PMID- 37396650 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20230704 IS - 1663-4365 (Print) IS - 1663-4365 (Electronic) IS - 1663-4365 (Linking) VI - 15 DP - 2023 TI - Development and validation of an interpretable machine learning model-Predicting mild cognitive impairment in a high-risk stroke population. PG - 1180351 LID - 10.3389/fnagi.2023.1180351 [doi] LID - 1180351 AB - BACKGROUND: Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is considered a preclinical stage of Alzheimer's disease (AD). People with MCI have a higher risk of developing dementia than healthy people. As one of the risk factors for MCI, stroke has been actively treated and intervened. Therefore, selecting the high-risk population of stroke as the research object and discovering the risk factors of MCI as early as possible can prevent the occurrence of MCI more effectively. METHODS: The Boruta algorithm was used to screen variables, and eight machine learning models were established and evaluated. The best performing models were used to assess variable importance and build an online risk calculator. Shapley additive explanation is used to explain the model. RESULTS: A total of 199 patients were included in the study, 99 of whom were male. Transient ischemic attack (TIA), homocysteine, education, hematocrit (HCT), diabetes, hemoglobin, red blood cells (RBC), hypertension, prothrombin time (PT) were selected by Boruta algorithm. Logistic regression (AUC = 0.8595) was the best model for predicting MCI in high-risk groups of stroke, followed by elastic network (ENET) (AUC = 0.8312), multilayer perceptron (MLP) (AUC = 0.7908), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) (AUC = 0.7691), and support vector machine (SVM) (AUC = 0.7527), random forest (RF) (AUC = 0.7451), K-nearest neighbors (KNN) (AUC = 0.7380), decision tree (DT) (AUC = 0.6972). The importance of variables suggests that TIA, diabetes, education, and hypertension are the top four variables of importance. CONCLUSION: Transient ischemic attack (TIA), diabetes, education, and hypertension are the most important risk factors for MCI in high-risk groups of stroke, and early intervention should be performed to reduce the occurrence of MCI. CI - Copyright (c) 2023 Yan, Chen, Quan, Wang, Wei and Zhu. FAU - Yan, Feng-Juan AU - Yan FJ AD - Department of Geriatrics, Shenzhen Longhua District Central Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China. FAU - Chen, Xie-Hui AU - Chen XH AD - Department of Geriatrics, Shenzhen Longhua District Central Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China. FAU - Quan, Xiao-Qing AU - Quan XQ AD - Department of Geriatrics, Shenzhen Longhua District Central Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China. FAU - Wang, Li-Li AU - Wang LL AD - Department of Cardiology, Affiliated Hospital of Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Jinan, Shandong, China. FAU - Wei, Xin-Yi AU - Wei XY AD - Department of Cardiology, The Third Hospital of Jinan, Jinan, Shandong, China. FAU - Zhu, Jia-Liang AU - Zhu JL AD - The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20230615 PL - Switzerland TA - Front Aging Neurosci JT - Frontiers in aging neuroscience JID - 101525824 PMC - PMC10308219 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Boruta algorithm OT - high-risk stroke population OT - machine learning OT - mild cognitive impairment OT - prediction model COIS- The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. EDAT- 2023/07/03 13:06 MHDA- 2023/07/03 13:07 PMCR- 2023/01/01 CRDT- 2023/07/03 11:23 PHST- 2023/03/06 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/05/30 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/07/03 13:07 [medline] PHST- 2023/07/03 13:06 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/07/03 11:23 [entrez] PHST- 2023/01/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.3389/fnagi.2023.1180351 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Front Aging Neurosci. 2023 Jun 15;15:1180351. doi: 10.3389/fnagi.2023.1180351. eCollection 2023.