PMID- 35916701 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20220930 IS - 2291-9694 (Print) IS - 2291-9694 (Electronic) VI - 10 IP - 8 DP - 2022 Aug 2 TI - Uncertainty Estimation in Medical Image Classification: Systematic Review. PG - e36427 LID - 10.2196/36427 [doi] LID - e36427 AB - BACKGROUND: Deep neural networks are showing impressive results in different medical image classification tasks. However, for real-world applications, there is a need to estimate the network's uncertainty together with its prediction. OBJECTIVE: In this review, we investigate in what form uncertainty estimation has been applied to the task of medical image classification. We also investigate which metrics are used to describe the effectiveness of the applied uncertainty estimation. METHODS: Google Scholar, PubMed, IEEE Xplore, and ScienceDirect were screened for peer-reviewed studies, published between 2016 and 2021, that deal with uncertainty estimation in medical image classification. The search terms "uncertainty," "uncertainty estimation," "network calibration," and "out-of-distribution detection" were used in combination with the terms "medical images," "medical image analysis," and "medical image classification." RESULTS: A total of 22 papers were chosen for detailed analysis through the systematic review process. This paper provides a table for a systematic comparison of the included works with respect to the applied method for estimating the uncertainty. CONCLUSIONS: The applied methods for estimating uncertainties are diverse, but the sampling-based methods Monte-Carlo Dropout and Deep Ensembles are used most frequently. We concluded that future works can investigate the benefits of uncertainty estimation in collaborative settings of artificial intelligence systems and human experts. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): RR2-10.2196/11936. CI - (c)Alexander Kurz, Katja Hauser, Hendrik Alexander Mehrtens, Eva Krieghoff-Henning, Achim Hekler, Jakob Nikolas Kather, Stefan Frohling, Christof von Kalle, Titus Josef Brinker. Originally published in JMIR Medical Informatics (https://medinform.jmir.org), 02.08.2022. FAU - Kurz, Alexander AU - Kurz A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-6175-9203 AD - Digital Biomarkers for Oncology Group, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany. FAU - Hauser, Katja AU - Hauser K AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-9390-3505 AD - Digital Biomarkers for Oncology Group, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany. FAU - Mehrtens, Hendrik Alexander AU - Mehrtens HA AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-1234-5041 AD - Digital Biomarkers for Oncology Group, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany. FAU - Krieghoff-Henning, Eva AU - Krieghoff-Henning E AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-8381-3100 AD - Digital Biomarkers for Oncology Group, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany. FAU - Hekler, Achim AU - Hekler A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-4974-2457 AD - Digital Biomarkers for Oncology Group, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany. FAU - Kather, Jakob Nikolas AU - Kather JN AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-3730-5348 AD - Department of Medicine III, University Hospital RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany. FAU - Frohling, Stefan AU - Frohling S AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-7907-4595 AD - Department of Translational Medical Oncology, National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany. FAU - von Kalle, Christof AU - von Kalle C AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-9221-3297 AD - Department of Clinical-Translational Sciences, Berlin Institute of Health (BIH), Berlin, Germany. FAU - Brinker, Titus Josef AU - Brinker TJ AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-3620-5919 AD - Digital Biomarkers for Oncology Group, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Review DEP - 20220802 PL - Canada TA - JMIR Med Inform JT - JMIR medical informatics JID - 101645109 PMC - PMC9382553 OTO - NOTNLM OT - deep learning OT - medical image classification OT - medical imaging OT - network calibration OT - out-of-distribution detection OT - uncertainty estimation COIS- Conflicts of Interest: TJB is the owner of Smart Health Heidelberg GmbH (Handschuhsheimer Landstr. 9/1, 69120 Heidelberg, Germany, https://smarthealth.de) which develops telemedicine mobile apps (such as AppDoc; https://online-hautarzt.net and Intimarzt; https://intimarzt.de), outside of the submitted work. EDAT- 2022/08/03 06:00 MHDA- 2022/08/03 06:01 PMCR- 2022/08/02 CRDT- 2022/08/02 10:13 PHST- 2022/01/14 00:00 [received] PHST- 2022/06/04 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2022/04/11 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2022/08/02 10:13 [entrez] PHST- 2022/08/03 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/08/03 06:01 [medline] PHST- 2022/08/02 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - v10i8e36427 [pii] AID - 10.2196/36427 [doi] PST - epublish SO - JMIR Med Inform. 2022 Aug 2;10(8):e36427. doi: 10.2196/36427.