PMID- 33927086 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20210806 LR - 20230921 IS - 1473-5571 (Electronic) IS - 0269-9370 (Linking) VI - 35 IP - 10 DP - 2021 Aug 1 TI - Implications of weight gain with newer anti-retrovirals: 10-year predictions of cardiovascular disease and diabetes. PG - 1657-1665 LID - 10.1097/QAD.0000000000002930 [doi] AB - OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the long-term risks of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) secondary to weight gain and clinical obesity associated with the initiation of integrase strand transfer inhibitors and tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) in the ADVANCE trial using validated risk equation tools. DESIGN: Retrospective data analysis. METHODS: In ADVANCE, 1053 treatment-naive participants in South Africa (99% black, 59% female) were randomized to 96 weeks of TAF/emtricitabine + dolutegravir (TAF/FTC + DTG), tenofovir disoproxil fumarate/FTC + DTG (TDF/FTC + DTG), or TDF/FTC + efavirenz (TDF/FTC/EFV). The 5 and 10-year risks of CVD were calculated using D:A:D, QRISK and Framingham, and T2DM risk using QDiabetes, Cambridge Diabetes and Leicester Practice Risk scores. Participants were included in this analysis if they were above 30 years old at baseline. RESULTS: A total of 217 (TAF/FTC + DTG), 218 (TDF/FTC + DTG), and 215 (TDF/FTC/EFV) participants had 96-week data available. Weight gain was +8.1, +4.2, and +2.4 kg on TAF/FTC + DTG, TDF/FTC + DTG, and TDF/FTC/EFV, respectively. Participants on TAF/FTC + DTG had greatest risk scores for CVD (using QRISK) and T2DM, driven by weight changes. Differences were statistically significant between TAF/FTC + DTG and TDF/FTC/EFV for CVD risk using the QRISK equation, equivalent to one extra case per 1000 people treated over 10 years, and between all treatment groups for T2DM risk. Six extra T2DM cases were predicted on TAF/FTC + DTG vs. TDF/FTC + DTG using QDiabetes. CONCLUSION: Obesity, especially with TAF/FTC + DTG, drove increased risk of T2DM, with some evidence of greater CVD risk. However, predictive tools have not been validated in the HIV-positive and black African population. CI - Copyright (c) 2021 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved. FAU - McCann, Kaitlyn AU - McCann K AD - School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London. FAU - Shah, Shahini AU - Shah S AD - School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London. FAU - Hindley, Laura AU - Hindley L AD - School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London. FAU - Hill, Andrew AU - Hill A AD - Department of Translational Medicine, Liverpool University, Pharmacology, Liverpool. FAU - Qavi, Ambar AU - Qavi A AD - School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London. FAU - Simmons, Bryony AU - Simmons B AD - Department of Infectious Disease, Imperial College London, London, UK. FAU - Serenata, Celicia AU - Serenata C AD - Ezintsha, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa. FAU - Sokhela, Simiso AU - Sokhela S AD - Ezintsha, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa. FAU - Venter, Willem D F AU - Venter WDF AD - Ezintsha, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Randomized Controlled Trial PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PT - Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. PL - England TA - AIDS JT - AIDS (London, England) JID - 8710219 RN - 0 (Anti-HIV Agents) RN - G70B4ETF4S (Emtricitabine) SB - IM MH - Adult MH - *Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use MH - *Cardiovascular Diseases/chemically induced/epidemiology MH - *Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications/drug therapy MH - Emtricitabine/therapeutic use MH - Female MH - *HIV Infections/complications/drug therapy MH - Humans MH - Male MH - Retrospective Studies MH - South Africa/epidemiology MH - Weight Gain EDAT- 2021/05/01 06:00 MHDA- 2021/08/07 06:00 CRDT- 2021/04/30 06:12 PHST- 2021/05/01 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/08/07 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2021/04/30 06:12 [entrez] AID - 00002030-202108010-00015 [pii] AID - 10.1097/QAD.0000000000002930 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - AIDS. 2021 Aug 1;35(10):1657-1665. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000002930.