PMID- 33431345 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20210603 LR - 20240402 IS - 2451-9030 (Electronic) IS - 2451-9022 (Print) IS - 2451-9022 (Linking) VI - 6 IP - 2 DP - 2021 Feb TI - Forecasting Remission From the Psychosis Risk Syndrome With Mismatch Negativity and P300: Potentials and Pitfalls. PG - 178-187 LID - S2451-9022(20)30314-1 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.bpsc.2020.10.010 [doi] AB - Clinical outcomes vary for individuals at clinical high risk (CHR) for psychosis, ranging from conversion to a psychotic disorder to full remission from the risk syndrome. Given that most CHR individuals do not convert to psychosis, recent research efforts have turned toward identifying specific predictors of CHR remission, a task that is conceptually and empirically dissociable from the identification of predictors of conversion to psychosis, and one that may reveal specific biological characteristics that confer resilience to psychosis and provide further insights into the mechanisms associated with the pathogenesis of schizophrenia and those underlying a transient CHR syndrome. Such biomarkers may ultimately facilitate the development of novel early interventions and support the optimization of individualized care. In this review, we focus on two event-related brain potential measures, mismatch negativity and P300, that have attracted interest as predictors of future psychosis among CHR individuals. We describe several recent studies examining whether mismatch negativity and P300 predict subsequent CHR remission and suggest that intact mismatch negativity and P300 may reflect the integrity of specific neurocognitive processes that confer resilience against the persistence of the CHR syndrome and its associated risk for future transition to psychosis. We also highlight several major methodological concerns associated with these studies that apply to the broader literature examining predictors of CHR remission. Among them is the concern that studies that predict dichotomous remission versus nonremission and/or dichotomous conversion versus nonconversion outcomes potentially confound remission and conversion effects, a phenomenon we demonstrate with a data simulation. CI - Published by Elsevier Inc. FAU - Hamilton, Holly K AU - Hamilton HK AD - San Francisco VA Health Care System, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California. Electronic address: holly.hamilton@ucsf.edu. FAU - Roach, Brian J AU - Roach BJ AD - San Francisco VA Health Care System, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California; Northern California Institute for Research and Education, San Francisco, California. FAU - Mathalon, Daniel H AU - Mathalon DH AD - San Francisco VA Health Care System, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California. Electronic address: daniel.mathalon@ucsf.edu. LA - eng GR - IK2 CX001878/CX/CSRD VA/United States GR - R01 MH076989/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States GR - U01 MH076989/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural PT - Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. PT - Review DEP - 20201024 PL - United States TA - Biol Psychiatry Cogn Neurosci Neuroimaging JT - Biological psychiatry. Cognitive neuroscience and neuroimaging JID - 101671285 SB - IM MH - Brain MH - Evoked Potentials MH - Humans MH - *Psychotic Disorders/diagnosis MH - Remission Induction MH - *Schizophrenia PMC - PMC8128162 MID - NIHMS1661679 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Clinical high risk for psychosis OT - Electroencephalography OT - Mismatch negativity OT - P300 OT - Remission OT - Schizophrenia COIS- Disclosures Dr. Hamilton and Mr. Roach report no biomedical financial interests or potential conflicts of interest. Dr. Mathalon is a consultant for Boehringer Ingelheim and Cadent Therapeutics. EDAT- 2021/01/13 06:00 MHDA- 2021/06/04 06:00 PMCR- 2022/02/01 CRDT- 2021/01/12 05:49 PHST- 2020/08/15 00:00 [received] PHST- 2020/10/19 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2020/10/20 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2021/01/13 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/06/04 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2021/01/12 05:49 [entrez] PHST- 2022/02/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - S2451-9022(20)30314-1 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.bpsc.2020.10.010 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Biol Psychiatry Cogn Neurosci Neuroimaging. 2021 Feb;6(2):178-187. doi: 10.1016/j.bpsc.2020.10.010. Epub 2020 Oct 24.