PMID- 33766837 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20210519 LR - 20210519 IS - 2044-6055 (Electronic) IS - 2044-6055 (Linking) VI - 11 IP - 3 DP - 2021 Mar 25 TI - Epidemiology and risk factors for diabetes in the suburbs of Beijing: a retrospective cohort study. PG - e041526 LID - 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-041526 [doi] LID - e041526 AB - OBJECTIVE: We aimed to detect the incidence and risk factors of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) development in the suburbs of Beijing. DESIGN: Cohort study with record linkage to incidence data. SETTING: We performed a 5-year follow-up study in a randomly selected suburban population including 1114 subjects aged >/=18 years living in the suburbs of Beijing. PARTICIPANTS: 118 subjects with T2DM at baseline according to the 1999 WHO criteria were excluded, and 895 subjects attended the follow-up assessment in 2012. The non-diabetic subjects at baseline were classified into two groups: normal glucose tolerance (NGT) group (n=673) and impaired glucose regulation (IGR) group(n=222).The incidence and risk factors of diabetes development in each group were investigated. OUTCOME MEASURES: A structured questionnaire about sociodemographic characteristics, height, weight, waist circumference, hip circumference, blood pressure, oral glucose tolerance test and serum lipid levels. RESULTS: Out of the 895 non-diabetic subjects, 67 developed diabetes with 29 in the NGT group and 38 in the IGR group, respectively, after a 5-year follow-up, producing an overall 5-year cumulative incidence of diabetes of 13%. The incidence of diabetes was 15.5 cases per 1000 person-years, 8.9 cases per 1000 person-years in the NGT group and 35.7 cases per 1000 person-years in the IGR group (p<0.01; RR 4.03; 95% CI 2.58 to 9.29). Binary logistic regression analysis showed that the risk factors for diabetes development included fasting plasma glucose (FPG) in the NGT group, and sex, the waist-to-hip ratio, FPG and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in the IGR group. CONCLUSIONS: During a mean follow-up of 5.0 years, the incidence of T2DM in the suburbs of Beijing was 15.5 per 1000 person-years. Early prevention of diabetes should focus on IGR subjects. Elevated FPG predicted diabetes development for both NGT and IGR subjects. Female sex, overweight/obesity and DBP are risk factors for diabetes development in IGR subjects. CI - (c) Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ. FAU - Xie, Lingding AU - Xie L AD - Endocrinology Department, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China. FAU - Zhao, Xu AU - Zhao X AD - Endocrinology Department, Civil Aviation General Hospital, Beijing, China. FAU - Zhang, Bo AU - Zhang B AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-3060-7850 AD - Endocrinology Department, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China drbozhang@yahoo.com. FAU - Zhu, Haiqing AU - Zhu H AD - Endocrinology Department, China Meitan General Hospital, Beijing, China. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20210325 PL - England TA - BMJ Open JT - BMJ open JID - 101552874 RN - 0 (Blood Glucose) SB - IM MH - Adolescent MH - Adult MH - Beijing/epidemiology MH - Blood Glucose MH - Cohort Studies MH - *Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology/etiology MH - Female MH - Follow-Up Studies MH - *Glucose Intolerance/epidemiology MH - Humans MH - Retrospective Studies MH - Risk Factors PMC - PMC7996367 OTO - NOTNLM OT - epidemiology OT - general diabetes OT - public health COIS- Competing interests: None declared. EDAT- 2021/03/27 06:00 MHDA- 2021/05/20 06:00 PMCR- 2021/03/25 CRDT- 2021/03/26 06:13 PHST- 2021/03/26 06:13 [entrez] PHST- 2021/03/27 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/05/20 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2021/03/25 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - bmjopen-2020-041526 [pii] AID - 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-041526 [doi] PST - epublish SO - BMJ Open. 2021 Mar 25;11(3):e041526. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-041526.