Antonio, TX, United States. FAU - Jaramillo, Carlos AU - Jaramillo C AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-2424-6326 AD - South Texas Veterans Health Care System, San Antonio, TX, United States. FAU - NajafiRad, Peyman AU - NajafiRad P AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-9671-577X AD - Department of Information Systems and Cyber Security, The University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, United States. FAU - Wang, Jing AU - Wang J AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-4012-0977 AD - School of Nursing, UT Health San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, United States. FAU - Pugh, Mary Jo AU - Pugh MJ AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-4196-7763 AD - VA Salt Lake City Health Care System, Salt Lake City, UT, United States. LA - eng GR - I01 HX000329/HX/HSRD VA/United States GR - SC2 GM118266/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States PT - Journal Article DEP - 20200617 PL - Canada TA - JMIR Med Inform JT - JMIR medical informatics JID - 101645109 PMC - PMC7330739 OTO - NOTNLM OT - disease network OT - graph Laplacian OT - graph summarization OT - graphical models OT - multiple chronic conditions COIS- Conflicts of Interest: None declared. EDAT- 2020/06/20 06:00 MHDA- 2020/06/20 06:01 PMCR- 2020/06/17 CRDT- 2020/06/20 06:00 PHST- 2019/09/24 00:00 [received] PHST- 2020/03/22 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2020/01/06 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2020/06/20 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2020/06/20 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2020/06/20 06:01 [medline] PHST- 2020/06/17 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - v8i6e16372 [pii] AID - 10.2196/16372 [doi] PST - epublish SO - JMIR Med Inform. 2020 Jun 17;8(6):e16372. doi: 10.2196/16372.