PMID- 34211109 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20240402 IS - 2398-6352 (Electronic) IS - 2398-6352 (Linking) VI - 4 IP - 1 DP - 2021 Jul 1 TI - Early prediction of diagnostic-related groups and estimation of hospital cost by processing clinical notes. PG - 103 LID - 10.1038/s41746-021-00474-9 [doi] LID - 103 AB - As healthcare providers receive fixed amounts of reimbursement for given services under DRG (Diagnosis-Related Groups) payment, DRG codes are valuable for cost monitoring and resource allocation. However, coding is typically performed retrospectively post-discharge. We seek to predict DRGs and DRG-based case mix index (CMI) at early inpatient admission using routine clinical text to estimate hospital cost in an acute setting. We examined a deep learning-based natural language processing (NLP) model to automatically predict per-episode DRGs and corresponding cost-reflecting weights on two cohorts (paid under Medicare Severity (MS) DRG or All Patient Refined (APR) DRG), without human coding efforts. It achieved macro-averaged area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) scores of 0.871 (SD 0.011) on MS-DRG and 0.884 (0.003) on APR-DRG in fivefold cross-validation experiments on the first day of ICU admission. When extended to simulated patient populations to estimate average cost-reflecting weights, the model increased its accuracy over time and obtained absolute CMI error of 2.40 (1.07%) and 12.79% (2.31%), respectively on the first day. As the model could adapt to variations in admission time, cohort size, and requires no extra manual coding efforts, it shows potential to help estimating costs for active patients to support better operational decision-making in hospitals. FAU - Liu, Jinghui AU - Liu J AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-7945-4165 AD - School of Computing and Information Systems, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. AD - Australian e-Health Research Centre, CSIRO, Brisbane, QLD, Australia. FAU - Capurro, Daniel AU - Capurro D AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-9256-1256 AD - School of Computing and Information Systems, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. AD - Centre for Digital Transformation of Health, Melbourne Medical School, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. FAU - Nguyen, Anthony AU - Nguyen A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-6215-6954 AD - Australian e-Health Research Centre, CSIRO, Brisbane, QLD, Australia. FAU - Verspoor, Karin AU - Verspoor K AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-8661-1544 AD - School of Computing and Information Systems, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. karin.verspoor@rmit.edu.au. AD - Centre for Digital Transformation of Health, Melbourne Medical School, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. karin.verspoor@rmit.edu.au. AD - School of Computing Technologies, RMIT University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. karin.verspoor@rmit.edu.au. LA - eng GR - 1134919/Department of Health | National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC)/ PT - Journal Article DEP - 20210701 PL - England TA - NPJ Digit Med JT - NPJ digital medicine JID - 101731738 PMC - PMC8249417 COIS- K.V. reports grants from National Health and Medical Research Council, grants from Australian Research Council, during the conduct of the study; personal fees from Pfizer, outside the submitted work. J.L, D.C., and A.N. have none to declare. EDAT- 2021/07/03 06:00 MHDA- 2021/07/03 06:01 PMCR- 2021/07/01 CRDT- 2021/07/02 06:28 PHST- 2021/01/11 00:00 [received] PHST- 2021/06/08 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2021/07/02 06:28 [entrez] PHST- 2021/07/03 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/07/03 06:01 [medline] PHST- 2021/07/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1038/s41746-021-00474-9 [pii] AID - 474 [pii] AID - 10.1038/s41746-021-00474-9 [doi] PST - epublish SO - NPJ Digit Med. 2021 Jul 1;4(1):103. doi: 10.1038/s41746-021-00474-9.