PMID- 36319811 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20221103 LR - 20221229 IS - 2045-2322 (Electronic) IS - 2045-2322 (Linking) VI - 12 IP - 1 DP - 2022 Nov 1 TI - BMI variability and incident diabetes mellitus, Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS). PG - 18370 LID - 10.1038/s41598-022-22817-6 [doi] LID - 18370 AB - Previous epidemiologic studies debated the association of body mass index (BMI) trends with cardiovascular disease and mortality. This study aimed to evaluate the association of BMI variability and slope with the incidence of Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in a sex-stratified 15.8-year follow-up in the population-based Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS). Of 10,911 individuals aged 20-60 years, 4981 subjects were included and followed for 15.8-years. The slope coefficient of BMI in the linear regression model represented individuals' BMI trends up to the incidence of DM. The root mean squared error (RMSE) of the BMI linear trend was selected to reflect BMI variability through six follow-ups. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to investigate the association of the baseline BMI, BMI slope and RMSE with the incidence of T2DM among men and women. Multivariable-adjusted HRs of T2DM for each SD increment in BMI slope was 1.18 (95% CI: 0.94-1.48, p = 0.161) in normal weight men and 1.26 (95% CI: 1.10-1.44, p = 0.001) in overweight and obese men. However, in women, each SD increment in BMI slope increased the risk of T2DM with a HR of 1.19 (95% CI: 1.01-1.40, p = 0.039) in normal weight, and 1.14 (95% CI: 1.08-1.19, p < 0.001) in women with BMI >/= 25 kg/m(2). In men with a baseline BMI >/= 25 kg/m(2), BMI-RMSE was associated with a decreased risk of T2DM (HR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.53-0.93, p = 0.015). Baseline BMI was not associated with the risk of diabetes in men and women. Positive BMI slope is associated with the development of diabetes in both sexes. The association of BMI variability with incident T2DM differs according to sex and baseline BMI. BMI variability is associated with a lower risk of T2DM in overweight and obese men. BMI variability in women and baseline BMI in both gender are not related to the risk of T2DM. CI - (c) 2022. The Author(s). FAU - Mehran, Ladan AU - Mehran L AD - Endocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran. FAU - Mousapour, Pouria AU - Mousapour P AD - Endocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran. FAU - Khalili, Davood AU - Khalili D AD - Prevention of Metabolic Disorders Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran. AD - Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran. FAU - Cheraghi, Leila AU - Cheraghi L AD - Endocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran. FAU - Honarvar, Mohammadjavad AU - Honarvar M AD - Endocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran. FAU - Amouzegar, Atieh AU - Amouzegar A AD - Endocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran. amouzegar@endocrine.ac.ir. FAU - Azizi, Fereidoun AU - Azizi F AD - Endocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20221101 PL - England TA - Sci Rep JT - Scientific reports JID - 101563288 RN - IY9XDZ35W2 (Glucose) RN - 0 (Lipids) SB - IM MH - Male MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Body Mass Index MH - *Overweight/epidemiology MH - *Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications MH - Glucose MH - Risk Factors MH - Iran MH - Obesity/complications MH - Incidence MH - Lipids PMC - PMC9626493 COIS- The authors declare no competing interests. EDAT- 2022/11/03 06:00 MHDA- 2022/11/04 06:00 PMCR- 2022/11/01 CRDT- 2022/11/02 00:33 PHST- 2022/06/08 00:00 [received] PHST- 2022/10/19 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2022/11/02 00:33 [entrez] PHST- 2022/11/03 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/11/04 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2022/11/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1038/s41598-022-22817-6 [pii] AID - 22817 [pii] AID - 10.1038/s41598-022-22817-6 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Sci Rep. 2022 Nov 1;12(1):18370. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-22817-6.