PMID- 35566406 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20230308 IS - 2077-0383 (Print) IS - 2077-0383 (Electronic) IS - 2077-0383 (Linking) VI - 11 IP - 9 DP - 2022 Apr 19 TI - Short-Term Mortality in Patients with Heart Failure at the End-of-Life Stages: Hades Study. LID - 10.3390/jcm11092280 [doi] LID - 2280 AB - Background: Information regarding short-term vital prognosis in patients with heart failure at advanced stages of the disease is scarce. Objective: To develop a three-month mortality predictive model for patients with advanced heart failure. Methods: Prospective observational study carried out in primary care and a convalescence community facility. Heart failure patients either New York Heart Association (NYHA) III with at least two HF hospitalizations during the previous six months or NYHA IV with/without previous recent hospitalization were included in the study. Multivariable predictive models using Cox regression were performed. Results: Of 271 patients included, 55 (20.3%) died during the first three months of follow-up. Mean age was 84.2 years (SD 8.3) and 59.8% were women. Predictive model including NT-proBNP had a C-index of 0.78 (95% CI 0.71; 0.85) and identified male gender, low body mass index, high potassium and NT-proBNP levels, and moderate-to-severe dependence for daily living activities (Barthel index < 40) as risk factors of mortality. In the model without NT-proBNP, C index was 0.72 (95% CI 0.64; 0.79) and, in addition to gender, body mass index, low Barthel index, and severe reductions in glomerular filtration rate showed the highest predictive hazard ratios for short-term mortality. Conclusions: In addition to age, male gender, potassium levels, low body mass index, and low glomerular filtration, dependence for activities of daily living add strong power to predict mortality at three months in patients with advanced heart failure. FAU - Munoz, Miguel Angel AU - Munoz MA AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-4083-3248 AD - Gerencia Territorial de Barcelona (Primary Healthcare), Institut Catala de la Salut, 08007 Barcelona, Spain. AD - Departament de Ciencies Experimentals i de la Salut, School of Medicine, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 08002 Barcelona, Spain. AD - Institut Universitari d'Investigacio en Atencio Primaria Jordi Gol (IDIAP Jordi Gol), 08007 Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Calero, Esther AU - Calero E AD - Bellvitge University Hospital, Institut Catala de la Salut, 08921 Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Duran, Julio AU - Duran J AD - Clinica Sant Antoni (Institut Medic i de Rehabilitacio), 08038 Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Navas, Elena AU - Navas E AD - Institut Universitari d'Investigacio en Atencio Primaria Jordi Gol (IDIAP Jordi Gol), 08007 Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Alonso, Susana AU - Alonso S AD - Gerencia Territorial de Barcelona (Primary Healthcare), Institut Catala de la Salut, 08007 Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Argemi, Nuria AU - Argemi N AD - Gerencia Territorial de Barcelona (Primary Healthcare), Institut Catala de la Salut, 08007 Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Casademunt, Marta AU - Casademunt M AD - Gerencia Territorial de Barcelona (Primary Healthcare), Institut Catala de la Salut, 08007 Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Furio, Patricia AU - Furio P AD - Gerencia Territorial de Barcelona (Primary Healthcare), Institut Catala de la Salut, 08007 Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Casajuana, Elena AU - Casajuana E AD - Gerencia Territorial de Barcelona (Primary Healthcare), Institut Catala de la Salut, 08007 Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Torralba, Nuria AU - Torralba N AD - Gerencia Territorial de Barcelona (Primary Healthcare), Institut Catala de la Salut, 08007 Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Farre, Nuria AU - Farre N AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-3110-6572 AD - Hospital del Mar Medical Research Institute, 08003 Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Abellana, Rosa AU - Abellana R AD - Departament de Fonaments Clinics-Bioestadistica, School of Medicine, Universitat de Barcelona, 08007 Barcelona, Spain. FAU - Verdu-Rotellar, Jose-Maria AU - Verdu-Rotellar JM AD - Gerencia Territorial de Barcelona (Primary Healthcare), Institut Catala de la Salut, 08007 Barcelona, Spain. AD - Departament de Ciencies Experimentals i de la Salut, School of Medicine, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 08002 Barcelona, Spain. AD - Institut Universitari d'Investigacio en Atencio Primaria Jordi Gol (IDIAP Jordi Gol), 08007 Barcelona, Spain. FAU - On Behalf Of Hades Study AU - On Behalf Of Hades Study LA - eng GR - SLT002/16/00073/Departament de Salut/ PT - Journal Article DEP - 20220419 PL - Switzerland TA - J Clin Med JT - Journal of clinical medicine JID - 101606588 PMC - PMC9101156 OTO - NOTNLM OT - community setting OT - end of life OT - heart failure OT - mortality OT - predictive model OT - prognostic OT - short term prognosis COIS- The authors declare that they have no competing interest. EDAT- 2022/05/15 06:00 MHDA- 2022/05/15 06:01 PMCR- 2022/04/19 CRDT- 2022/05/14 01:25 PHST- 2022/03/18 00:00 [received] PHST- 2022/04/12 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2022/04/18 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2022/05/14 01:25 [entrez] PHST- 2022/05/15 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/05/15 06:01 [medline] PHST- 2022/04/19 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - jcm11092280 [pii] AID - jcm-11-02280 [pii] AID - 10.3390/jcm11092280 [doi] PST - epublish SO - J Clin Med. 2022 Apr 19;11(9):2280. doi: 10.3390/jcm11092280.