PMID- 37253998 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20230814 LR - 20230814 IS - 1573-7284 (Electronic) IS - 0393-2990 (Linking) VI - 38 IP - 8 DP - 2023 Aug TI - Synergistic effect of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and history of gestational diabetes to increase risk of type 2 diabetes. PG - 901-911 LID - 10.1007/s10654-023-01016-1 [doi] AB - Whether non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) improves risk prediction for subsequent type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in women with prior gestational diabetes mellitus (pGDM) is uncertain. We examined the combined effects of NAFLD and pGDM on risk prediction for incident T2DM. This retrospective cohort study included 97,347 Korean parous women without diabetes mellitus at baseline whose mean (SD) age was 39.0 (7.8) years. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for incident T2DM according to self-reported pGDM and ultrasound-diagnosed NAFLD at baseline. When combined with conventional diabetes risk factors, the incremental predictive ability of NAFLD and pGDM to identify incident T2DM was assessed. During a median follow-up of 3.9 years, 1,515 cases of incident T2DM occurred. Multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for incident T2DM comparing pGDM alone, NAFLD alone, and both NAFLD and pGDM to the reference (neither NAFLD nor pGDM) were 2.61 (2.06-3.31), 2.26 (1.96-2.59), and 6.45 (5.19-8.00), respectively (relative excess risk of interaction = 2.58 [95% CI, 1.21-3.95]). These associations were maintained after adjusting for insulin resistance, body mass index, and other potential confounders as time-dependent covariates. The combination of NAFLD and pGDM improved risk prediction for incident T2DM (based on Harrell's C-index, also known as the concordance index, and net reclassification improvement) compared to conventional diabetes risk factors. In conclusion, NAFLD synergistically increases the risk of subsequent T2DM in women with pGDM. The combination of NAFLD and pGDM improves risk prediction for T2DM. CI - (c) 2023. Springer Nature B.V. FAU - Cho, Yoosun AU - Cho Y AD - Total Healthcare Center, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea. FAU - Chang, Yoosoo AU - Chang Y AD - Center for Cohort Studies, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea. yoosoo.chang@gmail.com. AD - Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Samsung Main Building B2, 250, Taepyung-ro 2ga, Jung-gu, Seoul, 04514, Republic of Korea. yoosoo.chang@gmail.com. AD - Department of Clinical Research Design & Evaluation, Samsung Advanced Institute for Health Sciences & Technology, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul, Republic of Korea. yoosoo.chang@gmail.com. FAU - Ryu, Seungho AU - Ryu S AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-3927-8646 AD - Center for Cohort Studies, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea. sh703.yoo@gmail.com. AD - Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Samsung Main Building B2, 250, Taepyung-ro 2ga, Jung-gu, Seoul, 04514, Republic of Korea. sh703.yoo@gmail.com. AD - Department of Clinical Research Design & Evaluation, Samsung Advanced Institute for Health Sciences & Technology, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul, Republic of Korea. sh703.yoo@gmail.com. FAU - Wild, Sarah H AU - Wild SH AD - Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, U.K. FAU - Byrne, Christopher D AU - Byrne CD AD - Nutrition and Metabolism, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, U.K. AD - National Institute for Health and Care Research Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospital Southampton, Southampton, U.K. LA - eng GR - SKKU Excellence in Research Award Research Fund/Sungkyunkwan University/ GR - NRF-2021R1A2C1012626/National Research Foundation of Korea/ GR - NIHR203319/Southampton National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centre/ PT - Journal Article DEP - 20230531 PL - Netherlands TA - Eur J Epidemiol JT - European journal of epidemiology JID - 8508062 SB - IM MH - Pregnancy MH - Humans MH - Female MH - Adult MH - *Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology MH - *Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology MH - *Diabetes, Gestational/epidemiology MH - Retrospective Studies MH - Incidence MH - Risk Factors OTO - NOTNLM OT - Cohort study OT - Gestational diabetes mellitus OT - Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease OT - Type 2 diabetes mellitus EDAT- 2023/05/31 01:09 MHDA- 2023/08/14 06:41 CRDT- 2023/05/30 23:30 PHST- 2022/12/13 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/05/05 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/08/14 06:41 [medline] PHST- 2023/05/31 01:09 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/05/30 23:30 [entrez] AID - 10.1007/s10654-023-01016-1 [pii] AID - 10.1007/s10654-023-01016-1 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Eur J Epidemiol. 2023 Aug;38(8):901-911. doi: 10.1007/s10654-023-01016-1. Epub 2023 May 31.