PMID- 36798386 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20231130 DP - 2023 Feb 9 TI - Incorporating data from multiple endpoints in the analysis of clinical trials: example from RSV vaccines. LID - 2023.02.07.23285596 [pii] LID - 10.1101/2023.02.07.23285596 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: To achieve licensure, interventions typically must demonstrate efficacy against a primary outcome in a randomized clinical trial. However, selecting a single primary outcome a priori is challenging. Incorporating data from multiple and related outcomes might help to increase statistical power in clinical trials. Inspired by real-world clinical trials of interventions against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), we examined methods for analyzing data on multiple endpoints. METHOD: We simulated data from three different populations in which the efficacy of the intervention and the correlation among outcomes varied. We developed a novel permutation-based approach that represents a weighted average of individual outcome test statistics ( varP ) to evaluate intervention efficacy in a multiple endpoint analysis. We compared the power and type I error rate of this approach to two alternative methods: the Bonferroni correction ( bonfT ) and another permutation-based approach that uses the minimum P-value across all test statistics ( minP ). RESULTS: When the vaccine efficacy against different outcomes was similar, VarP yielded higher power than bonfT and minP; in some scenarios the improvement in power was substantial. In settings where vaccine efficacy was notably larger against one endpoint compared to the others, all three methods had similar power. CONCLUSIONS: Analyzing multiple endpoints using a weighted permutation method can increase power while controlling the type I error rate in settings where outcomes share similar characteristics, like RSV outcomes. We developed an R package, PERMEATE , to guide selection of the most appropriate method for analyzing multiple endpoints in clinical trials. FAU - Prunas, Ottavia AU - Prunas O AD - Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases and Public Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University; New Haven, CT USA. FAU - Willemsen, Joukje E AU - Willemsen JE AD - Centre for Translational Immunology, University Medical Center Utrecht; Utrecht, The Netherlands. AD - Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Pediatrics, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands. FAU - Bont, Louis AU - Bont L AD - Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Pediatrics, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands. FAU - Pitzer, Virginia E AU - Pitzer VE AD - Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases and Public Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University; New Haven, CT USA. FAU - Warren, Joshua L AU - Warren JL AD - Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases and Public Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University; New Haven, CT USA. AD - Department of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University; New Haven, CT USA. FAU - Weinberger, Daniel M AU - Weinberger DM AD - Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases and Public Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University; New Haven, CT USA. LA - eng GR - INV-017940/GATES/Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation/United States GR - R01 AI137093/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States GR - UL1 TR001863/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States PT - Preprint DEP - 20230209 PL - United States TA - medRxiv JT - medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences JID - 101767986 UIN - Epidemiology. 2023 Oct 02;:. PMID: 37793120 PMC - PMC9934779 EDAT- 2023/02/18 06:00 MHDA- 2023/02/18 06:01 PMCR- 2023/02/16 CRDT- 2023/02/17 02:06 PHST- 2023/02/17 02:06 [entrez] PHST- 2023/02/18 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/02/18 06:01 [medline] PHST- 2023/02/16 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 2023.02.07.23285596 [pii] AID - 10.1101/2023.02.07.23285596 [doi] PST - epublish SO - medRxiv [Preprint]. 2023 Feb 9:2023.02.07.23285596. doi: 10.1101/2023.02.07.23285596.