PMID- 37668257 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20240106 IS - 1386-6346 (Print) IS - 1386-6346 (Linking) VI - 54 IP - 1 DP - 2024 Jan TI - Prognostic value of virtual portal pressure gradient response in compensated cirrhotic patients treated with carvedilol. PG - 78-90 LID - 10.1111/hepr.13963 [doi] AB - AIM: This study aimed to assess the prognostic significance of virtual portal pressure gradient (vPPG) response to carvedilol in patients with compensated cirrhosis (CC). METHODS: Compensated cirrhosis patients with high-risk varices were prospectively enrolled to receive carvedilol for prevention of first variceal hemorrhage (VH) and followed up for 1 year. The vPPG response was defined as a reduction of vPPG >10% from baseline after 1-month therapy. Logistic and Cox regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors for vPPG response and first decompensation, respectively. Competitive risk models were constructed to predict disease progression, and validated using the C-index, Kaplan-Meier analysis, competitive risk analysis, and calibration curves. RESULTS: A total of 129 patients completed this study, of whom 56 (43.4%) achieved vPPG response and were referred as vPPG responders. Baseline vPPG, red color sign, Model for End-stage Liver Disease score, serum monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), and laminin levels significantly correlated with vPPG response, which itself was further documented as an independent predictor of VH, ascites, and overall decompensation events in CC. Moreover, the red color sign or Child-Turcotte-Pugh score effectively predicted VH, while ascites correlated well with portal flow velocity or MCP-1. The predictive models for VH and ascites showed a good discrimination with C-index values of 0.747 and 0.689 respectively, and the high consistency on calibration curves. CONCLUSION: The vPPG response could be used as a noninvasive tool for prediction of disease progression in patients with CC. CI - (c) 2023 The Authors. Hepatology Research published by John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd on behalf of Japan Society of Hepatology. FAU - Zhang, Shuo AU - Zhang S AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-6145-3474 AD - Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Cai, Li AU - Cai L AD - Department of Science and Research, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Zhong, Hui AU - Zhong H AD - Department of Infectious Diseases, Fengxian Guhua Hospital, Shanghai, China. FAU - Yang, Bo AU - Yang B AD - Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Song, Weiping AU - Song W AD - Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Jia, Haoyu AU - Jia H AD - Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Chen, Shuai AU - Chen S AD - Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Zhu, Fengshang AU - Zhu F AD - Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Li, Jing AU - Li J AD - Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Yang, Changqing AU - Yang C AD - Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China. LA - eng GR - SHDC2020CR2030B/Clinical research plan of SHDC/ GR - 21ZR1481600/Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Commission Original Exploration Project/ GR - 818201008006/National Natural Science Foundation of China/ GR - SHSLCZDZK06801/Shanghai Municipal Key Specialty Project/ GR - 17411970600/Western Medicine Guidance Project/ GR - 2021E02075/Science and Technology Aid Xinjiang program/ PT - Journal Article DEP - 20230920 PL - Netherlands TA - Hepatol Res JT - Hepatology research : the official journal of the Japan Society of Hepatology JID - 9711801 OTO - NOTNLM OT - carvedilol OT - compensated cirrhosis OT - first variceal hemorrhage OT - noninvasive OT - virtual portal pressure gradient response EDAT- 2023/09/05 12:42 MHDA- 2023/09/05 12:43 CRDT- 2023/09/05 07:52 PHST- 2023/08/06 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2023/06/10 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/08/30 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/09/05 12:43 [medline] PHST- 2023/09/05 12:42 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/09/05 07:52 [entrez] AID - 10.1111/hepr.13963 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Hepatol Res. 2024 Jan;54(1):78-90. doi: 10.1111/hepr.13963. Epub 2023 Sep 20.