PMID- 33686197 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20211230 LR - 20221018 IS - 1476-5551 (Electronic) IS - 0887-6924 (Linking) VI - 35 IP - 11 DP - 2021 Nov TI - A prognostic survival model based on metabolism-related gene expression in plasma cell myeloma. PG - 3212-3222 LID - 10.1038/s41375-021-01206-4 [doi] AB - Accurate survival prediction of persons with plasma cell myeloma (PCM) is challenging. We interrogated clinical and laboratory co-variates and RNA matrices of 1040 subjects with PCM from public datasets in the Gene Expression Omnibus database in training (N = 1) and validation (N = 2) datasets. Genes regulating plasma cell metabolism correlated with survival were identified and seven used to build a metabolic risk score using Lasso Cox regression analyses. The score had robust predictive performance with 5-year survival area under the curve (AUCs): 0.71 (95% confidence interval, 0.65, 0.76), 0.88 (0.67, 1.00) and 0.64 (0.57, 0.70). Subjects in the high-risk training cohort (score > median) had worse 5-year survival compared with those in the low-risk cohort (62% [55, 68%] vs. 85% [80, 90%]; p < 0.001). This was also so for the validation cohorts. A nomogram combining metabolic risk score with Revised International Staging System (R-ISS) score increased survival prediction from an AUC = 0.63 [0.58, 0.69] to an AUC = 0.73 [0.66, 0.78]; p = 0.015. Modelling predictions were confirmed in in vitro tests with PCM cell lines. Our metabolic risk score increases survival prediction accuracy in PCM. CI - (c) 2021. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited part of Springer Nature. FAU - Huang, Han-Ying AU - Huang HY AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-8635-4867 AD - State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. AD - Department of Hematologic Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. AD - Department of Radiation Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. FAU - Wang, Yun AU - Wang Y AD - State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. AD - Department of Hematologic Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. FAU - Wang, Wei-da AU - Wang WD AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-8272-5421 AD - State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. AD - Department of Hematologic Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. FAU - Wei, Xiao-Li AU - Wei XL AD - State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. AD - Department of Medical Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. FAU - Gale, Robert Peter AU - Gale RP AD - Department of Immunology and Inflammation, Haematology Research Centre, Imperial College London, London, UK. FAU - Li, Jin-Yuan AU - Li JY AD - State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. AD - Department of Hematologic Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. FAU - Zhang, Qian-Yi AU - Zhang QY AD - State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. AD - Department of Hematologic Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. FAU - Shu, Ling-Ling AU - Shu LL AD - State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. AD - Department of Hematologic Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. FAU - Li, Liang AU - Li L AD - State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. AD - Department of Hematologic Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. FAU - Li, Juan AU - Li J AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-0909-4731 AD - Department of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China. ljuan@mail.sysu.edu.cn. FAU - Lin, Huan-Xin AU - Lin HX AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-0621-4486 AD - State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. linhx@sysucc.org.cn. AD - Department of Radiation Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. linhx@sysucc.org.cn. FAU - Liang, Yang AU - Liang Y AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-4226-9580 AD - State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. liangyang@sysucc.org.cn. AD - Department of Hematologic Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P.R. China. liangyang@sysucc.org.cn. LA - eng GR - DH_/Department of Health/United Kingdom PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20210308 PL - England TA - Leukemia JT - Leukemia JID - 8704895 RN - 0 (Antineoplastic Agents) RN - 0 (Biomarkers, Tumor) SB - IM MH - Aged MH - Antineoplastic Agents/*therapeutic use MH - Biomarkers, Tumor/genetics/*metabolism MH - Cohort Studies MH - Female MH - Follow-Up Studies MH - *Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic MH - Humans MH - Male MH - *Metabolome MH - Multiple Myeloma/genetics/metabolism/*mortality/pathology MH - *Nomograms MH - Prognosis MH - Survival Rate EDAT- 2021/03/10 06:00 MHDA- 2021/12/31 06:00 CRDT- 2021/03/09 06:08 PHST- 2020/12/02 00:00 [received] PHST- 2021/02/18 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2021/01/29 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2021/03/10 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/12/31 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2021/03/09 06:08 [entrez] AID - 10.1038/s41375-021-01206-4 [pii] AID - 10.1038/s41375-021-01206-4 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Leukemia. 2021 Nov;35(11):3212-3222. doi: 10.1038/s41375-021-01206-4. Epub 2021 Mar 8.