PMID- 33521815 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20210831 LR - 20220202 IS - 1476-6256 (Electronic) IS - 0002-9262 (Print) IS - 0002-9262 (Linking) VI - 190 IP - 7 DP - 2021 Jul 1 TI - Joint Associations of Multiple Dietary Components With Cardiovascular Disease Risk: A Machine-Learning Approach. PG - 1353-1365 LID - 10.1093/aje/kwab004 [doi] AB - The human diet consists of a complex mixture of components. To realistically assess dietary impacts on health, new statistical tools that can better address nonlinear, collinear, and interactive relationships are necessary. Using data from 1,928 healthy participants in the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) cohort (1985-2006), we explored the association between 12 dietary factors and 10-year predicted risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) using an innovative approach, Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR). Employing BKMR, we found that among women, unprocessed red meat was most strongly related to the outcome: An interquartile range increase in unprocessed red meat consumption was associated with a 0.07-unit (95% credible interval: 0.01, 0.13) increase in ASCVD risk when intakes of other dietary components were fixed at their median values (similar results were obtained when other components were fixed at their 25th and 75th percentile values). Among men, fruits had the strongest association: An interquartile range increase in fruit consumption was associated with -0.09-unit (95% credible interval (CrI): -0.16, -0.02), -0.10-unit (95% CrI: -0.16, -0.03), and -0.11-unit (95% CrI: -0.18, -0.04) lower ASCVD risk when other dietary components were fixed at their 25th, 50th (median), and 75th percentile values, respectively. Using BKMR to explore the complex structure of the total diet, we found distinct sex-specific diet-ASCVD relationships and synergistic interaction between whole grain and fruit consumption. CI - (c) The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com. FAU - Zhao, Yi AU - Zhao Y FAU - Naumova, Elena N AU - Naumova EN FAU - Bobb, Jennifer F AU - Bobb JF FAU - Claus Henn, Birgit AU - Claus Henn B FAU - Singh, Gitanjali M AU - Singh GM LA - eng GR - R00 HL124321/HL/NHLBI NIH HHS/United States PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural PL - United States TA - Am J Epidemiol JT - American journal of epidemiology JID - 7910653 SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Bayes Theorem MH - Cardiovascular Diseases/*epidemiology/etiology MH - Diet/adverse effects/*statistics & numerical data MH - Diet Surveys MH - Female MH - Follow-Up Studies MH - Heart Disease Risk Factors MH - Humans MH - Linear Models MH - Longitudinal Studies MH - *Machine Learning MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Prospective Studies MH - Risk Assessment MH - United States/epidemiology PMC - PMC8245893 OTO - NOTNLM OT - cardiovascular diseases OT - complex mixtures OT - machine learning EDAT- 2021/02/02 06:00 MHDA- 2021/09/01 06:00 PMCR- 2022/02/01 CRDT- 2021/02/01 06:04 PHST- 2019/12/20 00:00 [received] PHST- 2021/01/06 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2021/01/07 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2021/02/02 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/09/01 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2021/02/01 06:04 [entrez] PHST- 2022/02/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 6123947 [pii] AID - kwab004 [pii] AID - 10.1093/aje/kwab004 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Am J Epidemiol. 2021 Jul 1;190(7):1353-1365. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwab004.