PMID- 33446607 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20210906 LR - 20210906 IS - 1399-3003 (Electronic) IS - 0903-1936 (Linking) VI - 58 IP - 2 DP - 2021 Aug TI - Unsupervised phenotypic clustering for determining clinical status in children with cystic fibrosis. LID - 2002881 [pii] LID - 10.1183/13993003.02881-2020 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Cystic fibrosis (CF) is a multisystem disease in which the assessment of disease severity based on lung function alone may not be appropriate. The aim of the study was to develop a comprehensive machine-learning algorithm to assess clinical status independent of lung function in children. METHODS: A comprehensive prospectively collected clinical database (Toronto, Canada) was used to apply unsupervised cluster analysis. The defined clusters were then compared by current and future lung function, risk of future hospitalisation, and risk of future pulmonary exacerbation treated with oral antibiotics. A k-nearest-neighbours (KNN) algorithm was used to prospectively assign clusters. The methods were validated in a paediatric clinical CF dataset from Great Ormond Street Hospital (GOSH). RESULTS: The optimal cluster model identified four (A-D) phenotypic clusters based on 12 200 encounters from 530 individuals. Two clusters (A and B) consistent with mild disease were identified with high forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV(1)), and low risk of both hospitalisation and pulmonary exacerbation treated with oral antibiotics. Two clusters (C and D) consistent with severe disease were also identified with low FEV(1). Cluster D had the shortest time to both hospitalisation and pulmonary exacerbation treated with oral antibiotics. The outcomes were consistent in 3124 encounters from 171 children at GOSH. The KNN cluster allocation error rate was low, at 2.5% (Toronto) and 3.5% (GOSH). CONCLUSION: Machine learning derived phenotypic clusters can predict disease severity independent of lung function and could be used in conjunction with functional measures to predict future disease trajectories in CF patients. CI - Copyright (c)The authors 2021. For reproduction rights and permissions contact permissions@ersnet.org. FAU - Filipow, Nicole AU - Filipow N AD - UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK. AD - Translational Medicine, SickKids Research Institute, Toronto, ON, Canada. FAU - Davies, Gwyneth AU - Davies G AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-7937-2728 AD - UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK. AD - Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children and GOSH NIHR BRC, London, UK. FAU - Main, Eleanor AU - Main E AD - UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK. FAU - Sebire, Neil J AU - Sebire NJ AD - UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK. AD - Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children and GOSH NIHR BRC, London, UK. FAU - Wallis, Colin AU - Wallis C AD - Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children and GOSH NIHR BRC, London, UK. FAU - Ratjen, Felix AU - Ratjen F AD - Translational Medicine, SickKids Research Institute, Toronto, ON, Canada. AD - Division of Respiratory Medicine, Dept of Paediatrics, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, ON, Canada. AD - University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada. FAU - Stanojevic, Sanja AU - Stanojevic S AD - Translational Medicine, SickKids Research Institute, Toronto, ON, Canada. AD - Dept of Community Health and Epidemiology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada. LA - eng GR - 204841/Z/16/Z/WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20210805 PL - England TA - Eur Respir J JT - The European respiratory journal JID - 8803460 SB - IM MH - Child MH - Cluster Analysis MH - *Cystic Fibrosis/diagnosis MH - Forced Expiratory Volume MH - Humans MH - Lung MH - Respiratory Function Tests COIS- Conflict of interest: N. Filipow has nothing to disclose. Conflict of interest: G. Davies reports personal fees for lectures from Chiesi Limited, outside the submitted work. Conflict of interest: E. Main has nothing to disclose. Conflict of interest: N.J. Sebire has nothing to disclose. Conflict of interest: C. Wallis has nothing to disclose. Conflict of interest: F. Ratjen reports grants and personal fees for consultancy from Vertex, Calithera, Proteostasis, TranslateBio, Genentech, Bayer and Boehringer Ingelheim, outside the submitted work. Conflict of interest: S. Stanojevic reports grants from SickKids Foundation and European Respiratory Society, during the conduct of the study. EDAT- 2021/01/16 06:00 MHDA- 2021/09/07 06:00 CRDT- 2021/01/15 05:47 PHST- 2020/07/23 00:00 [received] PHST- 2020/12/22 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2021/01/16 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/09/07 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2021/01/15 05:47 [entrez] AID - 13993003.02881-2020 [pii] AID - 10.1183/13993003.02881-2020 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Eur Respir J. 2021 Aug 5;58(2):2002881. doi: 10.1183/13993003.02881-2020. Print 2021 Aug.