PMID- 37008895 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20231217 IS - 2047-2501 (Print) IS - 2047-2501 (Electronic) IS - 2047-2501 (Linking) VI - 11 IP - 1 DP - 2023 Dec TI - Generalized metabolic flux analysis framework provides mechanism-based predictions of ophthalmic complications in type 2 diabetes patients. PG - 18 LID - 10.1007/s13755-023-00218-x [doi] LID - 18 AB - Chronic metabolic diseases arise from changes in metabolic fluxes through biomolecular pathways and gene networks accumulated over the lifetime of an individual. While clinical and biochemical profiles present just real-time snapshots of the patients' health, efficient computation models of the pathological disturbance of biomolecular processes are required to achieve individualized mechanistic insights into disease progression. Here, we describe the Generalized metabolic flux analysis (GMFA) for addressing this gap. Suitably grouping individual metabolites/fluxes into pools simplifies the analysis of the resulting more coarse-grain network. We also map non-metabolic clinical modalities onto the network with additional edges. Instead of using the time coordinate, the system status (metabolite concentrations and fluxes) is quantified as function of a generalized extent variable (a coordinate in the space of generalized metabolites) that represents the system's coordinate along its evolution path and evaluates the degree of change between any two states on that path. We applied GMFA to analyze Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) patients from two cohorts: EVAS (289 patients from Singapore) and NHANES (517) from the USA. Personalized systems biology models (digital twins) were constructed. We deduced disease dynamics from the individually parameterized metabolic network and predicted the evolution path of the metabolic health state. For each patient, we obtained an individual description of disease dynamics and predict an evolution path of the metabolic health state. Our predictive models achieve an ROC-AUC in the range 0.79-0.95 (sensitivity 80-92%, specificity 62-94%) in identifying phenotypes at the baseline and predicting future development of diabetic retinopathy and cataract progression among T2DM patients within 3 years from the baseline. The GMFA method is a step towards realizing the ultimate goal to develop practical predictive computational models for diagnostics based on systems biology. This tool has potential use in chronic disease management in medical practice. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13755-023-00218-x. CI - (c) The Author(s) 2023. FAU - Batagov, Arsen AU - Batagov A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-9620-079X AD - Mesh Bio Pte. Ltd., 10 Anson Rd, #22-02, 079903 Singapore, Singapore. FAU - Dalan, Rinkoo AU - Dalan R AD - Department of Endocrinology, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore, Singapore. GRID: grid.240988.f. ISNI: 0000 0001 0298 8161 AD - Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore. GRID: grid.59025.3b. ISNI: 0000 0001 2224 0361 FAU - Wu, Andrew AU - Wu A AD - Mesh Bio Pte. Ltd., 10 Anson Rd, #22-02, 079903 Singapore, Singapore. FAU - Lai, Wenbin AU - Lai W AD - Mesh Bio Pte. Ltd., 10 Anson Rd, #22-02, 079903 Singapore, Singapore. FAU - Tan, Colin S AU - Tan CS AD - Fundus Image Reading Center, National Healthcare Group Eye Institute, Singapore, Singapore. GRID: grid.466910.c. ISNI: 0000 0004 0451 6215 AD - Tan Tock Seng Hospital, National Healthcare Group Eye Institute, Singapore, Singapore. GRID: grid.466910.c. ISNI: 0000 0004 0451 6215 AD - Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore. GRID: grid.428397.3. ISNI: 0000 0004 0385 0924 FAU - Eisenhaber, Frank AU - Eisenhaber F AD - Bioinformatics Institute (BII), Agency for Science, Technology and Research (ASTAR), Singapore, Singapore. GRID: grid.185448.4. ISNI: 0000 0004 0637 0221 AD - Genome Institute of Singapore (GIS), Agency for Science, Technology and Research (ASTAR), Singapore, Singapore. GRID: grid.185448.4. ISNI: 0000 0004 0637 0221 AD - School of Biological Science (SBS), Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore. GRID: grid.59025.3b. ISNI: 0000 0001 2224 0361 LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20230329 PL - England TA - Health Inf Sci Syst JT - Health information science and systems JID - 101638060 PMC - PMC10060506 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Cataract OT - Diabetes OT - Diabetic complications OT - Digital twin OT - Metabolic flux analysis OT - Retinopathy COIS- Competing InterestsAB, AW and WL are employed by Mesh Bio, Pte. Ltd. FE is a member of the Advisory Board of Mesh Bio, Pte. Ltd. EDAT- 2023/04/04 06:00 MHDA- 2023/04/04 06:01 PMCR- 2023/03/29 CRDT- 2023/04/03 04:20 PHST- 2022/03/08 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/02/19 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/04/04 06:01 [medline] PHST- 2023/04/03 04:20 [entrez] PHST- 2023/04/04 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/03/29 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 218 [pii] AID - 10.1007/s13755-023-00218-x [doi] PST - epublish SO - Health Inf Sci Syst. 2023 Mar 29;11(1):18. doi: 10.1007/s13755-023-00218-x. eCollection 2023 Dec.