PMID- 34385029 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20220124 LR - 20220124 IS - 1878-1705 (Electronic) IS - 1567-5769 (Linking) VI - 99 DP - 2021 Oct TI - Prognostic nomogram incorporating cytokines for overall survival in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma. PG - 108016 LID - S1567-5769(21)00652-4 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.intimp.2021.108016 [doi] AB - OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to explore the relationship between pretreatment cytokine status and overall survival and establish a prognostic nomogram incorporating cytokines in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) patients. METHODS: A total of 121 patients with NDMM from the Wuhan Union Hospital were included in our study. Patient serum levels of cytokines, including macrophage inflammatory protein 1 alpha (MIP-1alpha), migration inhibitory factor (MIF), tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha), vascular endothelial growth factor-alpha (VEGF-alpha), monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) and soluble interleukins IL-17A, IL-6, IL-21 and IL-10 were assessed before treatment. Based on the results of the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, we developed a prognostic nomogram. We used the concordance index (C-index) and a calibration curve to measure the predictive performance of the nomogram. RESULTS: Three important variables (lactate dehydrogenase, MIP-1alpha and creatinine) were incorporated in the nomogram using multivariate Cox analysis. The 3-year overall survival (OS) rate and progression-free survival (PFS) rate were 83.8% and 21.8% in the low-risk group of the nomogram and 17.4% and 8.4% in the high-risk group, respectively. The C-index of the nomogram for OS prediction was 0.80 (95% CI: 0.68-0.92), showing superiority over the predictive power of the Durie-Salmon staging system (C-index = 0.58; 95% CI: 0.49-0.67), International Staging System (C-index = 0.70; 95% CI: 0.61-0.79) and Revised-International Staging System (C-index = 0.71; 95% CI: 0.63-0.80). The calibration curve showed that the nomogram accurately predicted the 1-year, 2-year and 3-year OS of NDMM patients. CONCLUSION: The established nomogram provides accurate and individualized OS risk estimation for NDMM patients. CI - Copyright (c) 2021. Published by Elsevier B.V. FAU - Cheng, Qianwen AU - Cheng Q AD - Institute of Hematology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, Hubei, China. FAU - Zhao, Fei AU - Zhao F AD - Institute of Hematology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, Hubei, China. FAU - Zhang, Bo AU - Zhang B AD - Institute of Hematology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, Hubei, China. FAU - Zhang, Yuyang AU - Zhang Y AD - Institute of Hematology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, Hubei, China. FAU - Cai, Li AU - Cai L AD - Institute of Hematology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, Hubei, China. FAU - Qiao, Bing AU - Qiao B AD - Institute of Hematology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, Hubei, China. FAU - Hu, Yu AU - Hu Y AD - Institute of Hematology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, Hubei, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, Hubei, China. Electronic address: dr_huyu@126.com. FAU - Sun, Chunyan AU - Sun C AD - Institute of Hematology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, Hubei, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, Hubei, China. Electronic address: suncy0618@163.com. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20210809 PL - Netherlands TA - Int Immunopharmacol JT - International immunopharmacology JID - 100965259 RN - 0 (Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing) RN - 0 (Biomarkers, Tumor) RN - 0 (Cytokines) RN - 0 (MAPKAP1 protein, human) RN - AYI8EX34EU (Creatinine) RN - EC 1.1.1.27 (L-Lactate Dehydrogenase) SB - IM MH - Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing/blood MH - Adult MH - Aged MH - Aged, 80 and over MH - Biomarkers, Tumor/*blood MH - Creatinine/blood MH - Cytokines/*blood MH - Female MH - Humans MH - L-Lactate Dehydrogenase/blood MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Multiple Myeloma/blood/diagnosis/immunology/*mortality MH - Multivariate Analysis MH - Neoplasm Staging MH - *Nomograms MH - Progression-Free Survival MH - Retrospective Studies MH - Survival Rate OTO - NOTNLM OT - Cytokines OT - Newly diagnosed multiple myeloma OT - Nomogram OT - Prognosis EDAT- 2021/08/14 06:00 MHDA- 2022/01/27 06:00 CRDT- 2021/08/13 06:04 PHST- 2021/03/10 00:00 [received] PHST- 2021/07/20 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2021/07/21 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2021/08/14 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/01/27 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2021/08/13 06:04 [entrez] AID - S1567-5769(21)00652-4 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.intimp.2021.108016 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Int Immunopharmacol. 2021 Oct;99:108016. doi: 10.1016/j.intimp.2021.108016. Epub 2021 Aug 9.