PMID- 34542037 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20211125 LR - 20211125 IS - 1878-6448 (Electronic) IS - 1053-8135 (Linking) VI - 49 IP - 3 DP - 2021 TI - Predictive models for independence after stroke rehabilitation: Maugeri external validation and development of a new model. PG - 415-424 LID - 10.3233/NRE-201619 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Many efforts have been devoted to identify predictors of functional outcomes after stroke rehabilitation. Though extensively recommended, there are very few external validation studies. OBJECTIVE: To externally validate two predictive models (Maugeri model 1 and model 2) and to develop a new model (model 3) that estimate the probability of achieving improvement in physical functioning (primary outcome) and a level of independence requiring no more than supervision (secondary outcome) after stroke rehabilitation. METHODS: We used multivariable logistic regression analysis for validation and development. Main outcome measures were: Functional Independence Measure (FIM) (primary outcome), Functional Independence Staging (FIS) (secondary outcome) and Minimal Clinically Important Difference (MCID). RESULTS: Patients with stroke admitted to a rehabilitation center from 2006 to 2019 were retrospectively studied (N = 710). Validation of Maugeri models confirmed very good discrimination: for model 1 AUC = 0.873 (0.833-0.915) and model 2 AUC = 0.803 (0.749-0.857). The Hosmer-Lemeshow chi2 was 6.07(p = 0.63) and 8.91(p = 0.34) respectively. Model 3 yielded an AUC = 0.894 (0.857-0.929) (primary outcome) and an AUC = 0.769 (0.714-0.825) (MCID). CONCLUSIONS: Discriminative power of both Maugeri models was externally confirmed (in a 20 years younger population) and a new model (incorporating aphasia) was developed outperforming Maugeri models in primary outcome and MCID. FAU - Garcia-Rudolph, Alejandro AU - Garcia-Rudolph A AD - Department of Research and Innovation, Institut Guttmann, Institut Universitari de Neurorehabilitacio adscrit a la UAB, Badalona, Barcelona, Spain. AD - Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Cerdanyola del Valles, Spain. AD - Fundacio Institut d'Investigacio en Ciencies de la Salut Germans Trias i Pujol, Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Bernabeu, Montserrat AU - Bernabeu M AD - Department of Research and Innovation, Institut Guttmann, Institut Universitari de Neurorehabilitacio adscrit a la UAB, Badalona, Barcelona, Spain. AD - Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Cerdanyola del Valles, Spain. AD - Fundacio Institut d'Investigacio en Ciencies de la Salut Germans Trias i Pujol, Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Cegarra, Blanca AU - Cegarra B AD - Department of Research and Innovation, Institut Guttmann, Institut Universitari de Neurorehabilitacio adscrit a la UAB, Badalona, Barcelona, Spain. AD - Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Cerdanyola del Valles, Spain. AD - Fundacio Institut d'Investigacio en Ciencies de la Salut Germans Trias i Pujol, Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Sauri, Joan AU - Sauri J AD - Department of Research and Innovation, Institut Guttmann, Institut Universitari de Neurorehabilitacio adscrit a la UAB, Badalona, Barcelona, Spain. AD - Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Cerdanyola del Valles, Spain. AD - Fundacio Institut d'Investigacio en Ciencies de la Salut Germans Trias i Pujol, Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Madai, Vince Istvan AU - Madai VI AD - CLAIM Charite Lab for AI in Medicine, Charite Universitatsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany. AD - QUEST Center for Transforming Biomedical Research, Berlin Institute of Health (BIH), Charite Universitatsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany. AD - School of Computing and Digital Technology, Faculty of Computing, Engineering and the Built Environment, Birmingham City University, Birmingham, United Kingdom. FAU - Frey, Dietmar AU - Frey D AD - CLAIM Charite Lab for AI in Medicine, Charite Universitatsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany. FAU - Opisso, Eloy AU - Opisso E AD - Department of Research and Innovation, Institut Guttmann, Institut Universitari de Neurorehabilitacio adscrit a la UAB, Badalona, Barcelona, Spain. AD - Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Cerdanyola del Valles, Spain. AD - Fundacio Institut d'Investigacio en Ciencies de la Salut Germans Trias i Pujol, Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Tormos, Josep Maria AU - Tormos JM AD - Department of Research and Innovation, Institut Guttmann, Institut Universitari de Neurorehabilitacio adscrit a la UAB, Badalona, Barcelona, Spain. AD - Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Cerdanyola del Valles, Spain. AD - Fundacio Institut d'Investigacio en Ciencies de la Salut Germans Trias i Pujol, Barcelona, Spain. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PL - Netherlands TA - NeuroRehabilitation JT - NeuroRehabilitation JID - 9113791 SB - IM MH - Activities of Daily Living MH - *Aphasia MH - Humans MH - Recovery of Function MH - Rehabilitation Centers MH - Retrospective Studies MH - *Stroke MH - *Stroke Rehabilitation OTO - NOTNLM OT - Stroke rehabilitation OT - activities of daily living OT - aphasia OT - predictors EDAT- 2021/09/21 06:00 MHDA- 2021/11/26 06:00 CRDT- 2021/09/20 08:50 PHST- 2021/09/21 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2021/11/26 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2021/09/20 08:50 [entrez] AID - NRE201619 [pii] AID - 10.3233/NRE-201619 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - NeuroRehabilitation. 2021;49(3):415-424. doi: 10.3233/NRE-201619.