PMID- 33049602 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20210616 LR - 20210616 IS - 1872-6968 (Electronic) IS - 0303-8467 (Linking) VI - 199 DP - 2020 Dec TI - Nomogram for predicting kyphotic deformity after laminoplasty in cervical spondylotic myelopathy patients without preoperative kyphotic alignment. PG - 106284 LID - S0303-8467(20)30627-2 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.clineuro.2020.106284 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Kyphotic deformity occurrence after cervical laminoplasty is not rare. Several studies have emphasized the development of postoperative kyphotic deformity (PKD) will impair the functional outcome of cervical laminoplasty. We established and validated a nomogram prediction model for kyphotic deformity after laminoplasty in cervical spondylotic myelopathy patients (CSM) without preoperative kyphotic alignment. METHODS: Preoperative and 1-year postoperative data of 369 patients who underwent single-door cervical laminoplasty (SDCL) at the author's hospital between July 2010 and February 2018 were collected. Using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method, significant parameters were selected to develop a nomogram prediction model. The prognostic performance of the model was evaluated using concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve. The discriminatory ability of the prediction model was evaluated by the area under (receiver operating characteristic) curve (AUC). RESULTS: Of the 369 patients, 31 developed PKD in 1 year after the surgery. Using the LASSO regression, six significant variables composed the final model: age, C2-7 sagittal vertical axis, C7 slope, C2-7 angle, flexion range of motion and operation level were selected. The AUC of the nomogram was 0.771. The C-index for the prediction nomogram was 0.771 (95 % CI: 0.672-0.870). The calibration curve also indicated good consistency. CONCLUSION: A nomogram for predicting PKD after SDCL was established and validated. For patients evaluated by this model with predictive high risk of developing postoperative kyphosis, an alternative approach to the subaxial cervical spine such as anterior surgery should be considered. CI - Copyright (c) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. FAU - Chen, Guoliang AU - Chen G AD - Department of Spine Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China. FAU - Jia, Mengxian AU - Jia M AD - Department of Spine Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China. FAU - Connel, Raymond Kobina AU - Connel RK AD - Department of Spine Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China. FAU - Sheng, Yadong AU - Sheng Y AD - Department of Spine Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China. FAU - Lin, Chaowei AU - Lin C AD - Department of Spine Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China. FAU - Huang, Kelun AU - Huang K AD - Department of Spine Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China. FAU - Ying, Jinwei AU - Ying J AD - Department of Spine Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China. FAU - Teng, Honglin AU - Teng H AD - Department of Spine Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China. Electronic address: 907173102@qq.com. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20201007 PL - Netherlands TA - Clin Neurol Neurosurg JT - Clinical neurology and neurosurgery JID - 7502039 SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Aged MH - Aged, 80 and over MH - Cervical Vertebrae/*diagnostic imaging/surgery MH - Female MH - Follow-Up Studies MH - Humans MH - Kyphosis/*diagnostic imaging/etiology MH - Laminoplasty/adverse effects/*trends MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - *Nomograms MH - Postoperative Complications/diagnostic imaging/etiology MH - Predictive Value of Tests MH - Preoperative Care/trends MH - Spinal Cord Diseases/*diagnostic imaging/surgery MH - Spondylosis/*diagnostic imaging/surgery OTO - NOTNLM OT - Kyphotic deformity OT - Nomogram OT - Prediction model OT - Risk factors OT - Single-door cervical laminoplasty EDAT- 2020/10/14 06:00 MHDA- 2021/06/17 06:00 CRDT- 2020/10/13 20:15 PHST- 2020/08/29 00:00 [received] PHST- 2020/10/04 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2020/10/04 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2020/10/14 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/06/17 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2020/10/13 20:15 [entrez] AID - S0303-8467(20)30627-2 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.clineuro.2020.106284 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Clin Neurol Neurosurg. 2020 Dec;199:106284. doi: 10.1016/j.clineuro.2020.106284. Epub 2020 Oct 7.