PMID- 36465620 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20221206 LR - 20221213 IS - 1664-2392 (Print) IS - 1664-2392 (Electronic) IS - 1664-2392 (Linking) VI - 13 DP - 2022 TI - Diabetic retinopathy risk prediction in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus using a nomogram model. PG - 993423 LID - 10.3389/fendo.2022.993423 [doi] LID - 993423 AB - BACKGROUND: This study aims to develop a diabetic retinopathy (DR) hazard nomogram for a Chinese population of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: We constructed a nomogram model by including data from 213 patients with T2DM between January 2019 and May 2021 in the Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University. We used basic statistics and biochemical indicator tests to assess the risk of DR in patients with T2DM. The patient data were used to evaluate the DR risk using R software and a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) predictive model. Using multivariable Cox regression, we examined the risk factors of DR to reduce the LASSO penalty. The validation model, decision curve analysis, and C-index were tested on the calibration plot. The bootstrapping methodology was used to internally validate the accuracy of the nomogram. RESULTS: The LASSO algorithm identified the following eight predictive variables from the 16 independent variables: disease duration, body mass index (BMI), fasting blood glucose (FPG), glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), homeostatic model assessment-insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), triglyceride (TG), total cholesterol (TC), and vitamin D (VitD)-T3. The C-index was 0.848 (95% CI: 0.798-0.898), indicating the accuracy of the model. In the interval validation, high scores (0.816) are possible from an analysis of a DR nomogram's decision curve to predict DR. CONCLUSION: We developed a non-parametric technique to predict the risk of DR based on disease duration, BMI, FPG, HbA1c, HOMA-IR, TG, TC, and VitD. CI - Copyright (c) 2022 Wang, Zeng, Tang, Yang, Yao, Zhang, Zhang, Zhang, Nie, Liao and Jiang. FAU - Wang, Qian AU - Wang Q AD - Department of Endocrinology, Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China. FAU - Zeng, Ni AU - Zeng N AD - Department of Dermatology, Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China. FAU - Tang, Hongbo AU - Tang H AD - Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Zunyi), Zunyi, China. FAU - Yang, Xiaoxia AU - Yang X AD - Department of Integrated (Geriatric) Ward, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China. FAU - Yao, Qu AU - Yao Q AD - Department of Cardiology, Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China. FAU - Zhang, Lin AU - Zhang L AD - Department of Endocrinology, Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China. FAU - Zhang, Han AU - Zhang H AD - Department of Endocrinology, Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China. FAU - Zhang, Ying AU - Zhang Y AD - Department of Endocrinology, Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China. FAU - Nie, Xiaomei AU - Nie X AD - Department of Ophthalmology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China. FAU - Liao, Xin AU - Liao X AD - Department of Endocrinology, Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China. FAU - Jiang, Feng AU - Jiang F AD - Department of Neonatology, Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital of Fudan University, Shanghai, China. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20221116 PL - Switzerland TA - Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) JT - Frontiers in endocrinology JID - 101555782 RN - 0 (Glycated Hemoglobin A) RN - 0 (Triglycerides) RN - 1406-16-2 (Vitamin D) RN - 0 (Vitamins) SB - IM MH - Humans MH - *Diabetic Retinopathy/diagnosis/epidemiology/etiology MH - *Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications MH - Nomograms MH - Glycated Hemoglobin MH - *Insulin Resistance MH - Triglycerides MH - Vitamin D MH - Vitamins PMC - PMC9710381 OTO - NOTNLM OT - diabetic retinopathy OT - nomogram model OT - prediction OT - risk OT - type 2 diabetes mellitus COIS- The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. EDAT- 2022/12/06 06:00 MHDA- 2022/12/07 06:00 PMCR- 2022/01/01 CRDT- 2022/12/05 03:46 PHST- 2022/07/13 00:00 [received] PHST- 2022/10/24 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2022/12/05 03:46 [entrez] PHST- 2022/12/06 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/12/07 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2022/01/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.3389/fendo.2022.993423 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Front Endocrinol (Lausanne). 2022 Nov 16;13:993423. doi: 10.3389/fendo.2022.993423. eCollection 2022.