PMID- 36315242 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20230404 LR - 20230409 IS - 1469-8978 (Electronic) IS - 0033-2917 (Print) IS - 0033-2917 (Linking) VI - 53 IP - 4 DP - 2023 Mar TI - Forecasting prognostic trajectories with mismatch negativity in early psychosis. PG - 1489-1499 LID - 10.1017/S0033291721003068 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Prognostic heterogeneity in early psychosis patients yields significant difficulties in determining the degree and duration of early intervention; this heterogeneity highlights the need for prognostic biomarkers. Although mismatch negativity (MMN) has been widely studied across early phases of psychotic disorders, its potential as a common prognostic biomarker in early periods, such as clinical high risk (CHR) for psychosis and first-episode psychosis (FEP), has not been fully studied. METHODS: A total of 104 FEP patients, 102 CHR individuals, and 107 healthy controls (HCs) participated in baseline MMN recording. Clinical outcomes were assessed; 17 FEP patients were treatment resistant, 73 FEP patients were nonresistant, 56 CHR individuals were nonremitters (15 transitioned to a psychotic disorder), and 22 CHR subjects were remitters. Baseline MMN amplitudes were compared across clinical outcome groups and tested for utility prognostic biomarkers using binary logistic regression. RESULTS: MMN amplitudes were greatest in HCs, intermediate in CHR subjects, and smallest in FEP patients. In the clinical outcome groups, MMN amplitudes were reduced from the baseline in both FEP and CHR patients with poor prognostic trajectories. Reduced baseline MMN amplitudes were a significant predictor of later treatment resistance in FEP patients [Exp(beta) = 2.100, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.104-3.993, p = 0.024] and nonremission in CHR individuals [Exp(beta) = 1.898, 95% CI 1.065-3.374, p = 0.030]. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that MMN could be used as a common prognostic biomarker across early psychosis periods, which will aid clinical decisions for early intervention. FAU - Kim, Minah AU - Kim M AD - Department of Neuropsychiatry, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea. AD - Department of Psychiatry, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea. FAU - Kim, Taekwan AU - Kim T AD - Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences, Seoul National University College of Natural Sciences, Seoul, Republic of Korea. FAU - Hwang, Wu Jeong AU - Hwang WJ AD - Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences, Seoul National University College of Natural Sciences, Seoul, Republic of Korea. FAU - Lho, Silvia Kyungjin AU - Lho SK AD - Department of Neuropsychiatry, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea. AD - Department of Psychiatry, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea. FAU - Moon, Sun-Young AU - Moon SY AD - Department of Neuropsychiatry, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea. AD - Department of Psychiatry, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea. FAU - Lee, Tae Young AU - Lee TY AD - Department of Neuropsychiatry, Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital, Yangsan, Republic of Korea. AD - Institute of Human Behavioral Medicine, SNU-MRC, Seoul, Republic of Korea. FAU - Kwon, Jun Soo AU - Kwon JS AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-1060-1462 AD - Department of Neuropsychiatry, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea. AD - Department of Psychiatry, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea. AD - Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences, Seoul National University College of Natural Sciences, Seoul, Republic of Korea. AD - Institute of Human Behavioral Medicine, SNU-MRC, Seoul, Republic of Korea. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20210902 PL - England TA - Psychol Med JT - Psychological medicine JID - 1254142 RN - 0 (Biomarkers) SB - IM MH - Humans MH - *Schizophrenia MH - Prognosis MH - Electroencephalography MH - *Psychotic Disorders MH - Logistic Models MH - Biomarkers PMC - PMC10009395 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Clinical high risk OT - early psychosis OT - event-related potential OT - first-episode psychosis OT - mismatch negativity OT - prognostic marker EDAT- 2021/09/02 00:00 MHDA- 2023/04/04 06:42 PMCR- 2023/03/13 CRDT- 2022/10/31 12:02 PHST- 2023/04/04 06:42 [medline] PHST- 2021/09/02 00:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/10/31 12:02 [entrez] PHST- 2023/03/13 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - S0033291721003068 [pii] AID - 10.1017/S0033291721003068 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Psychol Med. 2023 Mar;53(4):1489-1499. doi: 10.1017/S0033291721003068. Epub 2021 Sep 2.