PMID- 35227269 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20220302 LR - 20220308 IS - 1477-7819 (Electronic) IS - 1477-7819 (Linking) VI - 20 IP - 1 DP - 2022 Feb 28 TI - Development and validation of nomogram to predict very early recurrence of combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma after hepatic resection: a multi-institutional study. PG - 60 LID - 10.1186/s12957-022-02536-y [doi] LID - 60 AB - BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Combined hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC) has a high incidence of early recurrence. The objective of this study is to construct a model predicting very early recurrence (VER) (i.e., recurrence within 6 months after surgery) of cHCC. METHODS: One hundred thirty-one consecutive patients from Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital served as a development cohort to construct a nomogram predicting VER by using multi-variable logistic regression analysis. The model was internally and externally validated in a validation cohort of 90 patients from Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital using the C concordance statistic, calibration analysis, and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: The VER nomogram contains microvascular invasion (MiVI), macrovascular invasion (MaVI), and CA19-9 > 25 mAU/mL. The model shows good discrimination with C-indexes of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.69-0.85) and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.66-0.86) in the development cohort and validation cohort respectively. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model is clinically useful and the calibration of our model was favorable. Our model stratified patients into two different risk groups, which exhibited significantly different VER. CONCLUSIONS: Our model demonstrated favorable performance in predicting VER in cHCC patients. CI - (c) 2022. The Author(s). FAU - Wu, Yijun AU - Wu Y AD - Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350025, People's Republic of China. FAU - Liu, Hongzhi AU - Liu H AD - Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350025, People's Republic of China. FAU - Zeng, Jianxing AU - Zeng J AD - Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350025, People's Republic of China. FAU - Chen, Yifan AU - Chen Y AD - Shengli Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhoum, People's Republic of China. FAU - Fang, Guoxu AU - Fang G AD - Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350025, People's Republic of China. FAU - Zhang, Jinyu AU - Zhang J AD - Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350025, People's Republic of China. FAU - Zhou, Weiping AU - Zhou W AD - Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, 200438, People's Republic of China. FAU - Zeng, Yongyi AU - Zeng Y AD - Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350025, People's Republic of China. lamp197311@126.com. FAU - Liu, Jingfeng AU - Liu J AD - Fujian Medical University Cancer Hospital & Fujian Cancer Hospital, No. 420, Fuma Road, Fuzhou, 350014, Fujian, People's Republic of China. drjingfeng@126.com. AD - The Big Data Institute of Southeast Hepatobiliary Health Information, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350025, People's Republic of China. drjingfeng@126.com. LA - eng GR - 2020-WS-57/Fuzhou Science and Technology Bureau project/ GR - 2020-WS-92/Fuzhou Science and Technology Bureau project/ PT - Journal Article PT - Multicenter Study DEP - 20220228 PL - England TA - World J Surg Oncol JT - World journal of surgical oncology JID - 101170544 SB - IM MH - *Bile Duct Neoplasms/pathology/surgery MH - Bile Ducts, Intrahepatic/pathology MH - *Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/pathology/surgery MH - *Cholangiocarcinoma/pathology/surgery MH - Hepatectomy MH - Humans MH - *Liver Neoplasms/pathology/surgery MH - Nomograms MH - Retrospective Studies PMC - PMC8883704 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC) OT - Nomogram OT - Prognosis OT - Very early recurrence COIS- The authors declare that they have no competing interests. EDAT- 2022/03/02 06:00 MHDA- 2022/03/03 06:00 PMCR- 2022/02/28 CRDT- 2022/03/01 05:42 PHST- 2021/11/23 00:00 [received] PHST- 2022/02/18 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2022/03/01 05:42 [entrez] PHST- 2022/03/02 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/03/03 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2022/02/28 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1186/s12957-022-02536-y [pii] AID - 2536 [pii] AID - 10.1186/s12957-022-02536-y [doi] PST - epublish SO - World J Surg Oncol. 2022 Feb 28;20(1):60. doi: 10.1186/s12957-022-02536-y.