PMID- 35577837 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20220519 LR - 20231101 IS - 2045-2322 (Electronic) IS - 2045-2322 (Linking) VI - 12 IP - 1 DP - 2022 May 16 TI - SARS-CoV-2 in silico binding affinity to human leukocyte antigen (HLA) Class II molecules predicts vaccine effectiveness across variants of concern (VOC). PG - 8074 LID - 10.1038/s41598-022-11956-5 [doi] LID - 8074 AB - There is widespread concern about the clinical effectiveness of current vaccines in preventing Covid-19 caused by SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern (Williams in Lancet Respir Med 29:333-335, 2021; Hayawi in Vaccines 9:1305, 2021), including those identified at present (Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, Omicron) and possibly new ones arising in the future. It would be valuable to be able to predict vaccine effectiveness for any variant. Here we offer such an estimate of predicted vaccine effectiveness for any SARS-CoV-2 variant based on the amount of overlap of in silico high binding affinity of the variant and Wildtype spike glycoproteins to a pool of frequent Human Leukocyte Antigen Class II molecules which are necessary for initiating antibody production (Blum et al. in Annu Rev Immunol 31:443-473, 2013). The predictive model was strong (r = 0.910) and statistically significant (P = 0.013). CI - (c) 2022. The Author(s). FAU - Charonis, Spyros A AU - Charonis SA AD - The HLA SARS-CoV-2 Research Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Health Care System, Brain Sciences Center (11B), Minneapolis VAHCS, One Veterans Drive, Minneapolis, MN, 55417, USA. AD - Department of Neuroscience, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, MN, 55455, USA. FAU - James, Lisa M AU - James LM AD - The HLA SARS-CoV-2 Research Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Health Care System, Brain Sciences Center (11B), Minneapolis VAHCS, One Veterans Drive, Minneapolis, MN, 55417, USA. AD - Department of Neuroscience, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, MN, 55455, USA. FAU - Georgopoulos, Apostolos P AU - Georgopoulos AP AD - The HLA SARS-CoV-2 Research Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Health Care System, Brain Sciences Center (11B), Minneapolis VAHCS, One Veterans Drive, Minneapolis, MN, 55417, USA. omega@umn.edu. AD - Department of Neuroscience, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, MN, 55455, USA. omega@umn.edu. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PT - Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. DEP - 20220516 PL - England TA - Sci Rep JT - Scientific reports JID - 101563288 RN - 0 (HLA Antigens) RN - 0 (Spike Glycoprotein, Coronavirus) RN - 0 (Vaccines) RN - 0 (spike protein, SARS-CoV-2) RN - SARS-CoV-2 variants SB - IM MH - *COVID-19/prevention & control MH - HLA Antigens MH - Humans MH - SARS-CoV-2 MH - Spike Glycoprotein, Coronavirus/metabolism MH - Vaccine Efficacy MH - *Vaccines PMC - PMC9109665 COIS- The authors declare no competing interests. EDAT- 2022/05/17 06:00 MHDA- 2022/05/20 06:00 PMCR- 2022/05/16 CRDT- 2022/05/16 23:18 PHST- 2022/01/14 00:00 [received] PHST- 2022/04/26 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2022/05/16 23:18 [entrez] PHST- 2022/05/17 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/05/20 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2022/05/16 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1038/s41598-022-11956-5 [pii] AID - 11956 [pii] AID - 10.1038/s41598-022-11956-5 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Sci Rep. 2022 May 16;12(1):8074. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-11956-5.