PMID- 37256369 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20230602 LR - 20230602 IS - 1573-2959 (Electronic) IS - 0167-6369 (Linking) VI - 195 IP - 6 DP - 2023 May 31 TI - Prediction of the spatiotemporal evolution of vegetation cover in the Huainan mining area and quantitative analysis of driving factors. PG - 776 LID - 10.1007/s10661-023-11385-5 [doi] AB - The prediction of the spatiotemporal dynamic evolution of vegetation cover in the Huainan mining area and the quantitative evaluation of its driving factors are of great significance for protecting and restoring the environment in this area. This study uses the Landsat 5 TM and Landsat 8 OLI time-series data to estimate the vegetation cover and uses the transition matrix to analyze the spatiotemporal transfer of vegetation cover from 1989 to 2004, 2004 to 2021, and 2021 to 2030. In addition, a structural equation model (SEM) was established in this study to assess the driving factors of vegetation cover. The quantitative analysis and the cellular automata (CA)-Markov model were performed to predict the future vegetation cover in the Huainan mining area. The results are as follows: (1) In different periods, the vegetation cover types were mainly high cover types transferred to other vegetation cover types; (2) human activities are the key factors affecting the vegetation growth, while topographical factor is the most influential factor promoting the vegetation growth; (3) highly consistent CA-Markov and multi-criteria evaluation (MCE) predicted results of vegetation cover in 2030 compared to that in 2021. The proportion of bare soil and low cover types had increased significantly, mainly concentrated in the internal area of the mines. The prediction of the spatiotemporal evolution of vegetation cover in the Huainan mining area and the quantitative change in driving factors are of significant importance for the restoration of the environment in mining areas. CI - (c) 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG. FAU - Zhang, Xuyang AU - Zhang X AD - School of Earth and Environment, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, 232001, Anhui, China. FAU - Zhou, Yuzhi AU - Zhou Y AD - School of Earth and Environment, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, 232001, Anhui, China. FAU - Long, Linli AU - Long L AD - School of Earth and Environment, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, 232001, Anhui, China. FAU - Hu, Pian AU - Hu P AD - School of Earth and Environment, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, 232001, Anhui, China. FAU - Huang, Meiqin AU - Huang M AD - School of Earth and Environment, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, 232001, Anhui, China. FAU - Chen, Yongchun AU - Chen Y AD - Ping'an Coal Mining Engineering Technology Research Institute Co., Ltd, Huainan, 232001, Anhui, China. FAU - Chen, Xiaoyang AU - Chen X AD - School of Earth and Environment, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, 232001, Anhui, China. chenxy@aust.edu.cn. AD - Anhui Engineering Laboratory for Comprehensive Utilization of Water and Soil Resources & Ecological Protection in Mining Area With High Groundwater Level, Huainan, 232001, Anhui, China. chenxy@aust.edu.cn. LA - eng GR - YJS20210408/Postgraduate Research Projects of Higher Education Institutions in Anhui Province/ GR - 41572333/National Natural Science Foundation of China/ GR - HNKY-PG-WT-2021-260/Huainan closed mine geological ecological environment assessment and comprehensive treatment technology research/ PT - Journal Article DEP - 20230531 PL - Netherlands TA - Environ Monit Assess JT - Environmental monitoring and assessment JID - 8508350 RN - 0 (Soil) SB - IM MH - Humans MH - *Environmental Monitoring/methods MH - *Soil MH - Models, Theoretical MH - Mining MH - China OTO - NOTNLM OT - CA-Markov. Driving factor OT - Huainan mining area OT - NDVI OT - Structural equation model EDAT- 2023/05/31 13:12 MHDA- 2023/06/02 06:42 CRDT- 2023/05/31 11:06 PHST- 2022/08/06 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/05/10 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/06/02 06:42 [medline] PHST- 2023/05/31 13:12 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/05/31 11:06 [entrez] AID - 10.1007/s10661-023-11385-5 [pii] AID - 10.1007/s10661-023-11385-5 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Environ Monit Assess. 2023 May 31;195(6):776. doi: 10.1007/s10661-023-11385-5.