PMID- 36805911 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20230315 LR - 20230315 IS - 1096-0295 (Electronic) IS - 0273-2300 (Linking) VI - 139 DP - 2023 Mar TI - Estimating uncertainty in LLNA EC3 data and its impact on regulatory classifications. PG - 105357 LID - S0273-2300(23)00025-9 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.yrtph.2023.105357 [doi] AB - The murine Local Lymph Node Assay (LLNA) is a test that produces numerical results (EC3 values) quantifying the sensitization potency of chemicals. These results are broadly used in toxicology and serve as a basis for various classifications, which determine subsequent regulatory decisions. The continuing interest in LLNA data and the diminished likelihood of new experimental EC3 data being generated sparked this investigation of uncertainty. Instead of using the Gaussian distribution as a default choice for assessing variability in a data set, two strictly positive distributions were proposed and their performance over the available experimental EC3 values was tested. In the application stage, how the uncertainty in EC3 values affects the possible classifications was analyzed, and the percentage of the chemicals receiving ambiguous classification was determined. It was shown that this percentage is high, which increases the risk of improper classification. Two approaches were suggested in regulatory practice to address the uncertainty in the EC3 data: the approaches based on "grey zones" and the classification distribution. If a chemical cannot be classified unambiguously, the latter appears to be an acceptable means to assess the level of sensitization potency of chemicals and helps provide better regulatory decisions. CI - Copyright (c) 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. FAU - Chapkanov, Atanas AU - Chapkanov A AD - Laboratory of Mathematical Chemistry, Prof. As. Zlatarov University, Bourgas, Bulgaria. FAU - Schultz, Terry W AU - Schultz TW AD - The University of Tennessee, College of Veterinary Medicine, Knoxville, TN, 37996-4500, USA. FAU - Yordanova, Darina AU - Yordanova D AD - Laboratory of Mathematical Chemistry, Prof. As. Zlatarov University, Bourgas, Bulgaria. FAU - Kirilov, Kalin AU - Kirilov K AD - Laboratory of Mathematical Chemistry, Prof. As. Zlatarov University, Bourgas, Bulgaria. FAU - Ivanova, Hristiana AU - Ivanova H AD - Laboratory of Mathematical Chemistry, Prof. As. Zlatarov University, Bourgas, Bulgaria. FAU - Mekenyan, Ovanes G AU - Mekenyan OG AD - Laboratory of Mathematical Chemistry, Prof. As. Zlatarov University, Bourgas, Bulgaria. Electronic address: omekenya@btu.bg. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20230216 PL - Netherlands TA - Regul Toxicol Pharmacol JT - Regulatory toxicology and pharmacology : RTP JID - 8214983 RN - 0 (Allergens) SB - IM MH - Animals MH - Mice MH - *Dermatitis, Allergic Contact MH - Local Lymph Node Assay MH - Allergens/toxicity MH - Uncertainty MH - Dose-Response Relationship, Drug OTO - NOTNLM OT - Local lymph node assay (LLNA) OT - Skin sensitization categorization OT - Uncertainty COIS- Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper. EDAT- 2023/02/23 06:00 MHDA- 2023/03/16 06:00 CRDT- 2023/02/22 10:09 PHST- 2022/10/28 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/02/01 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2023/02/14 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/02/23 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/03/16 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2023/02/22 10:09 [entrez] AID - S0273-2300(23)00025-9 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.yrtph.2023.105357 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Regul Toxicol Pharmacol. 2023 Mar;139:105357. doi: 10.1016/j.yrtph.2023.105357. Epub 2023 Feb 16.