PMID- 35559908 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20220517 LR - 20220607 IS - 2213-5383 (Electronic) IS - 2213-5383 (Linking) VI - 28 DP - 2021 Jun TI - Budget projections and clinical impact of an immuno-oncology class of treatments: Experience in four EU markets. PG - 100279 LID - S2213-5383(21)00010-2 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.jcpo.2021.100279 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Immunotherapies have revolutionized oncology, but their rapid expansion may potentially put healthcare budgets under strain. We developed an approach to reduce demand uncertainty and inform decision makers and payers of the potential health outcomes and budget impact of the anti-PD-1/PD-L1 class of immuno-oncology (IO) treatments. METHODS: We used partitioned survival modelling and budget impact analysis to estimate overall survival, progression-free survival, life years gained (LYG), and number of adverse events (AEs), comparing "worlds with and without" anti-PD-1/PD-L1s over five years. The cancer types initially included melanoma, first and second line non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), bladder, head and neck, renal cell carcinoma, and triple negative breast cancer [1]. Inputs were based on publicly available data, literature, and expert advice. RESULTS: The model [2] estimated budget and health impact of the anti-PD-1/PD-L1s and projected that between 2018-2022 the class [3] would have a manageable economic impact per year, compared to the current standard of care (SOC). The first country adaptations showed that for that period Belgium would save around 11,100 additional life years and avoid 6,100 AEs. Slovenia - 1,470 LYGs and 870 AEs avoided; Austria - respectively 4,200, 3,000; Italy - 19,800, 6,800. For Austria, the class had a projected share of about 4.5 % of the cancer care budget and 0.4 % of the total 2020 healthcare budget. For Belgium, Slovenia, and Italy - respectively 15.1 % and 1.1 %, 12.6 %, 0.6 %, and 6.5 %, 0.5 %. CONCLUSION: The Health Impact Projection (HIP) is a horizon scanning model designed to estimate the potential budget and health impact of the PD-(L)1 inhibitor class at a country level for the next five years. It provides valuable data to payers which they can use to support their reimbursement plans. POLICY SUMMARY: The model is a strategic tool which allows decisionmakers to assess the implications of policy decisions, such as additional investment, or accelerated access to IOs. It can drive tangible population health benefits by eliminating the questions around PD-(L)1 inhibitor spending and its related outcomes. CI - Copyright (c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. FAU - Rachev, Boris AU - Rachev B AD - Merck & Co., Inc., 351 N Sumneytown Pike, North Wales, PA, 19454, USA. Electronic address: boris.rachev@merck.com. FAU - Wilking, Nils AU - Wilking N AD - Department of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Solnavagen 1, 171 77, Solna, Sweden. FAU - Kobelt, Gisela AU - Kobelt G AD - European Health Economics, 492 Chemin des Laurens, F-06530, Speracedes, France. FAU - Spandonaro, Federico AU - Spandonaro F AD - Universita di Roma Tor Vergata, Via Cracovia, 50, 00133, Roma, RM, Italy. FAU - Rajer, Mirjana AU - Rajer M AD - Oncology Institute Ljubljana, Zaloska cesta 2, 1000, Ljubljana, Slovenia. FAU - Roediger, Alexander AU - Roediger A AD - MSD International GmbH, Ringstrasse 27, 6010, Kriens, Switzerland. FAU - Normand, Raphael AU - Normand R AD - MSD International GmbH, Ringstrasse 27, 6010, Kriens, Switzerland. FAU - Zielinski, Christoph AU - Zielinski C AD - Vienna Cancer Center (VCC), Vienna Medical University, BT86/E 01, Spitalgasse 23, 1090, Wien, Austria. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20210226 PL - England TA - J Cancer Policy JT - Journal of cancer policy JID - 101639933 SB - IM MH - Budgets MH - *Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/drug therapy MH - Humans MH - *Lung Neoplasms/drug therapy MH - Medical Oncology MH - *Melanoma MH - Progression-Free Survival OTO - NOTNLM OT - Budget projections OT - Clinical impact OT - Immuno-oncology OT - PD-1/PD-L1 EDAT- 2022/05/14 06:00 MHDA- 2022/05/18 06:00 CRDT- 2022/05/13 18:42 PHST- 2020/09/30 00:00 [received] PHST- 2021/02/16 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2021/02/24 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2022/05/13 18:42 [entrez] PHST- 2022/05/14 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/05/18 06:00 [medline] AID - S2213-5383(21)00010-2 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.jcpo.2021.100279 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - J Cancer Policy. 2021 Jun;28:100279. doi: 10.1016/j.jcpo.2021.100279. Epub 2021 Feb 26.