PMID- 36921234 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20230719 LR - 20231011 IS - 1524-4040 (Electronic) IS - 0148-396X (Linking) VI - 93 IP - 2 DP - 2023 Aug 1 TI - Development and External Validation of the Spinal Tumor Surgery Risk Index. PG - 462-472 LID - 10.1227/neu.0000000000002441 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Patients undergoing surgical procedures for spinal tumors are vulnerable to major adverse events (AEs) and death in the postoperative period. Shared decision making and preoperative optimization of outcomes require accurate risk estimation. OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a risk index to predict short-term major AEs after spinal tumor surgery. METHODS: Prospectively collected data from multiple medical centers affiliated with the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program from 2006 to 2020 were reviewed. Multiple logistic regression was used to assess sociodemographic, tumor-related, and surgery-related factors in the derivation cohort. The spinal tumor surgery risk index (STSRI) was built based on the resulting scores. The STSRI was internally validated using a subgroup of patients from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database and externally validated using a cohort from a single tertiary center. RESULTS: In total, 14 982 operations were reviewed and 4556 (16.5%) major AEs occurred within 30 days after surgery, including 209 (4.5%) deaths. 22 factors were independently associated with major AEs or death and were included in the STSRI. Using the internal and external validation cohorts, the STSRI produced an area under the curve of 0.86 and 0.82, sensitivity of 80.1% and 79.7%, and specificity of 74.3% and 73.7%, respectively. The STSRI, which is freely available, outperformed the modified frailty indices, the American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, and the American College of Surgeons risk calculator. CONCLUSION: In patients undergoing surgery for spinal tumors, the STSRI showed the highest predictive accuracy for major postoperative AEs and death compared with other current risk predictors. CI - Copyright (c) Congress of Neurological Surgeons 2023. All rights reserved. FAU - Alomari, Safwan AU - Alomari S AD - Department of Neurosurgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA. AD - The HEPIUS Innovation Lab, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Maryland, USA. FAU - Theodore, John AU - Theodore J AD - Department of Neurosurgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA. AD - The HEPIUS Innovation Lab, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Maryland, USA. FAU - Ahmed, A Karim AU - Ahmed AK AD - Department of Neurosurgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA. FAU - Azad, Tej D AU - Azad TD AD - Department of Neurosurgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA. FAU - Lubelski, Daniel AU - Lubelski D AD - Department of Neurosurgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA. AD - The HEPIUS Innovation Lab, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Maryland, USA. FAU - Sciubba, Daniel M AU - Sciubba DM AD - Department of Neurosurgery, Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra, Long Island Jewish Medical Center and North Shore University Hospital, Northwell Health, Manhasset, New York, USA. FAU - Theodore, Nicholas AU - Theodore N AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-5355-2683 AD - Department of Neurosurgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA. AD - The HEPIUS Innovation Lab, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Maryland, USA. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20230315 PL - United States TA - Neurosurgery JT - Neurosurgery JID - 7802914 SB - IM MH - Humans MH - Neurosurgical Procedures/adverse effects MH - Postoperative Complications/epidemiology/surgery MH - Retrospective Studies MH - Risk Assessment/methods MH - Risk Factors MH - *Spinal Cord Neoplasms/surgery MH - *Spinal Neoplasms/surgery MH - Spine/surgery EDAT- 2023/03/16 06:00 MHDA- 2023/07/19 06:42 CRDT- 2023/03/15 16:02 PHST- 2022/09/20 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/01/10 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/07/19 06:42 [medline] PHST- 2023/03/16 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/03/15 16:02 [entrez] AID - 00006123-202308000-00025 [pii] AID - 10.1227/neu.0000000000002441 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Neurosurgery. 2023 Aug 1;93(2):462-472. doi: 10.1227/neu.0000000000002441. Epub 2023 Mar 15.