PMID- 33822317 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20211021 LR - 20220218 IS - 1936-0541 (Electronic) IS - 1936-0533 (Print) IS - 1936-0533 (Linking) VI - 15 IP - 4 DP - 2021 Aug TI - Clinical and economic burden of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis in Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. PG - 912-921 LID - 10.1007/s12072-021-10182-x [doi] AB - BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The Middle East (ME) has a high prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), driven by obesity and type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Studies in Saudi Arabia (KSA) and United Arab Emirates (UAE) predict an escalating impact of NAFLD/NASH, particularly advanced fibrosis due to NASH (AF-NASH), increasing cases of cirrhosis, liver cancer and death. The scale of this burden in other ME countries is unknown with no reports of NAFLD/NASH healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) or costs. We estimated the clinical and economic burden of NAFLD/NASH in KSA, UAE and Kuwait. METHODS: Markov models populated with country-specific obesity and T2DM prevalence data estimated numbers and progression of NAFLD/NASH patients from 2018 to 2030. Model inputs, assumptions and outputs were collected from literature, national statistics, and expert consensus. RESULTS: Over 13 years, the KSA model estimated cases increasing as follows: patients with fibrosis F0-3 doubled to 2.5 m, compensated and decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma trebled to 212,000; liver failure or transplant patients increased four-fold to 4,086 and liver-related death escalated from < 10,000 to > 200,000. Similar trends occurred in UAE and Kuwait. Discounted lifetime costs of NASH standard-care increased totaling USD40.41 bn, 1.59 bn and 6.36 bn in KSA, UAE (Emiratis only) and Kuwait, respectively. NASH-related costs in 2019 comprised, respectively, 5.83%, 5.80% and 7.66% of national healthcare spending. CONCLUSIONS: NASH, especially AF-NASH, should be considered a higher priority in ME Public Health policy. Our analyses should inform health policy makers to mitigate the enormity of this escalating regional burden. CI - (c) 2021. The Author(s). FAU - Sanai, Faisal M AU - Sanai FM AD - Gastroenterology Unit, Department of Medicine, King Abdulaziz Medical City, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. FAU - Al Khathlan, Abdullah AU - Al Khathlan A AD - King Fahd Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. FAU - Al Fadhli, Ahmad AU - Al Fadhli A AD - Mubarak Al Kabeer Hospital, Jabriya, Kuwait. FAU - Jazzar, Ahmad S AU - Jazzar AS AD - Sheikh Khalifa Medical City, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. FAU - Hashim, Al Moutaz AU - Hashim AM AD - Department of Medicine, University of Jeddah, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. FAU - Mansour, Eid AU - Mansour E AD - Gilead Sciences, Dubai, United Arab Emirates. FAU - Abaalkhail, Faisal AU - Abaalkhail F AD - King Fahad Specialist Hospital, Dammam, Saudi Arabia. FAU - Hasan, Fuad AU - Hasan F AD - Mubarak Al Kabeer Hospital, Jabriya, Kuwait. FAU - Al Mudaiheem, Hajer AU - Al Mudaiheem H AD - Therapeutic Affairs Deputyship, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. FAU - Al Quraishi, Huda AU - Al Quraishi H AD - Rashid Hospital, Dubai, United Arab Emirates. FAU - Bottomley, Juliana AU - Bottomley J AD - Gilead Sciences, Stockley Park, Uxbridge, UB11 1AF, UK. FAU - Alswat, Khalid A AU - Alswat KA AD - Department of Medicine, Liver Disease Research Center, College of Medicine, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. FAU - Al Ghamdi, Mohammed AU - Al Ghamdi M AD - King Fahad Military Medical Complex, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia. FAU - Farghaly, Mohamed AU - Farghaly M AD - Dubai Health Authority, Dubai, United Arab Emirates. FAU - Fathy, Motaz AU - Fathy M AD - Mubarak Al Kabeer Hospital, Jabriya, Kuwait. FAU - Awad, Nancy AU - Awad N AD - IQVIA, Dubai, United Arab Emirates. FAU - Mohamed, Omneya AU - Mohamed O AD - IQVIA, Dubai, United Arab Emirates. FAU - Kozma, Sam AU - Kozma S AD - Gilead Sciences, Dubai, United Arab Emirates. FAU - Al-Hamoudi, Waleed AU - Al-Hamoudi W AD - Department of Medicine, Liver Disease Research Center, College of Medicine, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. FAU - Al-Jedai, Ahmed AU - Al-Jedai A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-4730-9086 AD - Therapeutic Affairs Deputyship, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. ahaljedai@moh.gov.sa. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20210406 PL - United States TA - Hepatol Int JT - Hepatology international JID - 101304009 SB - IM MH - Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology MH - Cost of Illness MH - Humans MH - Kuwait/epidemiology MH - Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology MH - *Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology MH - Saudi Arabia/epidemiology MH - United Arab Emirates/epidemiology PMC - PMC8382637 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Cost OT - Disease burden OT - Healthcare expenditure OT - Humanistic OT - Middle East OT - Model OT - NASH OT - Outcomes OT - Patient numbers OT - Standard of care COIS- Faisal M Sanai is a speaker for and consultant of Gilead Sciences, Intercept Pharmaceuticals and Pfizer; Ahmad Al Fadhli, [Details Awaited]; Eid Mansour is an employee of Gilead Sciences and owns shares in Gilead Sciences;; Fuad Hasan is a consultant and speaker for Gilead Sciences; Juliana Bottomley is the Director of Amygdala Limited and received funding from Gilead Sciences, as a consultant at the time of the study reporting; Nancy Awad and Omneya Mohamed are employees of IQVIA, Dubai and received funding from Gilead Sciences to conduct the study, analyses and reporting; Sam Kozma is an employee at Gilead Sciences; Ahmed Al-jedai is an employee of Ministry of Health,Saudi Arabia; Abdullah Al Khathlan, Ahmad S Jazzar, Al Moutaz Hashim, Faisal Abaalkhail, Hajer Al Mudaiheem, Huda Al Quraishi, Khalid A Alswat, Mohammed Al Ghamdi, Mohamed Farghaly, Motaz Fathy and Waleed Al-Hamoudi report no conflicts of interest related to this manuscript. EDAT- 2021/04/07 06:00 MHDA- 2022/02/08 06:00 PMCR- 2021/04/06 CRDT- 2021/04/06 12:42 PHST- 2020/12/09 00:00 [received] PHST- 2021/03/17 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2021/04/07 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/02/08 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2021/04/06 12:42 [entrez] PHST- 2021/04/06 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1007/s12072-021-10182-x [pii] AID - 10182 [pii] AID - 10.1007/s12072-021-10182-x [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Hepatol Int. 2021 Aug;15(4):912-921. doi: 10.1007/s12072-021-10182-x. Epub 2021 Apr 6.