PMID- 36797460 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20240229 LR - 20240302 IS - 1530-0447 (Electronic) IS - 0031-3998 (Print) IS - 0031-3998 (Linking) VI - 95 IP - 3 DP - 2024 Feb TI - Intravenous immunoglobulin resistance in Kawasaki disease patients: prediction using clinical data. PG - 692-697 LID - 10.1038/s41390-023-02519-z [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: About 10-20% of Kawasaki disease (KD) patients are resistant to the initial infusion of intravenous immunoglobin (IVIG). The aim of this study was to assess whether IVIG resistance in KD patients could be predicted using standard clinical and laboratory features. METHODS: Data were from two cohorts: a Korean cohort of 7101 KD patients from 2015 to 2017 and a cohort of 649 KD patients from San Diego enrolled from 1998 to 2021. Features included laboratory values, the worst Z-score from the initial echocardiogram or during hospitalization, and the five clinical KD signs at presentation. RESULTS: Five machine learning models achieved a maximum median AUC of 0.711 [IQR: 0.706-0.72] in the Korean cohort and 0.696 [IQR: 0.609-0.722] in the San Diego cohort during stratified 10-fold cross-validation using significant laboratory features identified from univariate analysis. Adding the Z-score, KD clinical signs, or both did not considerably improve the median AUC in either cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Using commonly measured clinical laboratory data alone or in conjunction with echocardiographic findings and clinical features is not sufficient to predict IVIG resistance. Further attempts to predict IVIG resistance will need to incorporate additional data such as transcriptomics, proteomics, and genetics to achieve meaningful predictive utility. IMPACT: We demonstrated that laboratory, echocardiographic, and clinical findings cannot predict intravenous immunoglobin (IVIG) resistance to a clinically meaningful extent using machine learning in a homogenous Asian or ethnically diverse population of patients with Kawasaki disease (KD). Visualizing these features using uniform manifold approximation and projection (UMAP) is an important step to evaluate predictive utility in a qualitative manner. Further attempts to predict IVIG resistance in KD patients will need to incorporate novel biomarkers or other specialized features such as genetic differences or transcriptomics to be clinically useful. CI - (c) 2023. The Author(s). FAU - Lam, Jonathan Y AU - Lam JY AD - Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA. j7lam@ucsd.edu. FAU - Song, Min-Seob AU - Song MS AD - Department of Pediatrics, Haeundae Paik Hospital, Inje University, Busan, South Korea. FAU - Kim, Gi-Beom AU - Kim GB AD - Department of Pediatrics, Seoul National University Children's Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea. FAU - Shimizu, Chisato AU - Shimizu C AD - Department of Pediatrics, Rady Children's Hospital and University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA. FAU - Bainto, Emelia AU - Bainto E AD - Department of Pediatrics, Rady Children's Hospital and University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA. FAU - Tremoulet, Adriana H AU - Tremoulet AH AD - Department of Pediatrics, Rady Children's Hospital and University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA. FAU - Nemati, Shamim AU - Nemati S AD - Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA. FAU - Burns, Jane C AU - Burns JC AD - Department of Pediatrics, Rady Children's Hospital and University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA. LA - eng GR - R01 LM013998/LM/NLM NIH HHS/United States GR - T15 LM011271/LM/NLM NIH HHS/United States PT - Journal Article DEP - 20230216 PL - United States TA - Pediatr Res JT - Pediatric research JID - 0100714 RN - 0 (Biomarkers) RN - 0 (Immunoglobulins, Intravenous) SB - IM MH - Humans MH - Infant MH - Biomarkers MH - Drug Resistance MH - *Immunoglobulins, Intravenous/therapeutic use MH - *Mucocutaneous Lymph Node Syndrome/diagnosis/drug therapy MH - Retrospective Studies MH - East Asian People PMC - PMC9934506 COIS- The authors declare no competing interests. EDAT- 2023/02/17 06:00 MHDA- 2024/02/29 06:42 PMCR- 2023/02/16 CRDT- 2023/02/16 23:26 PHST- 2022/07/12 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/01/25 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/01/18 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2024/02/29 06:42 [medline] PHST- 2023/02/17 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/02/16 23:26 [entrez] PHST- 2023/02/16 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1038/s41390-023-02519-z [pii] AID - 2519 [pii] AID - 10.1038/s41390-023-02519-z [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Pediatr Res. 2024 Feb;95(3):692-697. doi: 10.1038/s41390-023-02519-z. Epub 2023 Feb 16.