PMID- 33677738 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20211025 LR - 20211025 IS - 1720-8319 (Electronic) IS - 1594-0667 (Linking) VI - 33 IP - 10 DP - 2021 Oct TI - Predicting cognitive function based on physical performance: findings from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. PG - 2723-2735 LID - 10.1007/s40520-021-01810-5 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Physical performance tests are simple means of predicting an individual's risk of cognitive decline. AIMS: This study aimed to assess the predictive value of physical performance tests and develop predictive models for cognitive function. METHODS: Cognitive function was tested biennially and calculated for mental intactness, episodic memory, and global cognition. Using a generalized estimating equation (GEE), we examined each baseline physical performance test as a predictor of cognitive decline. Using a multivariate linear regression model (MLRM), we developed predictive models for cognitive function. Bland-Altman analysis was performed to analyze the agreement between estimated and measured cognition. We validated the predictive model internally with 1000 bootstrap resamples. RESULTS: Better physical performance test results, except for standing balance, were associated with a slower cognitive decline over time and better cognitive function at follow-up. Regarding the predictive models, all physical performance tests were included in men; only five chair stands test was included in women. Bland-Altman analysis showed that measured cognition was equivalent to estimated cognition in men (mean bias, 0; 95% limits of agreement, - 8.56 to 8.56) and women (mean bias, 0; 95% limits of agreement - 8.79 to 8.7). Bootstrap analysis showed that predictors were selected in 78.4-100% for men and 64.5-100% for women. DISCUSSION: Bland-Altman and bootstrap analysis demonstrated good agreement and stability of the predictive models. CONCLUSIONS: Physical performance tests are simple, easily obtainable, and clinically relevant markers for cognitive function with aging; predictive models based on physical performance can be used to predict cognitive function. CI - (c) 2021. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG part of Springer Nature. FAU - Liu, Yong AU - Liu Y AD - Shanghai Key Laboratory of Psychotic Disorders, Shanghai Mental Health Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, 600 Wan Ping Nan Road, Shanghai, 200030, China. FAU - Gu, Nannan AU - Gu N AD - Shanghai Key Laboratory of Psychotic Disorders, Shanghai Mental Health Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, 600 Wan Ping Nan Road, Shanghai, 200030, China. FAU - Jiang, Lijuan AU - Jiang L AD - Shanghai Key Laboratory of Psychotic Disorders, Shanghai Mental Health Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, 600 Wan Ping Nan Road, Shanghai, 200030, China. FAU - Cao, Xinyi AU - Cao X AD - Shanghai Key Laboratory of Psychotic Disorders, Shanghai Mental Health Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, 600 Wan Ping Nan Road, Shanghai, 200030, China. rekixinyicao@163.com. AD - Clinical Neurocognitive Research Center, Shanghai Mental Health Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China. rekixinyicao@163.com. FAU - Li, Chunbo AU - Li C AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-7827-7198 AD - Shanghai Key Laboratory of Psychotic Disorders, Shanghai Mental Health Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, 600 Wan Ping Nan Road, Shanghai, 200030, China. licb@smhc.org.cn. AD - Center for Excellence in Brain Science and Intelligence Technology (CEBSIT), Chinese Academy of Science, Shanghai, China. licb@smhc.org.cn. AD - Institute of Psychology and Behavioral Science, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China. licb@smhc.org.cn. AD - Brain Science and Technology Research Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China. licb@smhc.org.cn. LA - eng GR - 81571756/National Natural Science Foundation of China/ PT - Journal Article DEP - 20210307 PL - Germany TA - Aging Clin Exp Res JT - Aging clinical and experimental research JID - 101132995 SB - IM MH - Aging MH - Cognition MH - *Cognitive Dysfunction/diagnosis MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Longitudinal Studies MH - Male MH - *Retirement OTO - NOTNLM OT - Aging OT - Cognition OT - Physical performance OT - Predictive models EDAT- 2021/03/08 06:00 MHDA- 2021/10/26 06:00 CRDT- 2021/03/07 20:42 PHST- 2020/11/15 00:00 [received] PHST- 2021/02/08 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2021/03/08 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/10/26 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2021/03/07 20:42 [entrez] AID - 10.1007/s40520-021-01810-5 [pii] AID - 10.1007/s40520-021-01810-5 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Aging Clin Exp Res. 2021 Oct;33(10):2723-2735. doi: 10.1007/s40520-021-01810-5. Epub 2021 Mar 7.