PMID- 35999859 OWN - NLM STAT- Publisher LR - 20240216 IS - 1573-2975 (Electronic) IS - 1387-585X (Print) IS - 1387-585X (Linking) DP - 2022 Aug 19 TI - Examining industrial air pollution embodied in trade: implications of a hypothetical China-UK FTA. PG - 1-27 LID - 10.1007/s10668-022-02612-z [doi] AB - Very few developed economies have a full free trade agreement (FTA) with China. This study employs one GTAP model and builds an extended environmental multi-region input-output model to investigate a hypothetical China-UK FTA, concerning embodied industrial emissions of SO(2), PM(2.5), NO(X), and NH(3). The economic sectors are also classified based on their embodied pollution intensity and trade advantage index under various FTA scenarios. Results show that the UK's GDP and welfare and China's welfare will increase, along with changes in their trade structures. Overall, this FTA brings about larger net impacts on embodied emissions of SO(2) than on PM(2.5), NO(X) and NH(3), and both countries are net importers of the latter three pollutants. Key sectors such as non-metallic mineral products, chemical products, and agriculture are inclined to become less competitive and less polluting under the FTA. The inclusion of agri-food sectors exhibits slight counteracting effects in general. The findings are of policy importance as they provide insights into how best to target key sectors, seeking a balance between trade development and environmental protection. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10668-022-02612-z. CI - (c) The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2022, Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. FAU - Zhang, Yuquan W AU - Zhang YW AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-7636-9451 AD - China-UK Low Carbon College, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 3 Yinlian Road, Pudong New Area, Shanghai, 201306 China. GRID: grid.16821.3c. ISNI: 0000 0004 0368 8293 FAU - Geng, Yong AU - Geng Y AD - School of International and Public Affairs, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 1954 Huashan Road, Shanghai, 200030 China. GRID: grid.16821.3c. ISNI: 0000 0004 0368 8293 AD - School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 800 Dongchuan Road, Shanghai, 200240 China. GRID: grid.16821.3c. ISNI: 0000 0004 0368 8293 AD - China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 1954 Huashan Road, Shanghai, 200030 China. GRID: grid.16821.3c. ISNI: 0000 0004 0368 8293 AD - Shanghai Institute of Pollution Control and Ecological Security, Shanghai, 200092 China. GRID: grid.24516.34. ISNI: 0000000123704535 FAU - Zhang, Bin AU - Zhang B AD - Policy Research Centre for Environment and Economy, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, 1 Yuhuinan Road, Chaoyang, Beijing, 100029 China. GRID: grid.419900.5. ISNI: 0000 0001 2153 1597 FAU - Yang, Shaohua AU - Yang S AD - China-UK Low Carbon College, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 3 Yinlian Road, Pudong New Area, Shanghai, 201306 China. GRID: grid.16821.3c. ISNI: 0000 0004 0368 8293 FAU - Izikowitz, David V AU - Izikowitz DV AD - China-UK Low Carbon College, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 3 Yinlian Road, Pudong New Area, Shanghai, 201306 China. GRID: grid.16821.3c. ISNI: 0000 0004 0368 8293 FAU - Yin, Haitao AU - Yin H AD - Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China. GRID: grid.16821.3c. ISNI: 0000 0004 0368 8293 FAU - Wu, Fei AU - Wu F AD - Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland. GRID: grid.5801.c. ISNI: 0000 0001 2156 2780 AD - Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands. GRID: grid.5292.c. ISNI: 0000 0001 2097 4740 FAU - Yu, Haishan AU - Yu H AD - China-UK Low Carbon College, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 3 Yinlian Road, Pudong New Area, Shanghai, 201306 China. GRID: grid.16821.3c. ISNI: 0000 0004 0368 8293 FAU - Liu, Huiwen AU - Liu H AD - China-UK Low Carbon College, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 3 Yinlian Road, Pudong New Area, Shanghai, 201306 China. GRID: grid.16821.3c. ISNI: 0000 0004 0368 8293 FAU - Zhou, Weiduo AU - Zhou W AD - Institute of Ecology and Sustainable Development, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, Shanghai, China. GRID: grid.464453.4. ISNI: 0000 0001 2166 8833 LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20220819 PL - Netherlands TA - Environ Dev Sustain JT - Environment, development and sustainability JID - 101769312 PMC - PMC9388994 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Embodied pollution OT - Environmental MRIO OT - FTA OT - GTAP OT - Trade competitiveness COIS- Conflict of interestThe authors have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose. EDAT- 2022/08/25 06:00 MHDA- 2022/08/25 06:00 PMCR- 2022/08/19 CRDT- 2022/08/24 01:44 PHST- 2021/12/05 00:00 [received] PHST- 2022/08/08 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2022/08/24 01:44 [entrez] PHST- 2022/08/25 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/08/25 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2022/08/19 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 2612 [pii] AID - 10.1007/s10668-022-02612-z [doi] PST - aheadofprint SO - Environ Dev Sustain. 2022 Aug 19:1-27. doi: 10.1007/s10668-022-02612-z.