PMID- 36983368 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20230331 IS - 2077-0383 (Print) IS - 2077-0383 (Electronic) IS - 2077-0383 (Linking) VI - 12 IP - 6 DP - 2023 Mar 19 TI - Approaching Artificial Intelligence in Orthopaedics: Predictive Analytics and Machine Learning to Prognosticate Arthroscopic Rotator Cuff Surgical Outcomes. LID - 10.3390/jcm12062369 [doi] LID - 2369 AB - Machine learning (ML) has not yet been used to identify factors predictive for post-operative functional outcomes following arthroscopic rotator cuff repair (ARCR). We propose a novel algorithm to predict ARCR outcomes using machine learning. This is a retrospective cohort study from a prospectively collected database. Data were collected from the Surgical Outcome System Global Registry (Arthrex, Naples, FL, USA). Pre-operative and 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month post-operative American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons (ASES) scores were collected and used to develop a ML model. Pre-operative factors including demography, comorbidities, cuff tear, tissue quality, and fixation implants were fed to the ML model. The algorithm then produced an expected post-operative ASES score for each patient. The ML-produced scores were compared to actual scores using standard test-train machine learning principles. Overall, 631 patients who underwent shoulder arthroscopy from January 2011 to March 2020 met inclusion criteria for final analysis. A substantial number of the test dataset predictions using the XGBoost algorithm were within the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) and substantial clinical benefit (SCB) thresholds: 67% of the 12-month post-operative predictions were within MCID, while 84% were within SCB. Pre-operative ASES score, pre-operative pain score, body mass index (BMI), age, and tendon quality were the most important features in predicting patient recovery as identified using Shapley additive explanations (SHAP). In conclusion, the proposed novel machine learning algorithm can use pre-operative factors to predict post-operative ASES scores accurately. This can further supplement pre-operative counselling, planning, and resource allocation. Level of Evidence: III. FAU - Potty, Anish G AU - Potty AG AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-9894-1500 AD - South Texas Orthopedic Research Institute (STORI Inc.), Laredo, TX 78045, USA. AD - The Institute of Musculoskeletal Excellence (TIME Orthopaedics), Laredo, TX 78041, USA. AD - School of Osteopathic Medicine, The University of the Incarnate Word, San Antonio, TX 78209, USA. FAU - Potty, Ajish S R AU - Potty ASR AD - South Texas Orthopedic Research Institute (STORI Inc.), Laredo, TX 78045, USA. FAU - Maffulli, Nicola AU - Maffulli N AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-5327-3702 AD - Department of Musculoskeletal Disorders, School of Medicine and Surgery, University of Salerno, 84084 Fisciano, Italy. AD - San Giovanni di Dio e Ruggi D'Aragona Hospital "Clinica Ortopedica" Department, Hospital of Salerno, 84124 Salerno, Italy. AD - Centre for Sports and Exercise Medicine, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London E1 4DG, UK. AD - School of Pharmacy and Bioengineering, Keele University School of Medicine, Stoke on Trent ST5 5BG, UK. FAU - Blumenschein, Lucas A AU - Blumenschein LA AD - Department of Orthopaedics, School of Medicine, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH 44106, USA. FAU - Ganta, Deepak AU - Ganta D AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-8486-5463 AD - School of Engineering, Texas A&M International University, Laredo, TX 78041, USA. FAU - Mistovich, R Justin AU - Mistovich RJ AD - Department of Orthopaedics, School of Medicine, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH 44106, USA. FAU - Fuentes, Mario AU - Fuentes M AD - School of Engineering, Texas A&M International University, Laredo, TX 78041, USA. FAU - Denard, Patrick J AU - Denard PJ AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-2641-5920 AD - Southern Oregon Orthopedics, Medford, OR 97504, USA. FAU - Sethi, Paul M AU - Sethi PM AD - Orthopaedic & Neurosurgery Specialists, Greenwich, CT 06905, USA. FAU - Shah, Anup A AU - Shah AA AD - Kelsey-Seybold Clinic, Houston, TX 77584, USA. FAU - Gupta, Ashim AU - Gupta A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-1224-2755 AD - South Texas Orthopedic Research Institute (STORI Inc.), Laredo, TX 78045, USA. AD - Future Biologics, Lawrenceville, GA 30043, USA. AD - BioIntegrate, Lawrenceville, GA 30043, USA. AD - Regenerative Orthopaedics, Noida 201301, Uttar Pradesh, India. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20230319 PL - Switzerland TA - J Clin Med JT - Journal of clinical medicine JID - 101606588 PMC - PMC10056706 OTO - NOTNLM OT - American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons (ASES) score OT - arthroscopic rotator cuff repair OT - artificial intelligence OT - functional outcomes OT - machine learning OT - orthopaedics OT - predictive modelling COIS- A.G. has industrial affiliations; however, there are no conflicts of interest with the work presented in this manuscript. Thus, A.G. declares no conflicts of interest. Other authors declare no conflict of interest. EDAT- 2023/03/30 06:00 MHDA- 2023/03/30 06:01 PMCR- 2023/03/19 CRDT- 2023/03/29 01:43 PHST- 2023/02/10 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/03/09 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2023/03/17 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/03/30 06:01 [medline] PHST- 2023/03/29 01:43 [entrez] PHST- 2023/03/30 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/03/19 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - jcm12062369 [pii] AID - jcm-12-02369 [pii] AID - 10.3390/jcm12062369 [doi] PST - epublish SO - J Clin Med. 2023 Mar 19;12(6):2369. doi: 10.3390/jcm12062369.