PMID- 37898687 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20231030 LR - 20231031 IS - 2045-2322 (Electronic) IS - 2045-2322 (Linking) VI - 13 IP - 1 DP - 2023 Oct 28 TI - Predicting survival of advanced laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma: comparison of machine learning models and Cox regression models. PG - 18498 LID - 10.1038/s41598-023-45831-8 [doi] LID - 18498 AB - Laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC) is a common tumor type. High recurrence rates remain an important factor affecting the survival and quality of life of advanced LSCC patients. We aimed to build a new nomogram and a random survival forest model using machine learning to predict the risk of LSCC progress. The study included 671 patients with AJCC stages III-IV LSCC. To develop a prognostic model, Cox regression analyses were used to assess the relationship between clinic-pathologic factors and disease-free survival (DFS). RSF analysis was also used to predict the DFS of LSCC patients. The ROC curve revealed that the Cox model exhibited good sensitivity and specificity in predicting DFS in the training and validation cohorts (1 year, validation AUC = 0.679, training AUC = 0.693; 3 years, validation AUC = 0.716, training AUC = 0.655; 5 years, validation AUC = 0.717, training AUC = 0.659). Random survival forest analysis showed that N stage, clinical stage, and postoperative chemoradiotherapy were prognostically significant variables associated with survival. The random forest model exhibited better prediction ability than the Cox regression model in the training cohort; however, the two models showed similar prediction ability in the validation cohort. CI - (c) 2023. The Author(s). FAU - Zhang, Yi-Fan AU - Zhang YF AD - Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Eye & ENT Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200031, China. FAU - Shen, Yu-Jie AU - Shen YJ AD - Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Eye & ENT Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200031, China. FAU - Huang, Qiang AU - Huang Q AD - Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Eye & ENT Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200031, China. FAU - Wu, Chun-Ping AU - Wu CP AD - Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Eye & ENT Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200031, China. wcpeent@163.com. FAU - Zhou, Liang AU - Zhou L AD - Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Eye & ENT Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200031, China. zhoulent@126.com. FAU - Ren, Heng-Lei AU - Ren HL AD - Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Eye & ENT Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200031, China. rhl1987@163.com. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20231028 PL - England TA - Sci Rep JT - Scientific reports JID - 101563288 SB - IM MH - Humans MH - Squamous Cell Carcinoma of Head and Neck MH - Proportional Hazards Models MH - *Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/pathology MH - Quality of Life MH - Prognosis MH - *Head and Neck Neoplasms MH - Machine Learning PMC - PMC10613248 COIS- The authors declare no competing interests. EDAT- 2023/10/29 06:46 MHDA- 2023/10/30 06:47 PMCR- 2023/10/28 CRDT- 2023/10/29 00:29 PHST- 2023/05/25 00:00 [received] PHST- 2023/10/24 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2023/10/30 06:47 [medline] PHST- 2023/10/29 06:46 [pubmed] PHST- 2023/10/29 00:29 [entrez] PHST- 2023/10/28 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1038/s41598-023-45831-8 [pii] AID - 45831 [pii] AID - 10.1038/s41598-023-45831-8 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Sci Rep. 2023 Oct 28;13(1):18498. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-45831-8.