PMID- 37448880 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20230718 IS - 1178-7007 (Print) IS - 1178-7007 (Electronic) IS - 1178-7007 (Linking) VI - 16 DP - 2023 TI - Prediction of Diabetic Kidney Disease in Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus. PG - 2061-2075 LID - 10.2147/DMSO.S417300 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Diabetic kidney disease (DKD), a common microvascular complication of diabetes mellitus (DM), is always asymptomatic until it develops to the advanced stage. Thus, we aim to develop a nomogram prediction model for progression to DKD in newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: This was a single-center analysis of prospective data collected from 521 newly diagnosed patients with T2DM. All related clinical records were incorporated, including the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG index). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used to build a prediction model. In addition, discrimination, calibration, and clinical practicality of the nomogram were evaluated. RESULTS: In this study, 156 participants were incorporated as the validation set, while the remaining 365 were incorporated into the training set. The predictive factors included in the individualized nomogram prediction model included 5 variables. The area under the curve (AUC) for the prediction model was 0.826 (95% CI 0.775 to 0.876), indicating excellent discrimination performance. The model performed exceptionally well in terms of predictive accuracy and clinical applicability, according to calibration curves and decision curve analysis. CONCLUSION: The predictive nomogram for the risk of DKD in newly diagnosed T2DM patients had outstanding discrimination and calibration, which could help in clinical practice. CI - (c) 2023 Mu et al. FAU - Mu, Xiaodie AU - Mu X AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-0665-9319 AD - Department of Nephrology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, People's Republic of China. FAU - Wu, Aihua AU - Wu A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-8251-6240 AD - Department of Nephrology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, People's Republic of China. FAU - Hu, Huiyue AU - Hu H AD - Department of Nephrology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, People's Republic of China. FAU - Zhou, Hua AU - Zhou H AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-0130-8763 AD - Department of Nephrology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, People's Republic of China. FAU - Yang, Min AU - Yang M AD - Department of Nephrology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, People's Republic of China. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20230708 PL - New Zealand TA - Diabetes Metab Syndr Obes JT - Diabetes, metabolic syndrome and obesity : targets and therapy JID - 101515585 PMC - PMC10337686 OTO - NOTNLM OT - diabetic kidney disease OT - nomogram OT - prediction model OT - risk assessment OT - type 2 diabetes mellitus COIS- The authors report no conflicts of interest in this work. EDAT- 2023/07/14 13:05 MHDA- 2023/07/14 13:06 PMCR- 2023/07/08 CRDT- 2023/07/14 03:55 PHST- 2023/05/06 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/07/04 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/07/14 13:06 [medline] PHST- 2023/07/14 13:05 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/07/14 03:55 [entrez] PHST- 2023/07/08 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 417300 [pii] AID - 10.2147/DMSO.S417300 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Diabetes Metab Syndr Obes. 2023 Jul 8;16:2061-2075. doi: 10.2147/DMSO.S417300. eCollection 2023.