PMID- 37540643 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20231122 LR - 20231122 IS - 1932-8737 (Electronic) IS - 0160-9289 (Print) IS - 0160-9289 (Linking) VI - 46 IP - 11 DP - 2023 Nov TI - Nomogram for predicting coronary artery lesions in patients with Kawasaki disease. PG - 1434-1441 LID - 10.1002/clc.24113 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Coronary artery lesions are the most important complications of Kawasaki disease. Approximately 25-30% of untreated patients develop coronary artery disease, which can lead to long-term cardiovascular sequelae. AIM: The aim of this study is to evaluate the risk factors for coronary artery lesions in Kawasaki disease and to construct a nomogram for predicting the likelihood of developing such lesions. METHODS: Data from 599 patients between January 2012 and June 2020 were reviewed retrospectively. Patients were randomly assigned to the training set (n = 450) and the validation set (n = 149). A comparison of clinical features and laboratory data was performed, followed by multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify independent risk factors and develop the nomogram. The predictive efficiency of the nomogram was evaluated using the calibration curve, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), C-index, and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance, delayed IVIG treatment, C-reactive protein, and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio were identified as independent risk factors for the development of coronary artery lesions. The nomogram was constructed based on these four variables. The calibration curve of the nomogram showed a high degree of agreement between the predicted probability and the actual probability. The AUC of the nomogram in the training and validation set was 0.790 and 0.711, respectively. In addition, DCA revealed that the nomogram provided a significant net benefit, further supporting its clinical utility. CONCLUSIONS: The constructed nomogram demonstrates a strong and reliable performance in predicting coronary artery lesions, which enables clinicians to make timely and tailored clinical decisions. CI - (c) 2023 The Authors. Clinical Cardiology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC. FAU - Chen, Jie AU - Chen J AD - Department of Clinical Laboratory, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China. FAU - Li, Jing AU - Li J AD - Department of Clinical Laboratory, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China. FAU - Yue, Yang-Hua AU - Yue YH AD - Department of Clinical Laboratory, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China. FAU - Liu, Yu AU - Liu Y AD - Department of Infectious Diseases, Youxian People's Hospital, Zhuzhou, China. FAU - Xie, Tian AU - Xie T AD - Department of Pediatrics, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China. FAU - Peng, Jian-Qiao AU - Peng JQ AD - Department of Clinical Laboratory, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China. FAU - Deng, Zhong-Hua AU - Deng ZH AD - Department of Clinical Laboratory, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China. FAU - Cao, You-de AU - Cao YD AUID- ORCID: 0009-0009-2078-5822 AD - Department of Clinical Laboratory, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20230804 PL - United States TA - Clin Cardiol JT - Clinical cardiology JID - 7903272 RN - 0 (Immunoglobulins, Intravenous) SB - IM MH - Humans MH - *Coronary Artery Disease/diagnosis/etiology MH - Coronary Vessels/diagnostic imaging MH - Immunoglobulins, Intravenous/pharmacology MH - *Mucocutaneous Lymph Node Syndrome/complications/diagnosis MH - Nomograms MH - Retrospective Studies PMC - PMC10642325 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Kawasaki disease OT - coronary artery lesions OT - nomogram OT - risk factor EDAT- 2023/08/04 19:15 MHDA- 2023/11/14 06:43 PMCR- 2023/08/04 CRDT- 2023/08/04 13:23 PHST- 2023/07/20 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2023/03/13 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/07/27 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/11/14 06:43 [medline] PHST- 2023/08/04 19:15 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/08/04 13:23 [entrez] PHST- 2023/08/04 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - CLC24113 [pii] AID - 10.1002/clc.24113 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Clin Cardiol. 2023 Nov;46(11):1434-1441. doi: 10.1002/clc.24113. Epub 2023 Aug 4.