PMID- 33592239 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20210528 LR - 20240210 IS - 1874-1754 (Electronic) IS - 0167-5273 (Linking) VI - 330 DP - 2021 May 1 TI - Estimating the causal effect of BMI on mortality risk in people with heart disease, diabetes and cancer using Mendelian randomization. PG - 214-220 LID - S0167-5273(21)00280-1 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.ijcard.2021.02.027 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Observational data have reported that being overweight or obese, compared to being normal weight, is associated with a lower risk for death - the "obesity paradox". We used Mendelian randomization (MR) to estimate causal effects of body mass index (BMI) on mortality risks in people with coronary heart disease (CHD), type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) or malignancy in whom this paradox has been often reported. METHODS: We studied 457,746 White British UK Biobank participants including three subgroups with T2DM (n = 19,737), CHD (n = 21,925) or cancer (n = 42,612) at baseline and used multivariable-adjusted Cox models and MR approaches to describe relationships between BMI and mortality risk. RESULTS: Observational Cox models showed J-shaped relationships between BMI and mortality risk including within disease subgroups in which the BMI values associated with minimum mortality risk were within overweight/obese ranges (26.5-32.5 kg/m(2)). In all participants, MR analyses showed a positive linear causal effect of BMI on mortality risk (HR for mortality per unit higher BMI: 1.05; 95% CI: 1.03-1.08), also evident in people with CHD (HR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.01-1.14). Point estimates for hazard ratios across all BMI values in participants with T2DM and cancer were consistent with overall positive linear effects but confidence intervals included the null. CONCLUSION: These data support the idea that population efforts to promote intentional weight loss towards the normal BMI range would reduce, not enhance, mortality risk in the general population including, importantly, individuals with CHD. CI - Copyright (c) 2021. Published by Elsevier B.V. FAU - Jenkins, David A AU - Jenkins DA AD - NIHR Greater Manchester Patient Safety Translational Research Centre, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK; School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, The University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester M13 9PL, UK. Electronic address: david.jenkins-5@manchester.ac.uk. FAU - Wade, Kaitlin H AU - Wade KH AD - MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, Population Health Sciences, Oakfield House, Oakfield Grove, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2BN, UK. FAU - Carslake, David AU - Carslake D AD - MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, Population Health Sciences, Oakfield House, Oakfield Grove, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2BN, UK. FAU - Bowden, Jack AU - Bowden J AD - MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, Population Health Sciences, Oakfield House, Oakfield Grove, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2BN, UK; Exeter Diabetes Group (ExCEED), College of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK. FAU - Sattar, Naveed AU - Sattar N AD - Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK. FAU - Loos, Ruth J F AU - Loos RJF AD - The Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10029, USA; The Mindich Child Health Development Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10029, USA. FAU - Timpson, Nicholas J AU - Timpson NJ AD - MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, Population Health Sciences, Oakfield House, Oakfield Grove, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2BN, UK. FAU - Sperrin, Matthew AU - Sperrin M AD - School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, The University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester M13 9PL, UK. FAU - Rutter, Martin K AU - Rutter MK AD - Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes & Gastroenterology, School of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Oxford Rd, Manchester M13 9PL, UK; Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism Centre, Peter Mount Building, Manchester Royal Infirmary, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester M13 0HY, UK. LA - eng GR - MR/K006665/1/MRC_/Medical Research Council/United Kingdom GR - 29019/CRUK_/Cancer Research UK/United Kingdom GR - MC_UU_00011/2/MRC_/Medical Research Council/United Kingdom GR - 19169/CRUK_/Cancer Research UK/United Kingdom GR - 202802/Z/16/Z/WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom PT - Journal Article DEP - 20210214 PL - Netherlands TA - Int J Cardiol JT - International journal of cardiology JID - 8200291 SB - IM MH - Body Mass Index MH - *Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/diagnosis MH - Humans MH - Mendelian Randomization Analysis MH - *Neoplasms/diagnosis MH - Obesity/diagnosis MH - Risk Factors OTO - NOTNLM OT - Coronary heart disease OT - Mortality OT - Obesity COIS- Declaration of Competing Interest MKR reports speaker fees from Novo Nordisk and modest stock ownership in GSK. NS has consulted for Astrazeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Eli-Lilly, Napp, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer and Sanofi. The remaining authors have nothing to disclose. EDAT- 2021/02/17 06:00 MHDA- 2021/05/29 06:00 CRDT- 2021/02/16 20:09 PHST- 2020/08/12 00:00 [received] PHST- 2021/02/02 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2021/02/11 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2021/02/17 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/05/29 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2021/02/16 20:09 [entrez] AID - S0167-5273(21)00280-1 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.ijcard.2021.02.027 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Int J Cardiol. 2021 May 1;330:214-220. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2021.02.027. Epub 2021 Feb 14.