PMID- 35714161 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20220621 LR - 20220719 IS - 1932-6203 (Electronic) IS - 1932-6203 (Linking) VI - 17 IP - 6 DP - 2022 TI - Risk factors for Fontan-associated hepatocellular carcinoma. PG - e0270230 LID - 10.1371/journal.pone.0270230 [doi] LID - e0270230 AB - AIMS: The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with Fontan-associated liver disease (i.e., FALD-HCC) has increased over time. However, the risk factors for HCC development remain unclear. Here, we compared the levels of non-invasive markers to the survival rate of FALD-HCC patients. METHODS: From 2003 to 2021, 154 patients (66 men, 42.9%) developed liver disease after undergoing Fontan procedures. HCC was diagnosed in 15 (9.7%) (8 men, 53.3%) at a median age of 34 years (range, 21-45 years). We compared FALD-HCC and non-HCC cases; we generated marker level cutoffs using receiver operating characteristic curves. We sought to identify risk factors for HCC and mortality. RESULTS: The incidence of HCC was 4.9% in FALD patients within 20 years after the Fontan procedure. Compared with non-HCC patients, FALD-HCC patients exhibited higher incidences of polysplenia and esophageal varices. At the time of HCC development, the hyaluronic acid (HA) level (p = 0.04) and the fibrosis-4 index (p = 0.02) were significantly higher in FALD-HCC patients than in non-HCC patients; the total bilirubin (T-BIL) level (p = 0.07) and the model for end-stage liver disease score [excluding the international normalized ratio (MELD-XI)] (p = 0.06) tended to be higher in FALD-HCC patients. Within approximately 20 years of the Fontan procedure, 10 patients died (survival rate, 96.9%). Kaplan-Meier curve analysis indicated that patients with T-BIL levels >/= 2.2 mg/dL, HA levels >/= 55.5 ng/mL, and MELD-XI scores >/= 18.7 were at high risk of HCC, a generally poor prognosis, and both polysplenia and esophageal varices. Multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated that the complication of polysplenia [Hazard ratio (HR): 10.915] and a higher MELD-XI score (HR: 1.148, both p < 0.01) were independent risk factors for FALD-HCC. CONCLUSIONS: The complication of polysplenia and a MELD-XI score may predict HCC development and mortality in FALD patients. FAU - Kogiso, Tomomi AU - Kogiso T AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-1248-4324 AD - Department of Internal Medicine, Institute of Gastroenterology, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. FAU - Sagawa, Takaomi AU - Sagawa T AD - Department of Internal Medicine, Institute of Gastroenterology, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. FAU - Taniai, Makiko AU - Taniai M AD - Department of Internal Medicine, Institute of Gastroenterology, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. FAU - Shimada, Eriko AU - Shimada E AD - Pediatric Cardiology and Adult Congenital Cardiology, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. FAU - Inai, Kei AU - Inai K AD - Pediatric Cardiology and Adult Congenital Cardiology, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. FAU - Shinohara, Tokuko AU - Shinohara T AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-2268-3266 AD - Pediatric Cardiology and Adult Congenital Cardiology, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. FAU - Tokushige, Katsutoshi AU - Tokushige K AD - Department of Internal Medicine, Institute of Gastroenterology, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. LA - eng SI - figshare/10.6084/m9.figshare.18515690 PT - Journal Article DEP - 20220617 PL - United States TA - PLoS One JT - PloS one JID - 101285081 RN - 0 (Biomarkers) SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Biomarkers MH - *Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology/etiology/surgery MH - *End Stage Liver Disease/complications MH - *Esophageal and Gastric Varices/complications MH - Humans MH - *Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology/etiology/surgery MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Prognosis MH - Retrospective Studies MH - Risk Factors MH - Severity of Illness Index MH - Young Adult PMC - PMC9205474 COIS- KT has received research funding from Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma Co., Ltd., Astellas Pharma Inc., Eisai Co., Ltd., Taiho Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Daiichi Sankyo Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., AbbVie GK, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Asahi Kasei Corporation. Ajinomoto Co., Inc., and Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. The authors received no specific support for this work from a commercial source. We have no declarations relating to employment, consultancy, patents, products in development, marketed products, etc. EDAT- 2022/06/18 06:00 MHDA- 2022/06/22 06:00 PMCR- 2022/06/17 CRDT- 2022/06/17 13:44 PHST- 2021/12/18 00:00 [received] PHST- 2022/06/07 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2022/06/17 13:44 [entrez] PHST- 2022/06/18 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/06/22 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2022/06/17 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - PONE-D-21-39903 [pii] AID - 10.1371/journal.pone.0270230 [doi] PST - epublish SO - PLoS One. 2022 Jun 17;17(6):e0270230. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0270230. eCollection 2022.