PMID- 36523938 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20221222 IS - 2304-3881 (Print) IS - 2304-389X (Electronic) IS - 2304-3881 (Linking) VI - 11 IP - 6 DP - 2022 Dec TI - Systemic review of the robustness of randomized controlled trials for the treatment of cholangiocarcinoma in three domains: survival-inferred fragility index, restricted mean survival time, and the spin effect. PG - 861-869 LID - 10.21037/hbsn-21-118 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: The vast majority of patients with cholangiocarcinoma (CC) have advanced disease at diagnosis and are candidates for palliative treatment only. The robustness of the randomized controlled trials regarding the treatment of CC are assessed. METHODS: A systematic review of all randomized control trials (RCT) of treatments for both intra- and extrahepatic CC between 2010 and 2020 was performed. The survival-inferred fragility index (SIFI; the minimum number of reassignments of the best survivors between arms that would overturn the statistical outcomes) was calculated. In addition, the gain, or loss, in survival in RCTs was evaluated by the restricted mean survival time (RMST) difference. Finally, the level of spin i.e., misrepresentation of study outcomes, was measured in inconclusive studies to assess distorted reporting strategies. RESULTS: Out of 6,167 studies retrieved, 11 could be retained for full text revision (7 with both intra- and extrahepatic CC, 3 with peri-hilar CC, and 1 with peri-hilar or distal CC). Only 3 studies included resected patients (2 with both intra- and extrahepatic CC and 1 with peri-hilar or distal CC). Nine studies investigated systemic chemotherapy (including 3 after surgical resection), one study evaluated photodynamic therapy, and another investigated the use of an endoscopically inserted stent in the biliary tract. The median SIFI was -2 [interquartile range (IQR): -6.25, -0.25] across all studies. Overall, the median RMST difference was 0.56 months (IQR: 0.10, 0.95). Finally, for inconclusive studies, the level of spin was high, moderate, and low in respectively 12.5%, 25%, and 62.5% of the studies. CONCLUSIONS: RCTs of CC showed a low degree of robustness with a frequent proportion of associated spin. CI - 2022 Hepatobiliary Surgery and Nutrition. All rights reserved. FAU - Horesh, Nir AU - Horesh N AD - Unit of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery and Transplantation, Sheba Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. AD - Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. FAU - Bomze, David AU - Bomze D AD - Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. FAU - Lim, Chetana AU - Lim C AD - Centre Hepato-Biliaire, Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery and Transplantation, Pitie Salpetriere Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hopitaux de Paris, Paris, France. FAU - Markel, Gal AU - Markel G AD - Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. AD - Davidoff Cancer Center, Rabin Medical Center-Beilinson Hospital, Petah Tikva, Israel. FAU - Meirson, Tomer AU - Meirson T AD - Davidoff Cancer Center, Rabin Medical Center-Beilinson Hospital, Petah Tikva, Israel. AD - Shamir Medical Center (Assaf Harofeh), Rishon Lezion, Israel. AD - The Azrieli Faculty of Medicine, Bar-Ilan University, Safed, Israel. FAU - Azoulay, Daniel AU - Azoulay D AD - Unit of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery and Transplantation, Sheba Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. AD - Centre Hepato-Biliaire, Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery and Transplantation, Paul Brousse Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hopitaux de Paris, Universite Saclay, Villejuif, France. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Review PL - China (Republic : 1949- ) TA - Hepatobiliary Surg Nutr JT - Hepatobiliary surgery and nutrition JID - 101600750 PMC - PMC9745612 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Cholangiocarcinoma (CC) OT - randomized controlled trials OT - restricted mean survival time (RMST) OT - robustness of evidence OT - spin effect OT - survival-inferred fragility index (SIFI) COIS- Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://hbsn.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/hbsn-21-118/coif). GM reported receiving personal fees from MSD and Roche; grants and personal fees from BMS and Novartis; personal fees and stock options from 4C Biomed; and stock options from Nucleai, Biond Biologics, and Ella Therapeutics outside the submitted work. TM reported receiving personal fees from TyrNovo outside the submitted work. The other authors have no conflicts of interest to declare. EDAT- 2022/12/17 06:00 MHDA- 2022/12/17 06:01 PMCR- 2022/12/01 CRDT- 2022/12/16 02:30 PHST- 2021/03/16 00:00 [received] PHST- 2021/07/09 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2022/12/16 02:30 [entrez] PHST- 2022/12/17 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/12/17 06:01 [medline] PHST- 2022/12/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - hbsn-11-06-861 [pii] AID - 10.21037/hbsn-21-118 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Hepatobiliary Surg Nutr. 2022 Dec;11(6):861-869. doi: 10.21037/hbsn-21-118.