PMID- 37016726 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20240201 LR - 20240218 IS - 1520-5711 (Electronic) IS - 1054-3406 (Print) IS - 1054-3406 (Linking) VI - 34 IP - 2 DP - 2024 Mar TI - Assessing the incidence and severity of drug adverse events: a Bayesian hierarchical cumulative logit model. PG - 276-295 LID - 10.1080/10543406.2023.2194385 [doi] AB - Detection of safety signals based on multiple comparisons of adverse events (AEs) between two treatments in a clinical trial involves evaluations requiring multiplicity adjustment. A Bayesian hierarchical mixture model is a good solution to this problem as it borrows information across AEs within the same System Organ Class (SOC) and modulates extremes due merely to chance. However, the hierarchical model compares only the incidence rates of AEs, regardless of severity. In this article, we propose a three-level Bayesian hierarchical non-proportional odds cumulative logit model. Our model allows for testing the equality of incidence rate and severity for AEs between the control arm and the treatment arm while addressing multiplicities. We conduct simulation study to investigate the operating characteristics of the proposed hierarchical model. The simulation study demonstrates that the proposed method could be implemented as an extension of the Bayesian hierarchical mixture model in detecting AEs with elevated incidence rate and/or elevated severity. To illustrate, we apply our proposed method using the safety data from a phase III, two-arm randomized trial. FAU - Duan, Jiawei AU - Duan J AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-8979-1651 AD - Global Drug Development, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, 1 Health Plaza, East Hanover, New Jersey, USA. FAU - Gajewski, Byron J AU - Gajewski BJ AD - Department of Biostatistics & Data Science, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas, USA. FAU - Sen, Paramita AU - Sen P AD - Global Drug Development, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, 1 Health Plaza, East Hanover, New Jersey, USA. FAU - Wick, Jo A AU - Wick JA AD - Department of Biostatistics & Data Science, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas, USA. LA - eng GR - P30 CA168524/CA/NCI NIH HHS/United States PT - Journal Article DEP - 20230404 PL - England TA - J Biopharm Stat JT - Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics JID - 9200436 SB - IM MH - Humans MH - Bayes Theorem MH - Computer Simulation MH - Incidence MH - *Logistic Models MH - Probability MH - Clinical Trials, Phase III as Topic MH - Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic PMC - PMC10552594 MID - NIHMS1885715 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Bayesian mixture model OT - Drug safety OT - multiplicity OT - non-proportional odds cumulative logit model OT - safety signal detection EDAT- 2023/04/06 06:00 MHDA- 2024/01/23 06:43 PMCR- 2025/03/01 CRDT- 2023/04/05 01:52 PHST- 2025/03/01 00:00 [pmc-release] PHST- 2024/01/23 06:43 [medline] PHST- 2023/04/06 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/04/05 01:52 [entrez] AID - 10.1080/10543406.2023.2194385 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - J Biopharm Stat. 2024 Mar;34(2):276-295. doi: 10.1080/10543406.2023.2194385. Epub 2023 Apr 4.