PMID- 37115325 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20230703 LR - 20230703 IS - 1434-4726 (Electronic) IS - 0937-4477 (Linking) VI - 280 IP - 8 DP - 2023 Aug TI - Competing risk models versus traditional Cox models for prognostic factors' prediction and care recommendation in patients with advanced laryngeal squamous carcinoma: a population-based study. PG - 3745-3756 LID - 10.1007/s00405-023-07983-1 [doi] AB - PURPOSE: To explore the prognostic factors and the optimal treatment modalities for patients with stage IVA laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC), so as to improve the survival rate of patients. METHODS: Patients with stage IVA LSCC between 2004 and 2019 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. We used competing risk models to build nomograms for predicting cancer-specific survival (CSS). The effectiveness of the model was assessed using the calibration curves and the concordance index (C-index). The above results were compared with the nomogram established by Cox regression analysis. The patients were grouped into low-risk and high-risk groups by competing risk nomogram formula. And the Kaplan-Meier (K-M) method and log-rank test were used to make sure that these groups had a survival difference. RESULTS: Overall, 3612 patients were included. Older age, black race, a higher N stage, a higher pathological grade, and a larger tumor size were independent risk factors for CSS; married marital status, total/radical laryngectomy, and radiotherapy were protective factors. The C-index was 0.663, 0.633, and 0.628 in the train set and 0.674, 0.639, and 0.629 in the test set of the competing risk model, and 0.672, 0.640, and 0.634 in the traditional Cox nomogram for 1, 3, and 5 years. In overall survival and CSS, the prognosis of the high-risk group was poorer than that of the low-risk group. CONCLUSION: For patients with stage IVA LSCC, a competing risk nomogram was created to help screen risk population and guide clinical decision-making. CI - (c) 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature. FAU - Song, Zhuo AU - Song Z AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-1494-7070 AD - Department of Radiation Oncology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University, No. 467 Zhongshan Road, Dalian, 116023, Liaoning, China. FAU - Chen, Zewen AU - Chen Z AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-6201-2398 AD - Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University, No. 467 Zhongshan Road, Dalian, 116023, Liaoning, China. FAU - Sun, Xiuzhen AU - Sun X AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-8891-2623 AD - Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University, No. 467 Zhongshan Road, Dalian, 116023, Liaoning, China. sunxiuzhen001@163.com. FAU - Zou, Lijuan AU - Zou L AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-0619-3213 AD - Department of Radiation Oncology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University, No. 467 Zhongshan Road, Dalian, 116023, Liaoning, China. zoulijuan1963@dmu.edu.cn. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20230428 PL - Germany TA - Eur Arch Otorhinolaryngol JT - European archives of oto-rhino-laryngology : official journal of the European Federation of Oto-Rhino-Laryngological Societies (EUFOS) : affiliated with the German Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Head and Neck Surgery JID - 9002937 SB - IM MH - Humans MH - Proportional Hazards Models MH - Prognosis MH - Squamous Cell Carcinoma of Head and Neck MH - *Nomograms MH - *Head and Neck Neoplasms MH - SEER Program MH - Risk Factors OTO - NOTNLM OT - Cancer-specific survival OT - Competing risk model OT - Laryngeal carcinoma OT - Locally advanced OT - The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database EDAT- 2023/04/28 12:42 MHDA- 2023/07/03 06:41 CRDT- 2023/04/28 11:08 PHST- 2022/12/05 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/04/12 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/07/03 06:41 [medline] PHST- 2023/04/28 12:42 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/04/28 11:08 [entrez] AID - 10.1007/s00405-023-07983-1 [pii] AID - 10.1007/s00405-023-07983-1 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Eur Arch Otorhinolaryngol. 2023 Aug;280(8):3745-3756. doi: 10.1007/s00405-023-07983-1. Epub 2023 Apr 28.