PMID- 36528656 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20221220 LR - 20230122 IS - 2045-2322 (Electronic) IS - 2045-2322 (Linking) VI - 12 IP - 1 DP - 2022 Dec 17 TI - Predicting potential global distribution and risk regions for potato cyst nematodes (Globodera rostochiensis and Globodera pallida). PG - 21843 LID - 10.1038/s41598-022-26443-0 [doi] LID - 21843 AB - Potato cyst nematodes (PCNs), golden (yellow) cyst nematode (Globodera rostochiensis, gPCN) and pale (white) cyst nematode (G. pallida, pPCN), are important invasive pests in many countries and regions where they can cause significant yield and economic loss for agriculture. Prediction and identification of habitats suitable for PCNs are critical for developing biosecurity strategies, both pre and post border, to maximise the potential for early elimination should an incursion occur. To date, the potential global distribution of PCNs has not been thoroughly studied. Therefore, this study conducted a species distribution model to illustrate the potential global distribution of PCNs and risk regions. In this study, the Maximum Entropy Model (Maxent) associated with the Geographic Information System (GIS) was employed to reveal the potential distribution of the gPCN and pPCN. In addition to bioclimate, soil quality was also included in the model. The global cultivated lands, whether the susceptible hosts were present or not, were used to assess the maximum potential risk regions. The limitation factors for PCNs distribution were also assessed. Results showed that 66% of the global land surface was suitable for gPCN or pPCN or both, and both species can colonise more than 75% of the global cultivated lands. The coldest quarter's mean temperature and precipitation were critical limitations in unsuitable regions. In summary, the global risk maps of PCNs contribute valuable additional information that complements previous national/regional distribution predictions. The results of this distribution research will contribute practical support for decision-makers and practitioners to implement biosecurity strategies from a global perspective, that incorporate prevention or promptly enforce control practices to limit the damage caused by future incursions. CI - (c) 2022. The Author(s). FAU - He, Yitong AU - He Y AD - Shandong Engineering Research Centre for Environment-Friendly Agricultural Pest Management, College of Plant Health and Medicine, Qingdao Agricultural University, Qingdao, 266109, People's Republic of China. hoyt.he@murdoch.edu.au. AD - Harry Butler Institute, Murdoch University, Perth, WA, 6150, Australia. hoyt.he@murdoch.edu.au. FAU - Wang, Rui AU - Wang R AD - State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, 100193, People's Republic of China. FAU - Zhao, Honghai AU - Zhao H AD - Shandong Engineering Research Centre for Environment-Friendly Agricultural Pest Management, College of Plant Health and Medicine, Qingdao Agricultural University, Qingdao, 266109, People's Republic of China. FAU - Ren, Yonglin AU - Ren Y AD - Harry Butler Institute, Murdoch University, Perth, WA, 6150, Australia. FAU - Agarwal, Manjree AU - Agarwal M AD - Harry Butler Institute, Murdoch University, Perth, WA, 6150, Australia. FAU - Zheng, Dan AU - Zheng D AD - College of Economics, Qingdao Agricultural University, Qingdao, 266109, People's Republic of China. FAU - Gao, Shan AU - Gao S AD - Hebei Dahaituo National Nature Reserve Management Centre, Chicheng, 075500, People's Republic of China. FAU - McKirdy, Simon J AU - McKirdy SJ AD - Harry Butler Institute, Murdoch University, Perth, WA, 6150, Australia. s.mckirdy@murdoch.edu.au. FAU - Chu, Dong AU - Chu D AD - Shandong Engineering Research Centre for Environment-Friendly Agricultural Pest Management, College of Plant Health and Medicine, Qingdao Agricultural University, Qingdao, 266109, People's Republic of China. chinachudong@qau.edu.cn. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20221217 PL - England TA - Sci Rep JT - Scientific reports JID - 101563288 RN - 0 (Soil) SB - IM MH - Animals MH - *Solanum tuberosum MH - *Tylenchoidea MH - Agriculture MH - Soil PMC - PMC9759053 COIS- The authors declare no competing interests. EDAT- 2022/12/18 06:00 MHDA- 2022/12/21 06:00 PMCR- 2022/12/17 CRDT- 2022/12/17 23:29 PHST- 2022/07/06 00:00 [received] PHST- 2022/12/14 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2022/12/17 23:29 [entrez] PHST- 2022/12/18 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2022/12/21 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2022/12/17 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1038/s41598-022-26443-0 [pii] AID - 26443 [pii] AID - 10.1038/s41598-022-26443-0 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Sci Rep. 2022 Dec 17;12(1):21843. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-26443-0.