PMID- 33892489 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20220330 LR - 20220531 IS - 2058-1742 (Electronic) IS - 2058-5225 (Print) IS - 2058-1742 (Linking) VI - 8 IP - 2 DP - 2022 Mar 2 TI - GARFIELD-AF risk score for mortality, stroke, and bleeding within 2 years in patients with atrial fibrillation. PG - 214-227 LID - 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcab028 [doi] AB - AIMS: To determine whether the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF) integrated risk tool predicts mortality, non-haemorrhagic stroke/systemic embolism, and major bleeding for up to 2 years after new-onset AF and to assess how this risk tool performs compared with CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED. METHODS AND RESULTS: Potential predictors of events included demographic and clinical characteristics, choice of treatment, and lifestyle factors. A Cox proportional hazards model was identified for each outcome by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator methods. Indices were evaluated in comparison with CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED risk predictors. Models were validated internally and externally in ORBIT-AF and Danish nationwide registries. Among the 52 080 patients enrolled in GARFIELD-AF, 52 032 had follow-up data. The GARFIELD-AF risk tool outperformed CHA2DS2-VASc for all-cause mortality in all cohorts. The GARFIELD-AF risk score was superior to CHA2DS2-VASc for non-haemorrhagic stroke, and it outperformed HAS-BLED for major bleeding in internal validation and in the Danish AF cohort. In very low- to low-risk patients [CHA2DS2-VASc 0 or 1 (men) and 1 or 2 (women)], the GARFIELD-AF risk score offered strong discriminatory value for all the endpoints when compared to CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED. The GARFIELD-AF tool also included the effect of oral anticoagulation (OAC) therapy, thus allowing clinicians to compare the expected outcome of different anticoagulant treatment decisions [i.e. no OAC, non-vitamin K antagonist (VKA) oral anticoagulants, or VKAs]. CONCLUSIONS: The GARFIELD-AF risk tool outperformed CHA2DS2-VASc at predicting death and non-haemorrhagic stroke, and it outperformed HAS-BLED for major bleeding in overall as well as in very low- to low-risk group patients with AF. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier for GARFIELD-AF: NCT01090362, ORBIT-AF I: NCT01165710; ORBIT-AF II: NCT01701817. CI - (c) The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. FAU - Fox, Keith A A AU - Fox KAA AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-0140-2752 AD - Centre for Cardiovascular Science, University of Edinburgh, Queen's Medical Research Institute, 47 Little France Crescent, Edinburgh EH16 4TJ, UK. FAU - Virdone, Saverio AU - Virdone S AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-1849-6422 AD - Thrombosis Research Institute, Manresa Road, London, SW3 6LR, UK. FAU - Pieper, Karen S AU - Pieper KS AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-4190-8341 AD - Thrombosis Research Institute, Manresa Road, London, SW3 6LR, UK. FAU - Bassand, Jean-Pierre AU - Bassand JP AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-4492-1269 AD - Thrombosis Research Institute, Manresa Road, London, SW3 6LR, UK. AD - Department of Cardiology, University of Besancon, Boulevard Fleming, 25000 Besancon, France. FAU - Camm, A John AU - Camm AJ AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-2536-2871 AD - Cardiology Clinical Academic Group Molecular & Clinical Sciences Research Institute, St George's University of London, Cranmer Terrace, Tooting, London SW17 0RE,UK. FAU - Fitzmaurice, David A AU - Fitzmaurice DA AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-9104-6252 AD - Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK. FAU - Goldhaber, Samuel Z AU - Goldhaber SZ AD - Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, 75 Francis Street, Boston, MA 02115, USA. FAU - Goto, Shinya AU - Goto S AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-6821-1504 AD - Department of Medicine (Cardiology), Tokai School of medicine, 143 Shimokasuya, Isehara, Kanagawa 259-1143, Japan. FAU - Haas, Sylvia AU - Haas S AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-0837-7892 AD - Department of Medicine, Formerly Technical University of Munich, Normannenstr. 34a, Munich 80333, Germany. FAU - Kayani, Gloria AU - Kayani G AD - Thrombosis Research Institute, Manresa Road, London, SW3 6LR, UK. FAU - Oto, Ali AU - Oto A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-0501-882X AD - Department of Cardiology, Memorial Ankara Hospital, Sihhiye, 06100, Ankara, Turkey. FAU - Misselwitz, Frank AU - Misselwitz F AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-1366-7958 AD - Formerly, Bayer AG, Mullerstrasse 178, 13353 Berlin, Germany. FAU - Piccini, Jonathan P AU - Piccini JP AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-0772-2404 AD - Duke Clinical Research Institute, 40 Duke Medicine Circle, Clinic 2F/2G, Durham, NC 27710, USA. FAU - Dalgaard, Frederik AU - Dalgaard F AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-7287-4191 AD - Department of Cardiology, Herlev & Gentofte Hospital, 2900 Hellerup, Copenhagen, Denmark. FAU - Turpie, Alexander G G AU - Turpie AGG AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-0052-2020 AD - Department of Medicine, McMaster University, 237 Barton St E Hamilton, Ontario L8L 2X2, Canada. FAU - Verheugt, Freek W A AU - Verheugt FWA AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-5831-6951 AD - Department of Cardiology, Onze Lieve Vrouwe Gasthuis (OLVG), Oosterpark 9, NL-1091-AC Amsterdam, Netherlands. FAU - Kakkar, Ajay K AU - Kakkar AK AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-4054-606X AD - Thrombosis Research Institute, Manresa Road, London, SW3 6LR, UK. AD - University College London, Gower St, London WC1E 6BT, UK. CN - GARFIELD-AF Investigators LA - eng SI - ClinicalTrials.gov/NCT01701817 SI - ClinicalTrials.gov/NCT01165710 SI - ClinicalTrials.gov/NCT01090362 PT - Clinical Study PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PL - England TA - Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes JT - European heart journal. Quality of care & clinical outcomes JID - 101677796 RN - 0 (Anticoagulants) SB - IM MH - Anticoagulants/therapeutic use MH - *Atrial Fibrillation/complications/drug therapy MH - Female MH - Hemorrhage/chemically induced/epidemiology MH - Humans MH - Male MH - Registries MH - Risk Assessment MH - Risk Factors MH - *Stroke/drug therapy/epidemiology/etiology PMC - PMC8888127 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Atrial fibrillation OT - CHA2DS2-VASc OT - Risk stratification OT - GARFIELD-AF EDAT- 2021/04/24 06:00 MHDA- 2022/03/31 06:00 PMCR- 2021/05/25 CRDT- 2021/04/23 20:30 PHST- 2021/03/15 00:00 [received] PHST- 2021/04/08 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2021/04/20 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2021/04/24 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/03/31 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2021/04/23 20:30 [entrez] PHST- 2021/05/25 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 6248089 [pii] AID - qcab028 [pii] AID - 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcab028 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes. 2022 Mar 2;8(2):214-227. doi: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcab028.